Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Mr. Columnist himself presents weekly analysis and tips.

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numbersix
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by numbersix »

If someone asked me to, and gave me a lot of booze, I'd definitely hate-watch. It could be the new The Room.

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transformers2
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

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Walleye413 wrote:I don't think this will help a ton financially, but I"m curious how many people are going to hate-watch it. It's become such a punching bag, there's got to be people who are going to go just to laugh at it.
There's a ton of stuff coming out at the holidays that are must-sees for me (Star Wars, Uncut Gems, Bombshell), so there's a chance I might not get to it, but I'm definitely intending to be apart of that crowd. It just looks so damn absurd and hilarious, and I want to be able to say that I saw such a beautiful trainwreck on the big screen.
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undeadmonkey
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by undeadmonkey »

transformers2 wrote:
Walleye413 wrote:I don't think this will help a ton financially, but I"m curious how many people are going to hate-watch it. It's become such a punching bag, there's got to be people who are going to go just to laugh at it.
There's a ton of stuff coming out at the holidays that are must-sees for me (Star Wars, Uncut Gems, Bombshell), so there's a chance I might not get to it, but I'm definitely intending to be apart of that crowd. It just looks so damn absurd and hilarious, and I want to be able to say that I saw such a beautiful trainwreck on the big screen.

SAME, will drag the wife with though to make it look like she dragged me along

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Buscemi2
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by Buscemi2 »

I'm still trying to figure out who the audience is for Bombshell and why Lionsgate picked it up when it feels like a film for a fringe indie label.

It wouldn't surprise me to see this end up making Welcome to Marwen-level numbers.
It's like what Lenin said...I am the walrus.

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numbersix
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by numbersix »

Buscemi2 wrote:I'm still trying to figure out who the audience is for Bombshell
It's obviously the same audience who made Late Night the success... oh, wait...

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W
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by W »

Early Deadline numbers:

Frozen 2 $130-140 M
Ford v Ferrari $16 M
Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood $13-14 M
21 Bridges $8.8-10 M
Midway/Playing with Fire $4.8 M
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BanksIsDaFuture
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by BanksIsDaFuture »

I'm 100% using my theater subscription to laugh at Cats in theater.
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W
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by W »

BanksIsDaFuture wrote:I'm 100% using my theater subscription to laugh at Cats in theater.
100% being dragged to Cats regardless by my 13 year old that has her Broadway playlist on nonstop.
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by Shrykespeare »

Friday estimates

Frozen II, $41.8M
A Beautiful Day, $4.5M
Ford v Ferrari, $4.5M
21 Bridges, $3.3M
Midway, $1.4M
Playing With Fire, $1.1M
The Good Liar, $1M



Weekend Projections

Frozen II, $120M
Ford v Ferrari, $16M
A Beautiful Day, $14.1M
21 Bridges, $9.1M
Midway, $4.9M
Playing With Fire, $4.8M
The Good Liar, $3.6M
Charlie's Angels, $3.4M
Last Christmas, $3.4M
Joker, $3M
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Buscemi2
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by Buscemi2 »

Interesting that they view Ford v. Ferrari having better Saturday and Sundays than A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. If so, a disappointing start for the latter, considering the reviews it's been getting.
It's like what Lenin said...I am the walrus.

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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by Screen203 »

Buscemi2 wrote:Interesting that they view Ford v. Ferrari having better Saturday and Sundays than A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. If so, a disappointing start for the latter, considering the reviews it's been getting.
Ford V Ferrari is actually doing better at the theaters around me than Beautiful Day.
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BanksIsDaFuture
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by BanksIsDaFuture »

$14M for Mr. Rogers is downright bad. I know it'll hope to have legs throughout the holidays and December, but jeez.
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by Shrykespeare »

Weekend Estimates

Top 10:
5 points - Frozen II, $127.0M
4 points - Ford v Ferrari, $16.0M
3 points - A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, $13.5M
2 points - 21 Bridges, $9.3M
1 point - Midway, $4.7M
Playing With Fire, $4.6M
The Good Liar, $3.4M
Charlie's Angels, $3.2M
Last Christmas, $3.0M
Joker, $2.8M



PTA:
5 points - Frozen II
4 points - Dark Waters
3 points - Waves
2 points - Honey Boy
1 point - Ford v Ferrari
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by Chienfantome »

It's gonna take huge legs for Beautiful Day to live up to our expectations for it. I really thought it would open higher than that.
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numbersix
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Re: Walleye's Weekly Winners - 11/22

Post by numbersix »

Yeah, even if it had a 4x multiple, you're still looking at $56m. Bomb of the season, perhaps. Guess Ford V Ferrari took the older male audience and Frozen 2 took its female audience

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