SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 4/2

[Buscemi]

Why Did I Get Married Too did $13 million on opening day. Clash Of The Titans did $30 million while The Last Song did $7.5 million on Friday.

Per theatre, it comes out as:

Clash Of The Titans: $7,943
Why Did I Get Married Too: $6,032
The Last Song: $2,805

Meanwhile, how does Hot Tub Time Machine's second weekend look? It seems like a 55-65% drop is in store but word of mouth has been positive and the film's actual opening weekend numbers were better than the studio's estimates (something that rarely happens).

[Shrykespeare]

BOM's Friday estimates:

1. Clash - $26.3M
2. Married - $12.35M
3. Dragon - $11.05M
4. Song - $7.1M
5. Alice - $3.0M
6. Hot Tub - $2.85M
7. Bounty - $2.4M
8. Diary - $2.35M

So it looks like the $70M prediction for Clash will be pretty darn close. I expect the numbers for Dragon to pick up on the weekend, since more kids see movies on Saturday and Sunday than on Friday.

[Shrykespeare]

Sunday Estimates

Top 5:

5 points - Clash of the Titans, $61.4M
4 points - Why Did I Get Married Too, $30.15M
3 points - How to Train Your Dragon, $29.2M
2 points - The Last Song, $16.2M ($25.6M 5-day)
1 point - Alice in Wonderland, $8.3M
Hot Tub Time Machine, $8.0M

PTA (Feb/Mar):

5 points - Clash of the Titans
4 points - Breaking Upwards
3 points - Why Did I Get Married Too?
2 points - How to Train Your Dragon
1 point - The Last Song

For PTA-April, remove Dragon and move Last Song up one spot. No word yet on The Greatest, Warlords or Thorn in the Heart.


User Ratings

Clash of the Titans - 6.8
The Last Song - 3.9
Why Did I Get Married Too - 4.3
Warlords - 7.2
Breaking Upwards - 7.0
Thorn in the Heart - 8.0
The Greatest - 6.7


So TP has another monster OW, but still gets no love from the IMDb crowd. Dragon drops less than 40%, while Hot Tub drops out of the Top 5 in Week 2. Breaking Upwards becomes a surprise PTA source.

[Shrykespeare]

Sunday Actuals


Top 5:

5 points - Clash of the Titans, $63.9M
4 points - Why Did I Get Married Too, $29.3M
3 points - How to Train Your Dragon, $29.0M
2 points - The Last Song, $16.0M ($25.4M 5-day)
1 point - Alice in Wonderland, $8.2M

PTA (April leagues)

5 points - Clash of the Titans, $16,213
4 points - Breaking Upwards, $15,467
3 points - Why Did I Get Married Too?, $13,591
2 points - The Last Song, $5,989
1 point - Thorn in the Heart, $5,173
The Greatest, $4,202
Warlords - $3,358

NOTE: For February and March leagues, insert How to Train Your Dragon above The Last Song for 2 points.


So Breaking Upwards is the only indie film to merit selection. This is becoming a pattern: the ones I think are least likely to score are doing just that. And what the hell happened to Terkel in Trouble? I haven't seen a single piece of data on that film.

[silversurfer19]

Obviously the studio are a little late with their updates. BOM has Terkel's first weekend PTA as $1,824 for a total box office of $3,648. Nothing since though.