You seem familiar, have I threatened you before?
Coming up first, we have Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them (Warner Bros). Otherwise known as 'Warner Bros really hopes we all care about a Harry Potter movie without Harry Potter in it'. Don't get me wrong, it's been 5 years since we left Harry, Hermoine, Ron and their children on King’s Cross Station and I would love to see another adventure. However, i can't help but detect a hint of desperation in the advertising and maybe even in the movie itself, chiefly with the announcements of 5 films being greenlit, the casting of Grindlewald, hints of Dumbledore showing up, and the cast just seems lackluster. That being said, the movie should still open in the $70M-$80M range and if the reviews stay favorable, i can see the opening inching a bit higher.
Not all treasure’s silver and gold, mate, but in this case I do think that is what Warner Bros is gunning for.
Storyline
The year is 1926 and Newt Scamander has just completed a global excursion to find and document an extraordinary array of magical creatures. Arriving in New York for a brief stopover, he might have come and gone without incident...were it not for a No-Maj (American for Muggle) named Jacob, a misplaced magical case, and the escape of some of Newt's fantastic beasts, which could spell trouble for both the wizarding and No-Maj worlds.
I’ll predict a $80M OW and $250M overall.
Close your eyes and pretend all a bad dream. That’s how I get by.
Next we have Edge of Seventeen (STX Entertainment). An R rated teen comedy from STX entertainment, it looks like a nonstarter, but maybe it's clever counter-programming. STX had a decent hit on their hands with Bad Moms in the summer. While, my Full Year slate is hoping for that answer, my gut says it's not summer and Hailee Steinfeld is no Mila Kunis. Though if she keeps picking up small parts in bigger movies, ala Pitch Perfect, maybe someday she can be Mila Kunis famous or even more if she plays her cards right...
Why is all the rum gone? maybe that's the only way to get through this movie, or the reason you have this on your slate....
Storyline
Everyone knows that growing up is hard, and life is no easier for high school junior Nadine (Hailee Steinfeld), who is already at peak awkwardness when her all-star older brother Darian (Blake Jenner) starts dating her best friend Krista (Haley Lu Richardson). All at once, Nadine feels more alone than ever, until the unexpected friendship of a thoughtful boy (Hayden Szeto) gives her a glimmer of hope that things just might not be so terrible after all.
I predict an opening of $8M with a total of $30M.
My tremendous intuitive sense of the female creature informs me that you are in trouble.
Also, according to BOM, debuting this week is Bleed for This (Open Road Films), Maybe i'm just out of the loop, but just like Shut In, i hadnt even heard of this movie.
You need to find yourself a girl, mate, Miles Teller. I heard great things about Whiplash but i never got around to seeing it. by the looks of it, replace drumming with boxing and you've got yourself a sequel of sorts.
Storyline
The inspirational story of World Champion Boxer Vinny Pazienza who, after a near fatal car crash, which left him not knowing if he'd ever walk again, made one of sports most incredible comebacks.
I predict an opening similar to Shut In, $3M with a total of $9M.
Why fight when you can negotiate?”
In limited release, Nocturnal Animals might have a shot at some PTA… but then again, maybe not, considering It's theater count. Debuting in 36 theaters, i suppose they are hoping that it's B-list star studded cast brings in the audience. Manchester by the Sea has a bit of a better chance at bringing in the PTA points, debuting in 4 theaters. It's current RT score of 98% can't hurt as well. Will Amazon Studios have it's first Oscar contender?
Wherever we want to go, we go… and i might go see these movies at the Redbox while i rent something else.
There are a touch more limited releases, but i don't think they are in the game so i'll skip those.
My predictions for the weekend of November 18-20, 2016:
1. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - $80 million
2. Doctor Strange - $22 million
3. Trolls - $17 million
4. Arrival - $12 million
5. Edge of Seventeen - $8 million
PTA:
5. Manchester by the Sea
4. Fantastic Beast
3. Nocturnal Animals
2. Billy Lynns
1. Loving
Until next time Ahoy
Now, Bring me that horizon!
