SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 11/15

[numbersix]

Wow. Did not see that coming. I guess the lack of competition really does help. Glad I took it in a few slates as a filler, although I hope it won't end up with a Tyler Perry IMDB rating.

[numbersix]

Another wow. Nebraska opened to a whopping 410,000 on its opening day alone. In 4 theatres. That suggests a weekend PTA of over 300K, an all time record for a live action film.

Perhaps there was a mistake and it's 41,000 for the Friday. We'll find out tomorrow.

[silversurfer19]

I took Nebraska on pretty much every Ultimate slate, I think it is one of the most obvious choices for double digit PTA over the next couple of months, especially considering so many of the other more recent juggernauts in that department are starting to expand. Will be interesting to see how next weekend plays out what with both Hunger Games and Frozen in the mix, as well as Philomena, should be quite the battle.

I also took Best Man Holiday in as many slates as possible, though I wish I could have squeezed into my final Super League slate, just a dollar short though, so here's hoping Black Nativity can follow suit...

[numbersix]

It was a typo. Only earned 41K on its opening Friday, suggesting a weekend PTA of about 35K. Not bad but the weakest of Payne's films. Should still do well with the older crowd through.

Bruce Dern Vs Judi Dench. That's a mud wrestle no one wants to see.

[Shrykespeare]

Stock Report


Ultimate FY (R9, R10 - 13 players)

Best Man Holiday - 1,0
Nebraska - 8, 8
Faust - 1, 0



Ultimate HY (R4, R5 - 20 players)

Best Man Holiday - 0, 2
Nebraska - 10, 13
Faust - 1, 1



Box Office FY (R9, R10 - 16 players)

Faust - 0, 2



Box Office HY (R4, R5 - 19 players)

Best Man Holiday - 2, 2
Nebraska - 1, 1
Faust - 1, 0

[Shrykespeare]

Friday Estimates

Best Man Holiday, $10.7M
Thor: The Dark World, $10.5M
Last Vegas, $2.5M
Bad Grandpa, $2.3M
Free Birds, $1.8M
Ender's Game, $1.7M
Gravity, $1.7M
12 Years a Slave, $1.3M
Captain Phillips, $1.3M
About Time, $1.1M

The Book Thief is looking at a PTA of about $8-9K this weekend, which might be good enough for #3, depending on what Faust does.



Weekend Projections:

Thor: The Dark World, $37.5M
The Best Man Holiday, $31M
Last Vegas, $8.6M
Free Birds, $7.7M
Bad Grandpa, $7.6M
Gravity, $6.3M
Ender's Game, $6.1M
12 Years a Slave, $4.9M
Captain Phillips, $4.6M
About Time, $3.4M

[Chienfantome]

Waouh. Best Man Holiday, really ?

[Shrykespeare]

Weekend Estimates

Top 10:
5 points - Thor: The Dark World, $38.5M
4 points - The Best Man Holiday, $30.6M
3 points - Last Vegas, $8.9M
2 points - Free Birds, $8.3M
1 point - Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, $7.7M
Gravity, $6.3M
Ender's Game, $6.2M
12 Years a Slave, $4.7M
Captain Phillips, $4.5M
About Time, $3.5M

PTA:
5 points - Nebraska ($35K)
4 points - The Best Man Holiday
3 points - The Book Thief
2 points - Thor: The Dark World
1 point - Dallas Buyers Club

No word yet on Faust.

[numbersix]

From Friday's figure (about 2K per screen) I don't think Faust will beat Dallas Buyer's Club

[Walleye413]

From Friday's figure (about 2K per screen) I don't think Faust will beat Dallas Buyer's Club

Well Crap

[Shrykespeare]

Weekend Actuals

Top 10:
5 points - Thor: The Dark World, $36.6M
4 points - The Best Man Holiday, $30.1M
3 points - Last Vegas, $8.4M
2 points - Free Birds , $8.1M
1 points - Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa, $7.4M
Gravity, $6.1M
Ender's Game, $6.0M
12 Years a Slave, $4.6M
Captain Phillips, $4.4M
About Time, $3.3M

PTA:
5 points - Nebraska, $35,100
4 points - The Best Man Holiday, $14,875
3 points - The Book Thief, $14,501
2 points - Thor: The Dark World, $9,525
1 point - Dallas Buyers Club, $9,518

Faust came in 6th with a PTA of $5,015.

[JohnErle]

So Thor was overestimated by a full $2 million? I guess the Norse God has shot his Norse wad.

(I bet Variety didn't lead with that headline.)