SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 12/25, 12/28

[Chienfantome]

From what I read on Deadline, all three new films got A- Cinemascores...

[Buscemi]

Call me surprised on Django. I really thought that smaller cities were going to detest it.

I guess the Western crowd isn't all old racists after all.

[silversurfer19]

Box Office Mojo has announced it's Christmas Day figures:

1. Les Miserables - $18.1m
2. Django Unchained - $15.0m
3. The Hobbit - $11.3m
4. Parental Guidance - $6.3m
5. Jack Reacher - $5.3m
6. This Is 40 - $4.4m
7. The Guilt Trip - $2.6m
8. Lincoln - $2.3m
9. Monsters Inc. $1.4m
10. Life Of Pi - $1.3m

Silver Linings Playbook brought in $1.1m on it's first day of expansion into 745 theatres, which is still a pretty good hold PTA wise.

PTA wise:

1. Zero Dark Thirty - $22, 400
2. Les Miserables - $6,450
3. Django Unchained - $4,987
4. The Impossible - $3,400
5. Not Fade Away - $3,000

No numbers for Amour yet.

[numbersix]

Call me surprised on Django. I really thought that smaller cities were going to detest it.

I guess the Western crowd isn't all old racists after all.

Well, none of us always get it right. Best to see this as a lesson: we all argued against you so sometimes your instinct isn't always right. Try to find the rift between you and the general public and you'll find yourself performing even better in these games.

Kudos for clinging to Parental Guidance, though, as it looks like it'll fare well.

[Brockster]

Nice Wed. hold for The Hobbit...if the estimates are true, surprised it beat Django

[Brockster]

Hobbit is starting to show it's legs.

[Wrestler]

Early Weekend Estimates via Deadline:
1. The Hobbit (MGM/Wwarner Bros) Week 3 [Runs 4,100] PG13
Friday $10.0M, Est Weekend $32.5M, Est Cume $220.0M

2. Django Unchained (Sony/Weinstein) Week 1 [Runs 3,010] R
Friday $9.3M, Est Weekend $28.7M, Est Cume $59.4M

3. Les Misérables (Working Title/Universal) Week 1 [Runs 2,814] PG13
Friday $9.3M, Est Weekend $28.4M, Est Cume $66.5M

4. Parental Guidance (Walden/Fox) Week 1 [Runs 3,367] PG
Friday $5.0M, Est Weekend $14.5M, Est Cume $29.4M

5. Jack Reacher (Skydance/Paramount) Week 2 [Runs 3,352] PG13
Friday $4.5M, Est Weekend $13.2M, Est Cume $43.5M

6. This Is 40 (Universal) Week 2 [Runs 2,914] R
Friday $3.8M, Est Weekend $11.4M, Est Cume $35.3M

7. Lincoln (DreamWorks/Fox/Disney) Week 8 [Runs 1,966] PG13
Friday $2.3M, Est Weekend $7.0M, Est Cume $131.5M

8. Monsters Inc 3D (Pixar/Disney) Week 2 [Runs 2,618] G
Friday $2.3M, Est Weekend $6.5M, Est Cume $18.6M

9. The Guilt Trip (Skydance/Paramount) Week 2 [Runs 2,431] PG13
Friday $2.0M, Est Weekend $6.0M, Est Cume $20.4M

10. Rise Of The Guardians (DWA/Par) Week 5 [Runs 3,031]
Friday $1.8M, Est Weekend $5.5M, Est Cume $90.9M

[Shrykespeare]

BOM Friday Estimates:

The Hobbit, $10.7M
Django Unchained, $9.7M
Les Miserables, $9.4M
Parental Guidance, $5.0M
Jack Reacher, $4.5M
This is 40, $4.1M
Lincoln, $2.4M
Monsters, Inc. 3D, $2.3M
The Guilt Trip, $2.2M
Rise of the Guardians, $1.8M


BoxOffice Weekend Projections:

The Hobbit, $32.5M
Django Unchained, $29M ($62M 6-day)
Les Miserables, $28.6M ($68M 6-day)
Parental Guidance, $14.8M ($29.5M 6-day)
Jack Reacher, $13.8M
This is 40, $12.8M
Lincoln, $7.5M
The Guilt Trip, $6.7M
Monsters, Inc. 3D, $6.6M
Rise of the Guardians, $5.2M


Looks like ZD30 will hit $40-50K in PTA. Django, Les Mis and The Impossible will probably be between $8-10K. No word yet on Promised Land.

[numbersix]

Early reports for Promised Land are not good. It made a Friday PTA of just over $2K, meaning it'll make $6-8K for thr weekend. It'll struggle to gain PTA points, and at this rate a wide expansion seems like a mistake.

[Geezer]

I really can't figure that one out. It's been advertised like crazy and looks like a great movie. C'est la vie.

[numbersix]

Well it's failing to beat the huge competition, and the poor reviews are hurting it.

[Shrykespeare]

Weekend Estimates:

Top 12:
5 points - The Hobbit: AUJ, $32.9M (down only 10%)
4 points - Django Unchained, $30.7M ($64.0M 6-day)
3 points - Les Miserables, $28.0M ($67.5M 6-day)
2 points - Parental Guidance, $14.8M ($29.6M 6-day)
1 point - Jack Reacher, $14.0M
This is 40, $13.2M
Lincoln, $7.5M
The Guilt Trip, $6.7M
Monsters, Inc. 3D, $6.4M
Rise of the Guardians, $4.9M
Skyfall, $4.6M
Silver Linings Playbook, $4.1M

PTA:
5 points - Zero Dark Thirty
4 points - Amour
3 points - The Impossible
2 points - Django Unchained
1 point - Les Miserables

So Promised Land doesn't even get one PTA point. Fuckity fuck fuck.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

I really can't figure that one out. It's been advertised like crazy and looks like a great movie. C'est la vie.

I wouldn't say advertised like crazy, I only saw the trailer before Skyfall. No TV spots, no print ads, nothing. Plus it's about fracking, which I don't think I will drive people to the theater en masse.

[Geezer]

Matt Damon generally drives people to the theater. I've seen the trailer attached to every movie I've seen in the past few months. It looks like a movie older audiences would eat up. Maybe the legs will be decent into January.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

It may do a bit better in January wide release, it's just got too much competition right now. Zero Dark Thirty and Amour are destroying in arthouses, and Django and Les Miz in multiplexes. With all the crap January movies, it may get to breathe a bit.