Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 4/19/13

[Chienfantome]

Quick: name the last original Tom Cruise film to gross over $100M.
(You'd need to go back to 2004's Collateral for the answer - 9 YEARS AGO!!)

That's because Tom Cruise doesn't do original movies all that often...

[Shrykespeare]

Official Theater Counts:

Oblivion - 3,782
The Lords of Salem - 354
In the House - N/A

The Place Beyond the Pines - expands to 1,542


Estimates for next week:

Pain & Gain - 2,900
The Big Wedding - 2,500
The Reluctant Fundamentalist
Kon-Tiki - 2

[BanksIsDaFuture]

Anyone have any idea why Side Effects is coming back in so many theaters this week?

[numbersix]

Anyone have any idea why Side Effects is coming back in so many theaters this week?

Second run theatres?

[Chienfantome]

Or maybe some theaters finally managed to start a Channing Tatum Day. Finally !

[BanksIsDaFuture]

Anyone have any idea why Side Effects is coming back in so many theaters this week?

Second run theatres?

No, it's a bunch of first-run getting it back here in Buffalo. It went from 52 to 645 today, just strange.

[Brockster]

Early numbers are pointing to a mid-30's opening for Oblivion.

[Shrykespeare]

Stock Report

Ultimate FY (R2, R3, R4 - 40 players)

Oblivion - 13, 6, 3
In the House - 3, 5, 6
The Lords of Salem - 2, 3, 3


Ultimate HY (R2, R3, R4 - 35 players)

Oblivion - 12, 5, 4
In the House - 3, 1, 5
The Lords of Salem - 3, 1, 1



Box Office FY (R2, R3, R4 - 42 players)

Oblivion - 16, 3, 4
In the House - 0, 0, 0
The Lords of Salem - 9, 4, 6


Box OFfice HY (R2, R3, R4 - 35 players)

Oblivion - 14, 3, 6
In the House - 0, 0, 0
The Lords of Salem - 6, 2, 2


Bankrupts, 2nd Quarter (Ult - 10 players; BO - 11 players)

Oblivion - 1, 4

[W]

Deadline now says $39+ m for Oblivion and has the top five like this:

1. Oblivion $39 m
2. 42 $17.8 m
3. Croods $9.9 m
4. Scary Movie V $5.8 m
5. Joe 2 $5.6 m
6. Pines $4.7 m

Great holds for #2 and 3.

[Shrykespeare]

Friday Estimates:

Oblivion, $13.3M
42, $5.2M
The Croods, $2.2M
Scary Movie 5, $2.1M
G.I. Joe: Retaliation, $1.5M
The Place Beyond the Pines, $1.4M
Evil Dead, $1.4M
Olympus Has Fallen, $1.2M
Jurassic Park 3D, $1.0M


Weekend Projections:

Oblivion, $38M
42, $18M
The Croods, $9.5M
Scary Movie 5, $6.2M
G.I. Joe: Retaliation, $5.7M
The Place Beyond the Pines, $4.6M
Olympus Has Fallen, $4.3M
Evil Dead, $4.1M
Jurassic Park, $3.7M
Oz: The Great and Powerful, $3.0M
TP's Temptation, $2.2M

Also:
Filly Brown, $1.8M (188 theaters)

[Chienfantome]

Scary movie 5 seems to be hodling better than I expected... (well, sort of)

[Shrykespeare]

Weekend Estimates

Top 10:
5 points - Oblivion, $38.2M
4 points - 42, $18.0M
3 points - The Croods, $9.5M
2 points - Scary Movie 5, $6.3M
1 point - G.I. Joe: Retaliation, $5.8M
The Place Beyond the Pines, $4.7M
Olympus Has Fallen, $4.5M
Evil Dead, $4.1M
Jurassic Park 3D, $4.0M
Oz: The Great and Powerful, $3.0M

PTA:
5 points - In the House
4 points - Oblivion
3 points - 42
2 points - The Company You Keep
1 point (Feb/Mar leagues) - The Place Beyond the Pines
1 point (Apr leagues) - The Angels' Share

Wow. I got the PTA top 5 for the April leagues right! Yay!

[Brockster]

18 top 5 points now for Croods! Almost a must have at this point, especially for the Feb-Apr leagues.

[Shrykespeare]

Weekend Actuals

Top 10:
5 points - Oblivion, $37.1M
4 points - 42, $17.7M
3 points - The Croods, $9.2M
2 points - Scary Movie 5, $6.2M
1 point - G.I. Joe: Retaliation, $5.8M
The Place Beyond the Pines, $4.9M
Olympus Has Fallen, $4.7M
Evil Dead, $4.1M
Jurassic Park 3D, $4.1M
Oz: The Great and Powerful, $3.0M

PTA:
5 points - In the House, $10,480
4 points - Oblivion, $9,795
3 points - 42, $5,453
2 points - The Company You Keep, $4,719
1 point (Feb/Mar) - The Place Beyond the Pines, $3,189
1 point (Apr) - The Angels' Share, $1,867

[Chienfantome]

I was expecting a stronger PTA number from "In the House". But it still got 5 points so... I'm a bit disappointed too with the hold of 42.