SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Mr. Columnist himself presents weekly analysis and tips.

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silversurfer19
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by silversurfer19 »

Chienfantome wrote:But The Last Stand, remember, is the first english-language film of Korean director Kim Jee-Woon, who directed "I saw the Devil", "The good, the bad, the weird", "A bittersweet life" and a couple of other great films...
For A Tale Of Two Sisters alone I'm intrigued, but I hardly think you're standard Arnie fan even knows what those films are, never mind who directed them, so I hardly think that will have any impact on it's performance.

I'm with W, I think January for the most part is a chance to catch up on what we've missed over the last month or so.

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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by Chienfantome »

I was just precising that to underline the fact the film has a great shot at being good, more than to say it will have success, indeed.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by transformers2 »

Chienfantome wrote:I was just precising that to underline the fact the film has a great shot at being good, more than to say it will have success, indeed.
I'm with you on that. I don't think it will be a hit, but with Woon's involvement and Ahnold's return to the big screen, I think it will be a rather enjoyable action movie.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by Shrykespeare »

Official Theater Counts:

Texas Chainsaw 3D - 2,654
Promised Land - 1,675
The Impossible - 572
Not Fade Away - 565
A Dark Truth - 1


Estimates for next week:

Gangster Squad - 3,000+
Zero Dark Thirty - 2,400
A Haunted House - 2,200
Quartet - 2
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by Brockster »

Quartet is gonna kill next week on the PTA front...just my humble opinion...2 theaters is a nice count :)

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numbersix
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by numbersix »

Wow, Texas Chainsaw won Friday's box office with $10m. This is going to solidfy the trend of horror movies opening up every year.

Texas could even win the weekend with $20m. Still not worth it in the FM game, as the T5 points will be countered with an awful IMDB rating.

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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by Shrykespeare »

Friday Estimates:

Texas Chainsaw, $10.2M
Django Unchained, $6.2M
The Hobbit, $5.2M
Les Mis, $4.9M
Parental Guidance, $3.1M
Jack Reacher, $3.0M
This is 40, $2.7M
Lincoln, $1.6M
The Guilt Trip, $1.5M
Promised Land, $1.3M

Zero Dark Thirty, $825K ($13,750 PTA)


Weekend Projections:

Texas Chainsaw, $22.5M
Django Unchained, $19.8M
The Hobbit, $17.5M
Les Mis, $16.3M
Parental Guidance, $10.3M
Jack Reacher, $9.4M
This is 40, $8.7M
Lincoln, $5.4M
The Guilt Trip, $4.7M
Monsters Inc. 3D, $3.9M

Promised Land, $3.8M (1,676 theaters)
Zero Dark Thirty, $2.6M (60 theaters)
The Impossible, $2.5M (572 theaters)
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by Shrykespeare »

Stock Report:


MS Ult (R1, R2 - 31 players)

Texas Chainsaw - 0, 0
A Dark Truth - 0, 1


MS BO (R1, R2 - 31 players)

Texas Chainsaw - 1, 2
A Dark Truth - 0, 0


2013 Super League Ult R1 (FY - 36 players, HY1 - 36 players)

Texas Chainsaw - 2, 2
A Dark Truth - 4, 4


2013 Super League BO R1 (FY - 38 players, HY1 - 35 players)

Texas Chainsaw - 4, 1
A Dark Truth - 0, 0
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by Shrykespeare »

Weekend Estimates

All of the holdovers only dropped between 28 and 45%.

Top 10:
5 points - Texas Chainsaw 3D, $23.0M
4 points - Django Unchained, $20.1M ($106M total)
3 points - The Hobbit: AUJ, $17.5M
2 points - Les Miserables, $16.1M ($103M total)
1 point - Parental Guidance, $10.1M
Jack Reacher, $9.3M
This is 40, $8.6M
Lincoln, $5.3M
The Guilt Trip, $4.5M
Promised Land, $4.3M

15. The Impossible, $2.76M
16. Zero Dark Thirty, $2.75M


PTA (Nov/Dec):
5 points - Zero Dark Thirty
4 points - Amour
3 points - Texas Chainsaw 3D
2 points - Django Unchained
1 point - Les MIserables

For January, I will assume that TC3D will get 5 points and A Dark Truth will get 4 points.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by Chienfantome »

Zero Dark Thirty PTA is phenomenal. TCM really surprised.
I think I messed up for the first OVer/Under game of the season...
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by Shrykespeare »

Weekend Actuals

Top 10:
5 points - Texas Chainsaw 3D, $21.7M
4 points - Django Unchained, $20.0M
3 points - The Hobbit: AUJ, $17.5M
2 points - Les Miserables, $16.0M
1 point - Parental Guidance, $9.7M
Jack Reacher, $9.2M
This is 40, $8.4M
Lincoln, $5.4M
The Guilt Trip, $4.4M
Promised Land, $4.0M

#15. The Impossible, $2.8M
#16. Zero Dark Thirty, $2.7M


PTA (Nov/Dec):
5 points - Zero Dark Thirty, $44,933
4 points - Amour, $19,944
3 points - Texas Chainsaw 3D, $8,193
2 points - Django Unchained, $6,648
1 point - Les Miserables, $5,515

PTA (Jan):
5 points - Texas Chainsaw 3D, $8,193
4 points - A Dark Truth, $630

That's got to be a record low for a film earning 4 PTA points. Don't'cha love this game?
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 1/4/13

Post by Chienfantome »

It's gotta be indeed Shryke. But I'm even more surprised A Dark Truth grossed so much :lol:
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