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Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 23rd, 2016, 7:00 pm
by Shrykespeare
Thursday Estimates:

Rogue One, $16.8M
Sing, $9.6M
Passengers, $3.2M
Assassin's Creed, $2.9M
Moana, $2.6M
OCP, $1.3M

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 24th, 2016, 1:09 pm
by Shrykespeare
Friday Estimates:

Rogue One, $22.7M
Sing, $13.1M
Passengers, $4.5M
Why Him?, $3.9M
Assassin's Creed, $3.7M
Moana, $2.8M
OCP, $1.6M
Collateral Beauty, $1.2M
Fantastic Beasts, $1M
La La Land, $1M


Silence earned $64K in 4 theaters for a one-day PTA of $16K
Patriots Day earned $52.5K in 7 theaters for a one-day PTA of $7.5K
Fences earned $26K in 4 theaters for a one-day PTA of $6.5K



Based on these numbers, it's looking like the PTA will fall like this for the weekend:

5 - Silence
4 - Patriots Day
3 - Fences
2 - Rogue One
1 - La La Land

Unless, of course, the Sunday debuts upstage this.

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 24th, 2016, 1:31 pm
by numbersix
I think Fences and La La Land's wide Sunday may indeed affect that, and Julieta will squeeze in there somewhere.

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 26th, 2016, 8:14 pm
by Shrykespeare
Weekend Estimates (Fri-Sun)


Top 10:
5 points - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, $64.4M
4 points - Sing, $35.3M ($55.9M 5-day)
3 points - Passengers, $14.8M ($22.2M 5-day)
2 points - Why Him?, $11.0M
1 point - Assassins Creed, $10.3M ($17.8M 5-day)

6. Moana, $7.4M
7. Fences, $6.7M
8. La La Land, $5.7M
9. Office Christmas Party, $5.1M
10. Collateral Beauty, $4.3M
11. Manchester by the Sea, $3.0M
12. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, $2.9M
13. Jackie, $1.2M
14. Arrival, $1.1M


PTA:
5 points - Silence, $32,750
4 points - Patriots Day, $23,044
3 points - Hidden Figures, $20,620
2 points - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, $15,486
1 point - Julieta, $15,318

6. Sing, $8,774
7. Live By Night, $7,250
8. La La Land, $7,806
9. A Monster Calls, $7,728
10. Neruda, $5,161
11. Passengers, $4,270
12. The Wasted Times, $4,000
13. Why Him?, $3,788
14. Jackie, $3,549
15. Assassin's Creed, $3,461

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 27th, 2016, 4:18 am
by Chienfantome
Some films that opened this weekend could have doubled their PTA had they opened on another date. Way too crowded.

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 27th, 2016, 4:21 am
by Ron Burgundy
yeah i agree. Think it will be a whole new strategy next Christmas.

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 27th, 2016, 6:36 pm
by Shrykespeare
Weekend Actuals (3-day)

Top 14:
5 points - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, $64.0M
4 points - Sing, $35.3M ($55.9M 5-day)
3 points - Passengers, $15.1M ($22.4M 5-day)
2 points - Why Him?, $11.0M
1 point - Assassin's Creed, $10.3M ($17.8M 5-day)
Moana, $7.7M
Fences, $6.7M
La La Land, $5.8m
Office Christmas Party, $5.1M
Collateral Beauty, $4.3M
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, $2.9M
Manchester by the Sea, $2.8M
Jackie, $1.2M
Arrival, $1.1M



PTA:
5 points - Silence, $32,720
4 points - Patriots Day, $23,044
3 points - Hidden Figures, $20,620
2 points - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, $15,404
1 point - Julieta, $10,674

Just missing were Sing (6), Live By Night (7), La La Land (8), A Monster Calls (9) and Toni Erdmann (10).

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 28th, 2016, 8:26 am
by numbersix
Really surprised by Hidden Figures's PTA. It made 500K in one day alone. Think I've underestimated it - could be a breakout hit.

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 28th, 2016, 8:45 am
by Chienfantome
Yeah its score is quite amazing. A 20,000+ PTA on a single day, and in more than 20 theaters. With the solid reviews and the good word of mouth, it could be a breakout hit indeed.

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 29th, 2016, 1:43 am
by Shrykespeare
No column this week because no movies, so:

Celebrity birthdays:

Kit Harington turned 30 on 12/26
Joe Manganiello turned 40 on 12/28
Mary Tyler Moore turned 80 on 12/29
Danny McBride turned 40 on 12/29
Dylan Minette turned 20 on 12/29

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: December 31st, 2016, 1:32 pm
by Shrykespeare
Friday Estimates:

Rogue One, $18.2M
Sing, $16.8M
Passengers, $5.6M
Moana, $4.3M
Fences, $3.4M
Why Him?, $3.4M
La La Land, $3.1M
Assassin's Creed, $3.0M
Fantastic Beasts, $1.4M
Collateral Beauty,$1.4M
Manchester by the Sea, $1.4M
Office Xmas Party, $1.3M





Weekend Projections:

Rogue One, $50.2M
Sing, $42M
Passengers, $15.6M
Moana, $10.8M
Fences, $10.6M
La La Land, $10M
Why Him?, $8.8M
Assassin's Creed, $8.4M
Manchester by the Sea, $4.2M
Fantastic Beasts, $4M
Collateral Beauty, $3.8M



PTA:

Hidden Figures, $32K
Patriots Day, $21K
Silence, $20K
La La Land, $13K
Rogue One, $12K

Re: SIX TIPS, OR HOW TO PLEASE YOUR SLATE – XMAS BONANZA!!!

Posted: January 2nd, 2017, 2:42 pm
by Shrykespeare
Weekend Estimates:

Top 10:
5 points - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, $49.5M
4 points - Sing, $42.8M
3 points - Passengers, $16.1M
2 points - Moana, $11.0M
1 point - Why Him?, $10.6M
Fences, $10.0M
La La Land, $9.5M
Assassin's Creed, $8.6M
Manchester by the Sea, $4.2M
Collateral Beauty, $4.1M

PTA:
5 points - Hidden Figures
4 points - Patriots Day
3 points - Silence
2 points - Toni Erdmann
1 point - La la Land