SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 6/27

[BrocksterDuex]

with Tammy being the only release

Don't forget about Deliver Us From Evil...I think it may be a sleeper. I actually think it will beat Tammy that weekend.

[Chienfantome]

That's bold, Brockster.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

I don't see Deliver Us From Evil opening to more than $20M, while Tammy should get around $35M.

[BrocksterDuex]

I believe it will open similar to The Purge (34M)...I also think Tammy is going to flop. I don't think McCarthy can carry a movie on her own. And the movie looks dumb, even for a dumb comedy.

[ROBDude]

Transformers: Age Of Extinction now has 16% on Rotten Tomatoes.

Clearly I wasn't expecting that to happen since the film is the start of a new trilogy.

[Geezer]

Looking to land between 95-100 as of now.

[W]

Who's Bad News Barrett and is he somehow related to Bad News Brown?

[ROBDude]

Who's Bad News Barrett and is he somehow related to Bad News Brown?

He's a wrestler currently working for the WWE. His wrestling name before was Wade Barrett before going into the Bad News Barrett Gimmick in late 2013.

[Ron Burgundy]

Not a fan of McCarthy, I hope Tammy sinks like a ton of bricks. Didn't watch identity thief or the heat, zero interest. Bridesmaids was ok, but not because of her.

And not so sure about DUFE, but I have feeling it could break out as we haven't seen a horror in a while

[Shrykespeare]

Friday Estimates:

Transformers: Age of Extinction, $41.6M
22 Jump Street, $5M
How to Train Your Dragon 2, $4.1M
Think Like a Man Too, $3.4M
Maleficent, $2.6M
Jersey Boys, $2.2M
The Fault in Our Stars, $1.8M
Edge of Tomorrow, $1.6M



Weekend Projections

Transformers: Age of Extinction, $102M
22 Jump Street, $15.5M (-44%)
How to Train Your Dragon 2, $13.5M (-45%)
Think Like a Man Too, $10.8M (-63%)
Maleficent, $8.4M (-35%)
Jersey Boys, $7.4M
Edge of Tomorrow, $5.2M
The Fault in Our Stars, $5.1M
X-Men: Days of Future Past, $3.2M


So Transformers cracks nine digits after all the crap we've heard? I'll wait until the final numbers come out before I gasp in surprise.

And bad WOM is going to kill its second weekend. I'd be surprised if next weekend it made more than $45M (and only that high because of the holiday).

[BanksIsDaFuture]

Wow, that drop for Think Like A Man

[numbersix]

Begin Again is beating Snowpiercer in terms of Friday PTA. Considering I'm rarely right about anything, i should use this opportunity to enjoy myself!

[BanksIsDaFuture]

Begin Again is beating Snowpiercer in terms of Friday PTA. Considering I'm rarely right about anything, i should use this opportunity to enjoy myself!

But both of them are expanding pretty aggressively next week, so I think they're both out of PTA points.

Snowpiercer is adding 117 theaters on Wednesday and another 27 on Friday, while Begin Again is listed as "Everywhere" on Wednesday as well.

[numbersix]

Nuts. Up until recently the posters for Begin Again had said "everywhere on July 11". Never trust Harvey.

[JohnErle]

To be fair, Harvey never said it wouldn't be everywhere on July 4th.