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Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18)

Mr. Columnist himself presents weekly analysis and tips.

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Re: Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18

Postby Buscemi2 » August 23rd, 2018, 9:03 pm

Searching has been well reviewed and it won the Alfred P. Sloan Prize at Sundance. However, such winners tend to be niche-appealed (last year's winner, Marjorie Prime, had a name lead in Jon Hamm but didn't manage much audience interest). I expect a good debut (I'm going to say $20,000 per theatre) but it's more than likely too highbrow for a mainstream audience.

And I see next week's counts weren't posted:

Kin - 2,100
Operation Finale (opens Wednesday) - 1,800
The Little Stranger - 475 (not promising for Lenny Abrahamson's follow-up to Room)
Ya Veremos - 350 (downgraded from a wide release)

Searching expands to 1,100 theatres.
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Re: Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18

Postby Ron Burgundy » August 23rd, 2018, 10:34 pm

yeah i think Searching can nab a few PTA points this weekend.

And im feel sorry for Happytime, the trailer looked pretty funny, 2 weeks ago i was certain this was going to be this years Hitmans Bodyguard. Now im unsure what audiences will go see, as apparently more and more people look on rottentomatoes.com before buying a ticket.
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Re: Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18

Postby numbersix » August 24th, 2018, 2:58 am

Searching should win this weekend. A social-media savvy techno-thriller with good reviews and good WOM from the fest circuit, released by Screen Gems/Sony? That's a good one. Might even nab a T5 point next week due to the poor state of the other wide releases.

Predictions
1. Crazy Rich Asians $17M
2. The Happytime Murders $12M
3. The Meg $11M
4. MI - Fallout $7M
5. Christopher Robin $6M

PTA: Searching, The Wife, Crazy Rich Asians, We the Animals, John McEnroe
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Re: Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18

Postby Buscemi2 » August 25th, 2018, 2:23 am

Cinemascores:

A.X.L.: B+
The Happytime Murders: C-
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Re: Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18

Postby Shrykespeare » August 25th, 2018, 11:49 am

Friday Estimates

Crazy Rich Asians, $7M
Happytime Murders, $3.9M
The Meg, $3.3M (should hit $100M on Sunday)
MI: Fallout, $2.3M
Chris Robin, $1.6M
Alpha, $1.6M
Blackkklansman, $1.4M
AXL, $812K



Projections:

Crazy Rich Asians, $23.5M
The Meg, $12.1M
Happytime Murders, $10M
MI: Fallout, $8.2M
Chris Robin, $6.5M
Mile 22, $5.7M
Alpha, $5.7M
Blackkklansman, $5.2M
Slender Man, $2.6M
AXL, $2.6M



PTA:

Searching, $33K
Crazy Rich Asians, $6K
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Re: Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18

Postby Walleye413 » August 25th, 2018, 4:42 pm

That hold for Crazy Rick Asians is ridiculous! And a great debut for Searching. When's the last time a 9 screen movie got that high of a PTA - usually 4 is the magic number.
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Re: Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18

Postby Chienfantome » August 26th, 2018, 3:48 am

Isle of Dogs got a $60,000 PTA out of 27 theaters ;) But it's still indeed a very solid number from Searching.
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Re: Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18

Postby Shrykespeare » August 26th, 2018, 12:51 pm

Weekend Estimates

Top 10:
5 points - Crazy Rich Asians, $25.0M
4 points - The Meg, $13.0M
3 points - The Happytime Murders, $10.0M
2 points - Mission: Impossible - Fallout, $8.0M
1 point - Disney's Christopher Robin, $6.3M
Mile 22, $6.0M
Alpha, $5.6M
BlacKkKlansman, $5.3M
A.X.L., $2.9M
Slender Man, $2.8M


PTA:
5 points - Searching
4 points - The Wife
3 points - John McEnroe: In the Realm of Perfection
2 points - Crazy Rich Asians
1 point - Juliet, Naked
Happy 60th birthday Viggo Mortensen! (10/20/18)
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Re: Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18

Postby undeadmonkey » August 26th, 2018, 4:20 pm

Fantastic hold for Crazy Rich Asians. havent seen anything like that since Jumanji and that was helped by the holidays.
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Re: Look! An Undead Movie Column... (New Releases of 8/24/18

Postby Shrykespeare » August 28th, 2018, 6:47 pm

Sorry this is a little late.

Weekend Actuals

Top 10:
5 points - Crazy Rich Asians, $24.8M (10)
4 points - The Meg, $12.8M (13)
3 points - The Happytime Murders, $9.5M (3)
2 points - Mission: Impossible - Fallout, $8.1M (18)
1 point - Mile 22, $6.4 (4)
Disney's Christopher Robin, $6.3M
Alpha, $6.0M
BlacKkKlansman, $51.M
A.X.L., $2.8M
Slender Man, $2.8M


PTA:
5 points - Searching, $43,197 (5)
4 points - The Wife, $11,819 (9)
3 points - John McEnroe: In the Realm of Perfection, $7,878 (3)
2 points - Crazy Rich Asians, $7,036 (3)
1 point - Juliet, Naked, $5,595 (4)
Happy 60th birthday Viggo Mortensen! (10/20/18)
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