Predict The Oscars 2014

[silversurfer19]

With the momentum beginning to rise for the Reel Society Of Film Critics Awards 2014 next weekend, I thought to get us all in the mood we could predict the outcome of one of the major ceremonies that sometimes indicate where the fantaverse may vote. So if you all want to make your own predictions for this weekend's ceremony, we can see who is the most awesome on the forum.

Here is a list of the nominations, I have highlighted the ones I am going with:

Best Picture

American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Her
Nebraska
Philomena
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Christian Bale (American Hustle)
Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Amy Adams (American Hustle)
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Judi Dench (Philomena)
Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)
Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine)
Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave)
Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
June Squibb (Nebraska)

Best Animated Feature

The Croods (Chris Sanders, Kirk DeMicco, Kristine Belson)
Despicable Me 2 (Chris Renaud, Pierre Coffin, Chris Meledandri)
Ernest & Celestine (Benjamin Renner, Didier Brunner)
Frozen (Chris Buck, Jennifer Lee, Peter Del Vecho)
The Wind Rises (Hayao Miyazaki, Toshio Suzuki)

Best Cinematography

The Grandmaster (Philippe Le Sourd)
Gravity (Emmanuel Lubezki)
Inside Llewyn Davis (Bruno Delbonnel)
Nebraska (Phedon Papamichael)
Prisoners (Roger A. Deakins)

Best Costume Design

American Hustle (Michael Wilkinson)
The Grandmaster (William Chang Suk Ping)
The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin)
The Invisible Woman (Michael O'Connor)
12 Years a Slave (Patricia Norris)

Best Directing

American Hustle (David O. Russell)
Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón)
Nebraska (Alexander Payne)
12 Years a Slave (Steve McQueen)
The Wolf of Wall Street (Martin Scorsese)

Best Documentary Feature

The Act of Killing (Joshua Oppenheimer, Signe Byrge Sørensen)
Cutie and the Boxer (Zachary Heinzerling, Lydia Dean Pilcher)
Dirty Wars (Richard Rowley, Jeremy Scahill)
The Square (Jehane Noujaim, Karim Amer)
20 Feet from Stardom (Nominees to be determined)

Best Documentary Short

CaveDigger (Jeffrey Karoff)
Facing Fear (Jason Cohen)
Karama Has No Walls (Sara Ishaq)
The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life (Malcolm Clarke, Nicholas Reed)
Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall (Edgar Barens)

Best Film Editing

American Hustle (Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers, Alan Baumgarten)
Captain Phillips (Christopher Rouse)
Dallas Buyers Club (John Mac McMurphy, Martin Pensa)
Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón, Mark Sanger)
12 Years a Slave (Joe Walker)

Best Foreign Language Film

The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
The Great Beauty (Italy)
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Missing Picture (Cambodia)
Omar (Palestine)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Dallas Buyers Club (Adruitha Lee, Robin Mathews)
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa (Stephen Prouty)
The Lone Ranger (Joel Harlow, Gloria Pasqua-Casny)

Best Original Score

The Book Thief (John Williams)
Gravity (Steven Price)
Her (William Butler, Owen Pallett)
Philomena (Alexandre Desplat)
Saving Mr. Banks (Thomas Newman)

Best Original Song

Happy (Despicable Me 2)
Let It Go (Frozen)
The Moon Song (Her)
Ordinary Love (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)

Best Production Design

American Hustle (Judy Becker, Heather Loeffler)
Gravity (Andy Nicholson, Rosie Goodwin, Joanne Woollard)
The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin, Beverley Dunn)
Her (K.K. Barrett, Gene Serdena)
12 Years a Slave (Adam Stockhausen, Alice Baker)

Best Animated Short Film

Feral (Daniel Sousa, Dan Golden)
Get a Horse! (Lauren MacMullan, Dorothy McKim)
Mr. Hublot (Laurent Witz, Alexandre Espigares)
Possessions (Shuhei Morita)
Room on the Broom (Max Lang, Jan Lachauer)

Best Live Action Short Film

Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn't Me) (Esteban Crespo)
Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just Before Losing Everything) (Xavier Legrand, Alexandre Gavras)
Helium (Anders Walter, Kim Magnusson)
Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?) (Selma Vilhunen, Kirsikka Saari)
The Voorman Problem (Mark Gill, Baldwin Li)

Best Sound Editing

All Is Lost (Steve Boeddeker, Richard Hymns)
Captain Phillips (Oliver Tarney)
Gravity (Glenn Freemantle)
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Brent Burge, Chris Ward)
Lone Survivor (Wylie Stateman)

Best Sound Mixing

Captain Phillips (Chris Burdon, Mark Taylor, Mike Prestwood Smith, Chris Munro)
Gravity (Skip Lievsay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead, Chris Munro)
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Michael Semanick, Tony Johnson)
Inside Llewyn Davis (Skip Lievsay, Greg Orloff, Peter F. Kurland)
Lone Survivor (Andy Koyama, Beau Borders, David Brownlow)

Best Visual Effects

Gravity (Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk, Neil Corbould)
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, Eric Reynolds)
Iron Man 3 (Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Erik Nash, Dan Sudick)
The Lone Ranger (Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, Edson Williams, John Frazier)
Star Trek Into Darkness (Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Ben Grossmann, Burt Dalton)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Before Midnight (Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke)
Captain Phillips (Billy Ray)
Philomena (Steve Coogan, Jeff Pope)
12 Years a Slave (John Ridley)
The Wolf of Wall Street (Terence Winter)

Best Original Screenplay

American Hustle (Eric Warren Singer, David O. Russell)
Blue Jasmine (Woody Allen)
Dallas Buyers Club (Craig Borten, Melisa Wallack)
Her (Spike Jonze)
Nebraska (Bob Nelson)

I've gone for big wins for Gravity and 12 Years A Slave, while Dallas Buyers Club, American Hustle and Her pick up the odd award. Shut outs for Philomena, The Wolf Of Wall Street, Nebraska and Inside Llewyn Davis.

Look forward to seeing everyone else's predictions.

[transformers2]

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave
Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Best Animated Feature: Frozen
Best Cinematography: Gravity
Best Costume Design: The Great Gatsby
Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Best Documentary Feature: 20 Feet from Stardom
Best Documentary Short: The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Best Film Editing: Gravity
Best Foreign Language Film: The Hunt
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Dallas Buyers Club
Best Original Score: Gravity
Best Original Song: Let it Go, Frozen
Best Production Design: The Great Gatsby
Best Animated Short Film: Mr. Hublot
Best Live Action Short Film: The Voorman Problem
Best Sound Editing: Gravity
Best Sound Mixing: Gravity
Best Visual Effects: Gravity
Best Adapted Screenplay: 12 Years a Slave
Best Original Screenplay: American Hustle

[Buscemi]

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave
Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey
Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong'o
Best Animated Feature: The Wind Rises
Best Cinematography: Gravity
Best Costume Design: The Great Gatsby
Best Director: Steve McQueen
Best Documentary: The Act of Killing
Best Documentary Short: The Lady in Number 6
Best Film Editing: Gravity
Best Foreign Language Film: The Great Beauty
Best Makeup: Dallas Buyers Club
Best Original Score: Gravity
Best Original Song: Let It Go (Frozen)
Best Production Design: The Great Gatsby
Best Animated Short Film: Room on the Broom
Best Live-Action Short Film: Helium
Best Sound Editing: Gravity
Best Sound Mixing: Gravity
Best Visual Effects: Gravity
Best Adapted Screenplay: 12 Years a Slave
Best Original Screenplay: American Hustle

Do you really think they'll give Lawrence two Oscars in two years? Best Supporting Actress is nowhere near the popularity contest that Best Actress is (also, Nyong'o has had far more hype). Also, one heavily-nominated movie almost every year gets almost totally shut out during the actual ceremony (True Grit and Lincoln are two very good recent examples). American Hustle is that movie this year.

[Buscemi]

Gold Derby's 30 Oscar experts picking the major categories:

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave (23/30, seven picked Gravity)
Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey (29/30, one picked Leonardo DiCaprio)
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (30/30)
Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto (30/30)
Best Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong'o (26/30, four picked Jennifer Lawrence)
Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron (30/30)

[silversurfer19]

Do you really think they'll give Lawrence two Oscars in two years?

I agree it's almost certainly out of those two actresses, but I just feel that Lawrence's performance is exactly the kind of performance the Academy loves. I mean, look at how much more subtle performances from Robert Redford, Bruce Dern and Oscar Issac seem to have been overlooked. The big performances always seem to gain all this momentum leading up to the Oscars, and there seems like this huge will to have her be one of the few actresses to win both honours. Like I say, it could go either way, but I would put my money on Lawrence at this point.

[Buscemi]

As I said, Nyong'o has been getting more hype and the Supporting Actress category tends to look at more obscure actresses. In a perfect world, June Squibb would win but I'd said Nyong'o has it.

[W]

In a perfect world, June Squibb would win but I'd said Nyong'o has it.

Yep. Every time they let her do something in Nebraska I was laughing my ass off.

[numbersix]

Best Picture
12 Years a Slave

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave)

Best Animated Feature
Frozen (Chris Buck, Jennifer Lee, Peter Del Vecho)

Best Cinematography
Gravity (Emmanuel Lubezki)

Best Costume Design
The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin)

Best Directing
Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón)

Best Documentary Feature
The Act of Killing (Joshua Oppenheimer, Signe Byrge Sørensen)

Best Documentary Short
Facing Fear (Jason Cohen)

Best Film Editing
American Hustle (Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers, Alan Baumgarten)

Best Foreign Language Film
The Great Beauty (Italy)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Dallas Buyers Club (Adruitha Lee, Robin Mathews)

Best Original Score
Gravity (Steven Price)

Best Original Song
Let It Go (Frozen)

Best Production Design
The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin, Beverley Dunn)

Best Animated Short Film
Possessions (Shuhei Morita)

Best Live Action Short Film
Helium (Anders Walter, Kim Magnusson)

Best Sound Editing
Gravity (Glenn Freemantle)

Best Sound Mixing
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Michael Semanick, Tony Johnson)

Best Visual Effects
Gravity (Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk, Neil Corbould)

Best Adapted Screenplay
12 Years a Slave (John Ridley)

Best Original Screenplay
American Hustle (Eric Warren Singer, David O. Russell)

[JohnErle]

Best Picture
12 Years a Slave

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Judi Dench (Philomena)

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
June Squibb (Nebraska)

Best Animated Feature
Frozen (Chris Buck, Jennifer Lee, Peter Del Vecho)

Best Cinematography
Nebraska (Phedon Papamichael)

Best Costume Design
The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin)

Best Directing
12 Years a Slave (Steve McQueen)

Best Documentary Feature
20 Feet from Stardom (Nominees to be determined)

Best Documentary Short
Karama Has No Walls (Sara Ishaq)

Best Film Editing
American Hustle (Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers, Alan Baumgarten)

Best Foreign Language Film
The Great Beauty (Italy)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
The Lone Ranger (Joel Harlow, Gloria Pasqua-Casny)

Best Original Score
Her (William Butler, Owen Pallett)

Best Original Song
Let It Go (Frozen)

Best Production Design
The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin, Beverley Dunn)

Best Animated Short Film
Get a Horse! (Lauren MacMullan, Dorothy McKim)

Best Live Action Short Film
Helium (Anders Walter, Kim Magnusson)

Best Sound Editing
Gravity (Glenn Freemantle)

Best Sound Mixing
Gravity (Skip Lievsay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead, Chris Munro)

Best Visual Effects
Gravity (Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk, Neil Corbould)

Best Adapted Screenplay
12 Years a Slave (John Ridley)

Best Original Screenplay
Nebraska (Bob Nelson)

[silversurfer19]

Ooh, controversy regarding the female acting awards! Can't see either of them having a chance, if I'm honest, especially so June Squibb. Certainly showing an appreciation for Nebraska which has been absent on most other predictions, I see. Don't know if that's reflecting your own feelings or the Academy's love for Payne.

[Buscemi]

Dench's performance was my favorite of the Best Actress nominees but Blanchett will win since the Academy loves disabled characters.

[numbersix]

Voting after the Oscars will be fun, because some of us will cast anti-votes in protest against undeserved winners (Mr Cuaron, I'm looking at you).

Was Cate Blanchett playing a disabled person in Blue Jasmine? I think she's just fucked up...

[JohnErle]

Cate Blanchett was amazing in Blue Jasmine, but she'll have many more chances to win, which is why I think Judi Dench might sneak in for a victory. This might be her last chance, and same goes for June Squibb. Bob Nelson is the feel-good story in a category where the voters usually can't put a face to the name, so the "first time screenwriter" angle, although misleading, might propel him to victory.

[Buscemi]

Was Cate Blanchett playing a disabled person in Blue Jasmine? I think she's just fucked up...

Though Jasmine's disorder is never named, she does show signs of schizophrenia (the imaginary conversations) and narcissistic personality disorder (many of her choices, which destroys the relationships around her). She is also a compulsive liar (known in psychiatry as pseudologia fantastica).

The film has also been covered in more than a few medical publications for its portrayal of mental illness.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

Best Picture
American Hustle

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave)

Best Animated Feature
Frozen (Chris Buck, Jennifer Lee, Peter Del Vecho)

Best Cinematography
Gravity (Emmanuel Lubezki)

Best Costume Design
American Hustle (Michael Wilkinson)

Best Directing
Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón)

Best Documentary Feature
The Act of Killing (Joshua Oppenheimer, Signe Byrge Sørensen)

Best Documentary Short
Who fucking knows?

Best Film Editing

American Hustle (Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers, Alan Baumgarten)
Captain Phillips (Christopher Rouse)
Dallas Buyers Club (John Mac McMurphy, Martin Pensa)
Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón, Mark Sanger)
12 Years a Slave (Joe Walker)

Best Foreign Language Film
The Great Beauty (Italy)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Dallas Buyers Club (Adruitha Lee, Robin Mathews)

Best Original Score
Her (William Butler, Owen Pallett)

Best Original Song
Let It Go (Frozen)

Best Production Design
Gravity (Andy Nicholson, Rosie Goodwin, Joanne Woollard)

Best Animated Short Film
Pfft.

Best Live Action Short Film
The one with the people.

Best Sound Editing
Captain Phillips (Oliver Tarney)

Best Sound Mixing
Captain Phillips (Chris Burdon, Mark Taylor, Mike Prestwood Smith, Chris Munro)

Best Visual Effects
Gravity (Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, Dave Shirk, Neil Corbould)

Best Adapted Screenplay
12 Years a Slave (John Ridley)

Best Original Screenplay
American Hustle (Eric Warren Singer, David O. Russell)