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[Buscemi]

But Indian films usually are pretty long. Lagaan, probably the best cricket film ever made, runs close to four hours.

[numbersix]

But Indian films usually are pretty long. Lagaan, probably the best cricket film ever made, runs close to four hours.

And made 900K at the box office in the US

[Buscemi]

But that was back in 2001 (and Lagaan only played in a few theatres). Indian films are much bigger now.

[numbersix]

That's a hell of a statement to make.

Out of all the films released by FIP, Eros, and UTV since the start of 2014 (which is about 67 films), only about 4 or 5 had OW PTAs of over 8K, which is what MS Dhoni needs to get the bonus. Not impossible, for sure, but it's very risky.

[Buscemi]

Surprised I was the only one to take more than two Madeas this week. I figured that based on the tracking, everyone would have filled up on it.

[Chienfantome]

Based on the tracking, Madea could have done less, and Ouija a bit more, and then they were neck and neck on the bonus potential.

[Buscemi]

Tracking had been increasing on Madea a few days before release. I wasn't expecting much from it (it had been a dormant franchise) but then the numbers began to look better and better as the release date approached.

I also noticed I was the only person to have The Girl on the Train on their slate and one of two with Denial (that one didn't do so well but still).

[transformers2]

I had 4 Madea's on my initial slate, but backed out because I wasn't confident enough in it. I don't really regret only taking 2 since I still finished in the top 3,000 for the week.

[Buscemi]

It looks like seven Hacksaw Ridges (I put Boo! as my eighth) will be the way to go this weekend. Doctor Strange is too expensive while Trolls could go either way.

[numbersix]

Inclined to do the same, Boosch. Think Hacksaw can hit mid teens in its opening, if not more. But it all depends on tracking on Dr Strange. Marvel + Cumberbatch is a mighty combo.

[Spectre]

My half-assing it while I was on vacation looks to be paying off (for all of you) haha. I'm toast this season.

Probably going to play that same Hacksaw combo although things can always change if tracking reveals something.

[transformers2]

I don't have nearly enough faith in Hacksaw to take it 7X. The adult-skewing dramas have been non-stop over the past month and I'm not convinced that the conservative Jesus-freak crowd is going to come out in droves for it. I'm going to wait to see how Dr. Strange does on Thursday night, but I currently have 2x Trolls, 2x Hacksaw, 2x Moonlight, Storks and Deepwater.

[Buscemi]

I'm only thinking about $10 million for the weekend on Hacksaw Ridge (the super-religious almost never see R-rated movies and this one's a rather hard R from what I've read) but I'm expecting Doctor Strange to underperform (it looks more Ant-Man to me than Iron Man). And I do think the good reviews on Hacksaw Ridge plus positive word-of-mouth (it should get an A from Cinemascore with an outside chance for an A+) will help it get the bonus.

[transformers2]

I have no doubt that Hacksaw Ridge will get great WOM and hold well, I just don't think that goodwill is going to make a huge impact on its OW. I expect to make it around $10-13 mil, which I don't think will be enough to secure the bonus (my money is on Trolls, but Doctor Strange could get it if its American box office ends up being comparable to its foreign opening).

[numbersix]

If you're expecting $10m for Hacksaw then you're expecting an opening below $65m for Dr Strange and an opening below $27m for Trolls.

Antman is an interesting benchmark as I see it as the floor for Dr Strange. Antman is a lesser character, but reviews and WOM were more muted and Rudd doesn't have the profile Benedict does. So Dr Strange should do significantly better than Antman's $57m opening. Trolls is harder to calculate, but being the first animation since Storks, which disappointed, I could see it hitting 30m with ease.