SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/20/12

[Chienfantome]

I'm surprised Beauty and the Beast doesn't hold on better. Well, I'm worried, to be more precise, since I've loaded my slates with it

[Shrykespeare]

Friday Estimates:


Underworld Awakening, $9.4M
Red Tails, $6.0M
Contraband, $3.7M
Extremely Loud, $3.2M
Haywire, $2.9M
Beauty and the Beast, $2.1M
Joyful Noise, $1.6M
Mission: Impossible, $1.5M
Sherlock Holmes, $1.3M
The Iron Lady, $1.1M
The Girl w. Dragon Tattoo $1.0M


Weekend projections:

Underworld Awakening, $24.5M
Red Tails, $17.0M
Contraband, $11.8M
Extremely Loud, $9.7M
Beauty and the Beast, $8.5M
Haywire, $8.0M
Joyful Noise, $6.0M
Mission: Impossible, $5.3M
Sherlock Holmes, $4.5M
The Iron Lady, $3.8M
The Girl w. Dragon Tattoo $3.3M

[Brockster]

fuckin' Beauty and the Beast...turning out to be a huge turd on my slates. Got me rethinking the Star Wars re-release.

[Geezer]

Its not so much that its performing well below expectations, just that films like Contraband and Red Tails are vastly OUT-PERFORMING theirs.

[numbersix]

But kids movies tend to have low drops, but it looks like Beauty will see a 50-55% drop, which is worryingly high

[numbersix]

Also, so much for the Artist doing well wide. It made just over 600K in over 600 theatres, giving it a PTA of $961. For reference, that is lower than The Descendants, which has been wide for 7 weeks. The Artist will make about $3m this weekend. OF course it will have legs, but it's chances of making beyond $30m are very unlikely.

[Chienfantome]

Yeah, The Artist's numbers are very disappointing. I hope the legs will be grrrreat to compensate...

[Shrykespeare]

Weekend Estimates:

5 points - Underworld Awakening, $25.4M
4 points - Red Tails, $19.1M
3 points - Contraband, $12.2M
2 points - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, $10.5M
1 point - Haywire, $9.0M
Beauty and the Beast, $8.5M
Joyful Noise, $6.1M
Mission Impossible, $5.5M
Sherlock Holmes, $4.8M
Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, $3.7M
The Iron Lady, $3.7M


PTA (Nov/Dec leagues):
5 points - A Separation
4 points - We Need to Talk About Kevin
3 points - Underworld Awakening
2 points - Red Tails
1 point - Coriolanus

PTA (Jan leagues):
5 points - Underworld Awakening
4 points - Red Tails
3 points - Coriolanus
2 points - Contraband
1 point - Haywire

[Brockster]

wow, Coriolanus bombed...WTF? My slates are looking horrible w/ B&B and C-anus...urgh.

[W]

With Red Tails doing well and Coriolanus bombing, I think I have a chance of winning the Ultimate draft. It should at least be close now.

[Chienfantome]

A separation, another 5 PTA points ? Hell yeah !

[W]

I think I have it on every single ultimate slate, even the draft one. I was very happy to be able to draft it at the time, especially with the super high user rating.

[Shrykespeare]

Weekend Actuals:

Top 13:
5 points - Underworld Awakening, $25.3M
4 points - Red Tails, $18.8M
3 points - Contraband, $12.0M
2 points - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, $10.0M
1 point - Beauty and the Beast, $8.8M
Haywire, $8.4M
Joyful Noise, $5.9M
Mission Impossible, $5.6M
Sherlock Holmes, $4.5M
The Iron Lady, $3.7M
Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, $3.5M
War Horse, $3.2M
Alvin & the Chipmunks, $3.1M

PTA (Nov/Dec leagues):
5 points - A Separation
4 points - We Need to Talk About Kevin
3 points - Underworld Awakening
2 points - Red Tails
1 point - Coriolanus

PTA (Jan leagues):
5 points - Underworld Awakening
4 points - Red Tails
3 points - Coriolanus
2 points - Contraband
1 point - Haywire

[Chienfantome]

So how many PTA points have "A separation" collected up to now ?

[Shrykespeare]

That makes 15 points for A Separation. Kevin now has 12.