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Okay, Ron, it's the holidays, so we'll give you a pass. And a lump of coal.

It's too late to cobble anything together, so I'll just give some projections (this is from BoxOffice.com):

3-day weekend forecast:

Aquaman, $82M
Mary Poppins Returns, $36M ($50M 5-day)
Bumblebee, $22M
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse, $18M
The Mule, $11M
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch, $9.5M
Second Act, $6M
Ralph Breaks the Internet, $5.7M
Welcome to Marwen, $4M
Mortal Engines, $3.7M



Official Theater Counts:

Aquaman - 4,125
Mary Poppins Returns - 4,090
Bumblebee - 3,550
Second Act - 2,607
Welcome to Marwen - 1,911
They Shall Not Grow Old - 1,142
Cold War - 3

Mary Queen of Scots - expands to 795
The Favourite - expands to 790



Coming Monday:

Holmes and Watson - 2,719
Vice - 2,378
On the Basis of Sex - 33
Destroyer - 3




This week's celebrity milestone birthdays:

Rachel Griffiths turned 50 on 12/18
Katie Holmes turned 40 on 12/18
Josh Dallas turned 40 on 12/18
Samuel L. Jackson turned 70 on 12/21 (and STILL a bad motherfucker)
Joan Severance turns 60 on 12/23

Early estimates:

Aquaman $30 million Friday (including previews), $70-75 million weekend
Bumblebee $7 million Friday, $18-22 million weekend
Mary Poppins Returns $6.2 million Friday, $20-23 million weekend (seems like this was way overestimated, unless its legs are like The Greatest Showman's)
Second Act $3 million Friday, $7-10 million weekend
Welcome to Marwen $2.5 million weekend (Universal should be happy that an economical filmmaker did this one, unlike Mortal Engines)

Cinemascores:

Aquaman: A- (lower than Wonder Woman's A but higher than Justice League's B+)
Bumblebee: A- (higher than The Last Knight's B+ and on par with Age of Extinction's A-)
Mary Poppins Returns (polled Wednesday): A- (lower than both The Greatest Showman and Christopher Robin's A scores)
Second Act: B+ (on par with I Feel Pretty's B+, seemingly the best recent compare due to distributor and genre)
Welcome to Marwen: B- (the best compare seems to be Mortal Engines' B-, it's also Zemeckis's lowest Cinemascore since Beowulf's B-)

Friday Estimates

Aquaman, $28M
Bumblebee, $8.5M
Mary Poppins Returns, $6.7M
Spider-Man, $4.8M
The Mule, $4.2M
Second Act, $2.5M
The Grinch, $2.4M
Ralph 2, $1.3M

If Mary Poppins doesn't leg out to 300 million I'll eat figgy pudding.

Weekend Estimates

Top 10:
5 points - Aquaman, $67.4M
4 points - Mary Poppins Returns, $22.2M ($31.0M 5-day)
3 points - Bumblebee, $21.0M
2 points - Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse, $16.7M
1 point - The Mule, $9.9M
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch, $8.2M
Second Act, $6.5M
Ralph Breaks the Internet, $4.6M
Welcome to Marwen, $2.4M
Mary Queen of Scots, $2.2M


PTA:
5 points - If Beale Street Could Talk, $23K
4 points - Cold War, $18.6K
3 points - Aquaman, $16.3K
2 points - Bumblebee, $5.9K
1 point - Mary Poppins Returns, $5.4K

Mortal Engines dropping 77% without losing any theaters is honestly kind of hilarious

It was splitting screens at a number of places. Shouldn't be too surprising it dropped so hard.

BOM's list for this weekend is still pretty much all estimates, and much shorter than normal. I am posting these with the proviso that they MAY change in the future. (** means it's still just an estimate)

Top 10:
5 points - Aquaman, $67.4M** (5)
4 points - Mary Poppins Returns, $23.5M (4)
3 points - Bumblebee, $21.6M** (3)
2 points - Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse, $16.6M** (7)
1 point - The Mule, $9.7M** (5)
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch, $8.6M
Second Act, $6.5M**
Ralph Breaks the Internet, $4.7M
Welcome to Marwen, $2.4M
Mary Queen of Scots, $2.3M



PTA:
5 points - If Beale Street Could Talk, $21,853 (10)
4 points - Cold War, $18,118 (4)
3 points - Aquaman, $16,339** (3)
2 points - Bumblebee, $6,087** (2)
1 point - Mary Poppins Returns, $ 5,751** (1)



And look at some of the theater count drops:

Bohemian Rhapsody - down 1045 to 1168
Fantastic Beasts - down 1924 to 682
Instant Family - down 2116 to 744
Ralph Breaks the Internet - down 1080 to 2495
Creed II - down 1980 to 1127
Robin Hood - down 1490 to 230
Widows - down 1079 to 149

Walleye413 wrote:If Mary Poppins doesn't leg out to 300 million I'll eat figgy pudding.

Are you ready to accept your fate?