2023 Festivals/Awards Thread

[Buscemi2]

I'm still betting on Barbie to win, as the old people movie never wins Best Picture and Nolanbros aren't AMPAS members. Also, there are way too many downbeat movies in the running, which could lead to a more upbeat movie emerging victorious.

Remember, no one had CODA winning the Oscar for Best Picture a few years back.

As for posting past results, I think it's notable here in that the NYFCC is not good at predicting Oscar winners. They usually go for the more outside the box picks.

[Buscemi2]

Origin seems to be dead in the water. Despite some decent early word, it seems like the general response is that the source material was better.

Meanwhile, Wonka, which would seem like a contender in a few categories (costume design, art direction, visual effects), is running into the same issues as Napoleon: European critics like the film, probably because of the director, but American critics don't care for it. It might need to be a box office hit to keep it in AMPAS' graces for those few potential nominations.

[transformers2]

Independent Spirit Award Nominations:

Best Feature:
All of Us Strangers
American Fiction
May December
Passages
Past Lives
We Grown Now

Best Director:
Andrew Haigh, All of Us Strangers
Todd Haynes, May December
William Oldroyd, Eileen
Ira Sachs, Passages
Celine Song, Past Lives

Best Lead Performance:
Jessica Chastain, Memory
Greta Lee, Past Lives
Trace Lysette, Monica
Natalie Portman, May December
Judy Reyes, Birth/Rebirth
Frans Rogowski, Passages
Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers
Teyana Taylor, A Thousand and One
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
Teo Yeo, Past Lives

Best Supporting Performance:
Erika Alexander, American Fiction
Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction
Noah Galvin, Theater Camp
Anne Hathaway, Eileen
Glenn Howerton, BlackBerry
Marin Ireland, Eileen
Charles Melton, May December
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Catalina Saavedera, Rotting in the Sun
Ben Whishaw, Passages

Best Breakthrough Performance:
Marshawn Lynch, Bottoms
Atibon Nazaire, Mountains
Tia Nomore, Earth Mama
Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers
Anaita Wali Zada, Fremont

Best Screenplay:
David Hemingson, The Holdovers
Cord Jefferson, American Fiction
Laura Moss, Brendan O' Brien, Birth/Rebirth
Emma Seligma, Rachel Senott, Bottoms
Celine Song, Past Lives

Best First Feature:
All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt
Chronicles of a Wandering Saint
Earth Mama
A Thousand and One
Upon Entry

Best First Screenplay:
Samy Burch, May December
Noah Galvin, Molly Gordon, Nick Lieberman, Ben Platt, Theater Camp
Tomas Gomez Bustillo, Chronicles of a Wandering Saint
Laurel Parmet, The Starling Girl
Alejandro Rojas, Juan Sebastian Vasquez, Upon Entry

Best Documentary Feature:
Bye Bye Tiberias
Four Daughters
Going to Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Project
Kokomo City
The Mother of All Lies

Best International Feature:
Anatomy of a Fall
Godland
Mami Wata
Totem
The Zone of Interest

Best Cinematography:
Katelin Arzimendi, Moncia
Eigil Bryld, The Holdovers
Jomo Fray, All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt
Pablo Lazano, Chronicles of a Wandering Saint
Pat Scola, We Grown Now

Best Editing:
Santiago Cenedejas, Gabriel Diaz, Sofia Subercaseaux Rotting in the Sun
Stephanie Filo, We Grown Now
Daniel Garber, How to Blow Up a Pipeline
Jon Philpot, Theater Camp
Emanuele Tiziani, Upon Entry

Good early signs for the Oscar campaigns of Past Lives, May December, Jeffrey Wright, Sterling K. Brown, Charles Melton and Natalie Portman and an early blow for Paul Giamatti and Julianne Moore.

[Buscemi2]

I hope any people at the beginning of the year who bet on the possibility of Beast Mode getting an acting nomination in something win a lot of money.

Meanwhile, I don't think Giamatti's snub hurts him. The Holdovers really isn't an indie film despite its nominations here, as Paramount co-financed it. Also, the awards likely wanted to spotlight some smaller films instead of something many film buffs have seen.

On an added note, I think All of Us Strangers looks good for Oscars. Festival word was excellent and it's got Searchlight's backing.

[transformers2]

As a longtime huge fan of his, Marshawn's nomination brought a huge smile to my face. Dude is so naturally funny and likable and that translated to the screen perfectly in Bottoms.

As for All of Us Strangers, it definitely has the resume on paper to make some noise, but all of the pundits seem to think it's going to get shut out. While that means absolutely nothing at this stage and they're often wrong at this time of year when no awards of consequence have been handed out, my lack of insider knowledge prevents me from going against that prediction with any sort of confidence.

[transformers2]

National Board of Review Winners:
Best Film: Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Director: Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Actor: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Best Actress: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Supporting Actor: Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
Best Supporting Actress: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Best Original Screenplay: David Hemingson, The Holdovers
Best Adapted Screenplay: Tony McNamara, Poor Things
Breakthrough Performance: Teyana Taylor, A Thousand and One
Best Directorial Debut: Celine Song, Past Lives
Best Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Best Documentary: Still: A Michael J. Fox Story
Best International Film: Anatomy of a Fall
Best Ensemble: The Iron Claw
Outstanding Achievement in Cinematography: Rodrigo Prieto, Barbie and Killers of the Flower Moon
Outstanding Achievement in Stunt Artistry: Chad Stahelski, Stephen Dunleavy and Scott Rodgers, John Wick: Chapter 4
NBR Icon Award: Bradley Cooper

Top Films (in alphabetical order):
Barbie
The Boy and the Heron
Ferrari
The Holdovers
The Iron Claw
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things

Top 5 International Films (in alphabetical order):
La Chimera
Fallen Leaves
The Teacher's Lounge
Totem
The Zone of Interest

Top 5 Documentaries (in alphabetical order):
20 Days in Mariupol
32 Sounds
The Eternal Memory
The Pigeon Tunnel
A Still Small Voice

Top 10 Independent Films (in alphabetical order):
All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt
All of Us Strangers
BlackBerry
Earth Mama
Flora and Son
The Persian Version
Scrapper
Showing Up
Theater Camp
A Thousand and One

[Buscemi2]

I see someone didn't forget about Maestro. Of course, the National Board of Review is the kind of awards board that would put a movie like it on their top list. I'm also not surprised they liked the incredibly generic and derivative Flora & Son and put it on their top independents list.

[transformers2]

AFI Top 10:
American Fiction
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
May December
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Across the Spider-Verse getting in over The Color Purple is a bit of surprise. Other than that, it's more or less the expected lineup

[Buscemi2]

Has The Color Purple even had any screenings yet?

[transformers2]

Yes, several. Reception seems to be good, but it's kind of hard to tell just how strong the WOM is since the formal review embargo is still up.

[transformers2]

Golden Globe Nominations:

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

ANATOMY OF A FALL (Neon)

KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Apple Original Films)

MAESTRO (Netflix)

OPPENHEIMER (Universal Pictures)

PAST LIVES (A24)

THE ZONE OF INTEREST (A24)

BEST MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

AIR (Amazon MGM Studios)

AMERICAN FICTION (Orion Pictures / Amazon MGM Studios)

BARBIE (Warner Bros. Pictures)

THE HOLDOVERS (Focus Features)

MAY DECEMBER (Netflix)

POOR THINGS (Searchlight Pictures)

BEST MOTION PICTURE – ANIMATED

THE BOY AND THE HERON (Gkids)

ELEMENTAL (Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)

SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE (Sony Pictures Releasing)

THE SUPER MARIO BROS. MOVIE (Universal Pictures)

SUZUME (Crunchyroll / Sony Pictures Entertainment)

WISH (Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)

CINEMATIC AND BOX OFFICE ACHIEVEMENT

BARBIE (Warner Bros. Pictures)

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 3 (Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)

JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 4 (Lionsgate)

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE – DEAD RECKONING PART 1 (Paramount Pictures)

OPPENHEIMER (Universal Pictures)

SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE (Sony Pictures Releasing)

THE SUPER MARIO BROS. MOVIE (Universal Pictures)

TAYLOR SWIFT: THE ERAS TOUR (AMC Theatres Distribution)

BEST MOTION PICTURE – NON-ENGLISH LANGUAGE

ANATOMY OF A FALL (Neon) – FRANCE

FALLEN LEAVES (Mubi) – FINLAND

IO CAPITANO (Pathe Distribution) – ITALY

PAST LIVES (A24) – USA

SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (Netflix) – SPAIN

THE ZONE OF INTEREST (A24) – UNITED KINGDOM / USA

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

ANNETTE BENING (NYAD)

LILY GLADSTONE (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)

SANDRA HÜLLER (ANATOMY OF A FALL)

GRETA LEE (PAST LIVES)

CAREY MULLIGAN (MAESTRO)

CAILEE SPAENY (PRISCILLA)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

BRADLEY COOPER (MAESTRO)

LEONARDO DICAPRIO (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)

COLMAN DOMINGO (RUSTIN)

BARRY KEOGHAN (SALTBURN)

CILLIAN MURPHY (OPPENHEIMER)

ANDREW SCOTT (ALL OF US STRANGERS)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

FANTASIA BARRINO (THE COLOR PURPLE)

JENNIFER LAWRENCE (NO HARD FEELINGS)

NATALIE PORTMAN (MAY DECEMBER)

ALMA PÖYSTI (FALLEN LEAVES)

MARGOT ROBBIE (BARBIE)

EMMA STONE (POOR THINGS)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

NICOLAS CAGE (DREAM SCENARIO)

TIMOTHÉE CHALAMET (WONKA)

MATT DAMON (AIR)

PAUL GIAMATTI (THE HOLDOVERS)

JOAQUIN PHOENIX (BEAU IS AFRAID)

JEFFREY WRIGHT (AMERICAN FICTION)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN ANY MOTION PICTURE

EMILY BLUNT (OPPENHEIMER)

DANIELLE BROOKS (THE COLOR PURPLE)

JODIE FOSTER (NYAD)

JULIANNE MOORE (MAY DECEMBER)

ROSAMUND PIKE (SALTBURN)

DA’VINE JOY RANDOLPH (THE HOLDOVERS)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN ANY MOTION PICTURE

WILLEM DAFOE (POOR THINGS)

ROBERT DE NIRO (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)

ROBERT DOWNEY JR. (OPPENHEIMER)

RYAN GOSLING (BARBIE)

CHARLES MELTON (MAY DECEMBER)

MARK RUFFALO (POOR THINGS)

BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE

BRADLEY COOPER (MAESTRO)

GRETA GERWIG (BARBIE)

YORGOS LANTHIMOS (POOR THINGS)

CHRISTOPHER NOLAN (OPPENHEIMER)

MARTIN SCORSESE (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)

CELINE SONG (PAST LIVES)

BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE

GRETA GERWIG, NOAH BAUMBACH (BARBIE)

TONY MCNAMARA (POOR THINGS)

CHRISTOPHER NOLAN (OPPENHEIMER)

ERIC ROTH, MARTIN SCORSESE (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)

CELINE SONG (PAST LIVES)

JUSTINE TRIET, ARTHUR HARARI (ANATOMY OF A FALL)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – MOTION PICTURE

JERSKIN FENDRIX (POOR THINGS)

LUDWIG GÖRANSSON (OPPENHEIMER)

JOE HISAISHI (THE BOY AND THE HERON)

MICA LEVI (THE ZONE OF INTEREST)

DANIEL PEMBERTON (SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE)

ROBBIE ROBERTSON (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG – MOTION PICTURE

“ADDICTED TO ROMANCE” — SHE CAME TO ME
Music & Lyrics by: Bruce Springsteen

“DANCE THE NIGHT” — BARBIE
Music & Lyrics by: Mark Ronson, Andrew Wyatt, Dua Lipa, Caroline Ailin

“I’M JUST KEN” — BARBIE
Music & Lyrics by: Mark Ronson, Andrew Wyatt

“PEACHES” — THE SUPER MARIO BROS. MOVIE
Music & Lyrics by: Jack Black, Aaron Horvath, Michael Jelenic, Eric Osmond, John Spiker

“ROAD TO FREEDOM” — RUSTIN
Music & Lyrics by: Lenny Kravitz

“WHAT WAS I MADE FOR?” — BARBIE
Music & Lyrics by: Billie Eilish O’Connell, Finneas O’Connell

Not really anything overly notable here other than The Color Purple's Best Picture chances are basically DOA now and Past Lives' odds of landing a nom outside of Best Picture and Original Screenplay are definitely increasing.

[Buscemi2]

Why did you need to capitalize almost every word?

Meanwhile, it might be time to combine the Best Actor and Actress categories into one if No Hard Feelings could get a nomination. Also, watch certain people complain about Sound of Freedom not being in that Box Office Achievement category, of which sounds a lot like that Most Popular Film category AMPAS considered and clearly sounds like an act of desperation by the HFPA.

[transformers2]

Why did you need to capitalize almost every word?

Meanwhile, it might be time to combine the Best Actor and Actress categories into one if No Hard Feelings could get a nomination. Also, watch certain people complain about Sound of Freedom not being in that Box Office Achievement category.

Copy/pasted the noms from Deadline and was too lazy to fix it.

[StarLord123]

You know that the "Cinematic and box office achievement" category is silly and pointless when a movie that lost money gets nominated (MI Dead Reckoning). I quite enjoyed that film and most of the other nominees, but it's still dumb.

Wish getting nominated for animated film over TMNT: Mutant Mayhem is also a real head-scratcher. MM puts nearly all recent Disney animation or Pixar films to shame.

[transformers2]

The Mutant Mayhem snub was actually one of the few times when I was reading through the nominations where I thought "there's the Hollywood Foreign Press, I recognize."