SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 3/22/13

[Brockster]

Very early numbers from THR:

Croods 40-42
Olympus 25
Admission 6.5-7.5
Springbreakers 6

[Geezer]

25 from OHF!?!?!?! What the fuck!!!

[Brockster]

Hopefully this will teach Gerard Butler where he should stay movie-wise...and hopefully he'll quit making dumb romantic comedies (and when I say comedies I'm using that word as loosely as possible).

Edit: I just checked his movies on boxofficemojo.com...let me retract my statement b/c it's not just rom coms...what a list of bombs (except How to Train Your Dragon and 300...and maybe Law Abiding Citizen)...this guy needs to fire his agent.

[numbersix]

25 from OHF!?!?!?! What the fuck!!!

Early tracking had suggested this could do well, but man isn't it crazy that it could do better than Die Hard 5? Goes to show that nobody knows nothing.

[Shrykespeare]

Stock Report


Ultimate Full-Year (R1, R2, R3 - 45 players)

The Croods - 27, 13, 4
Admission - 1, 1, 2
Olympus Has Fallen - 5, 0, 3
Gimme the Loot - 1, 0, 0
No Place on Earth - 3, 2, 2
Love and Honor - 0, 1, 1


Ultimate Half-Year (R1, R2, R3 - 43 players)

The Croods - 19, 12, 7
Admission - 2, 3, 1
Olympus Has Fallen - 6, 4, 2
Gimme the Loot - 0, 2, 1
No Place on Earth - 3, 3, 3
Love and Honor - 2, 0, 0


Box Office Full-Year (R1, R2, R3 - 47 players)

The Croods - 27, 19, 3
Admission - 2, 1, 2
Olympus Has Fallen - 7, 7, 5
Gimme the Loot - 1, 1, 0
No Place on Earth - 2, 2, 1
Love and Honor - 2, 1, 0


Box Office Half-Year (R1, R2, R3 - 44 players)

The Croods - 29, 22, 5
Admission - 3, 1, 2
Olympus Has Fallen - 5, 6, 6
Gimme the Loot - 0, 1, 0
No Place on Earth - 2, 3, 0
Love and Honor - 0, 0, 0


Bankrupts Leagues, 1st Quarter (Ult - 11 players; BO - 13 players)

Admission - 3, 5
Olympus Has Fallen - 0, 1

[Chienfantome]

this guy needs to fire his agent.

That's certainly true, for both Butler and Aaron Eckhart. Eckhart even more.

[Shrykespeare]

Friday Estimates:

The Croods, $11.6M
Olympus Has Fallen, $10.4M
Oz: The Great and Powerful, $5.6M
The Call, $2.7M
Spring Breakers, $2.1M
Admission, $2.1M
Burt Wonderstone, $1.3M
Jack the Giant Slayer, $765K
Identity Thief, $758K
Snitch, $542K


Weekend Projections:

The Croods, $42.5M
Olympus Has Fallen, $28M
Oz: The Great and Powerful, $20.5M
The Call, $8.8M
Admission, $6.2M
Spring Breakers, $5.2M
Burt Wonderstone, $4.3M
Jack the Giant Slayer, $2.7M
Identity Thief, $2.5M
Snitch, $1.8M

[silversurfer19]

Disappointed I didn't take Olympus on more slates, I only have it on a draft league and a 1v1. The Croods is performing as expected, which is good. I expect it will do even better over the Easter break with all the kids off school. Glad I took it on most slates. Admission bombed even greater than expected.

[Chienfantome]

Yeah I got cold feet on Olympus and scratched it from a couple of slates on thursday. I still have it on a select few, and of course on the big draft, which is great.

[Shrykespeare]

Weekend Estimates:

Top 10:
5 points - The Croods, $44.7M
4 points - Olympus Has Fallen, $30.5M
3 points - Oz: The Great and Powerful, $22.0M
2 points - The Call, $8.7M
1 point - Admission, $6.4M
Spring Breakers, $5M
The Incredible Burt Wonderstone, $4.3M
Jack the Giant Slayer, $3.0M
Identity Thief, $2.5M
Snitch, $1.9M

PTA:
5 points - Gimme the Loot
4 points - The Croods
3 points - From Up on Poppy Hill
2 points - Olympus Has Fallen
1 point - Oz: The Great and Powerful

I didn't realize that Starbuck was opening this week, I thought it was next week. Anyway, it will fall just short of PTA points. So did Spring Breakers. No word yet on No Place on Earth or Love and Honor.

[Chienfantome]

More than $30M for Olympus has Fallen on opening weekend, wow... Better than the most optimistic projections.

[empire13]

$30 Million for Olympus Has Fallen is quite impressive. While I'm surprised that a Gerard Butler and Aaron Eckhart film has generated that O.W. box office, I guess I shouldn't be surprised that an Antoine Fuqua film has been this well received. After all, I've seen fit to own three of his films (Tears of the Sun, Training Day and Shooter) and have an appreciation for several others (King Arthur, Brooklyn's Finest and The Replacement Killers). While most of his films fall under the heading of action movies, they all have a very refined slickness to them that I like. Additionally, his rich and detailed attention to color schemes makes his films even more attractive. I just wish he hadn't done Bait.

[SuperShaan]

So what does Olympus Has Fallen opening mean for White House Down?

The expectations for White House Down have to go up, right?

[Shrykespeare]

Weekend Actuals


Top 10:
5 points - The Croods, $43.6M
4 points - Olympus Has Fallen, $30.4M
3 points - Oz: The Great and Powerful, $21.6M
2 points - The Call, $8.9M
1 point - Admission, $6.2M
Spring Breakers, $4.9M
The Incredible Burt Wonderstone, $4.3M
Jack the Giant Slayer, $2.9M
Identity Thief, $2.6M
Snitch, $1.9M

PTA (all leagues):
5 points - Gimme the Loot, $23,400
4 points - The Croods, $10,786
3 points - From Up on Poppy Hill, $9,949
2 points - Olympus Has Fallen, $9,804
1 point - Oz: The Great and Powerful, $5,669

STILL no word on No Place on Earth or Love and Honor. I may have to wait until tomorrow to do the league standings updates.


ETA: According to the-numbers.com, Love and Honor managed only $2,815 in two theaters for a PTA of $1,408. Where are the numbers for No Place on Earth?

[Chienfantome]

Where are the numbers for No Place on Earth?

There are none, the film is getting released on April 5th.