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SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby J.I. » January 9th, 2010, 3:16 pm

Mel Gibson's return to movies will help out Edge of Darkness greatly. Plus it has an advantage over Taken from last year and From Paris with Love this year by not coming out on Super Bowl weekend.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby Buscemi » January 9th, 2010, 7:09 pm

I've been seeing $10 million on Leap Year and $7 million on Youth In Revolt.

Meanwhile, I'm surprised about Daybreakers' numbers. It looks like the kind of thing that Lionsgate would have dumped into second-run last summer (mainly due to the fact that it was filmed three years ago).
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby W » January 9th, 2010, 8:42 pm

As long as it doesn't look like it was filmed three years ago, I don't think it makes a difference.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby Shrykespeare » January 10th, 2010, 2:45 pm

BOM's Sunday Estimates


Top 5
5 points - Avatar, $48.5M
4 points - Sherlock Holmes, $16.6M
3 points - Alvin & Chipmunks, $16.3M
2 points - Daybreakers, $15M
1 point - It's Complicated, $11M
Leap Year, $9.2M
Youth in Revolt, $7.0M

PTA
5 points - Avatar
4 points - The Lovely Bones
3 points - A Single Man
2 points - Daybreakers
1 point - Sherlock Holmes

That makes 20 T5 points for Avatar and 16 PTA points for Lovely Bones. Not too shabby.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby J.I. » January 11th, 2010, 1:50 am

Man, Avatar is staying up there. It should be able to break the fifth weekend record with relative ease and probably win the MLK weekend.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby Buscemi » January 11th, 2010, 1:56 am

It will probably stay at the top until early February. Nothing will stop it until Valentine's Day opens, probably.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby W » January 11th, 2010, 2:24 am

Unless Eli or Edge does well... Maybe Paris as well. IMO one of those films are going to break out. The Denzel/Gibson/Travolta effect has to hit one out of three I would think.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby silversurfer19 » January 11th, 2010, 2:28 am

I'd take From Paris With Love as the darkhorse, Eli is coming out with Avatar still going strong, while I don't think Gibson has the box office pull he once had. I'd take the director of Taken with Travolta as the one to break the Avatar monopoly.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby W » January 11th, 2010, 2:40 am

I was kind of thinking that as well. Also, The Tooth Fairy could surprise like The Game Plan did, though I doubt it. The Disney marketing machine isn't behind this one.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby Buscemi » January 11th, 2010, 2:57 am

I actually think Dear John will outopen From Paris With Love. From Paris With Love is rated R so the the younger teen boys will be forced to sit through Dear John with their girlfriends.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby Geezer » January 11th, 2010, 1:20 pm

Agreed on Dear John beating Paris with Love. Paris looks like utter crap. I am an action junkie and I don't even want to see it. John Travolta, just stop, you can't pull off these roles.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby J.I. » January 11th, 2010, 7:10 pm

I think Tooth Fairy will be able to win its opening weekend. I can just imagine how people would react if Avatar finally got stopped by Tooth Fairy.
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Re: SPEARE'S TIPS - THE FILMS OF 1/8

Postby Shrykespeare » January 11th, 2010, 8:34 pm

PTA under the old system (Nov-Dec Regulars Leagues)

5 points - Avatar
4 points - The Lovely Bones
3 points - The White Ribbon
2 points - A Single Man
1 point - Daybreakers

PTA under the new system (Dec. leagues only)

5 points - Avatar
4 points - Crazy Heart
3 points - Lovely Bones
2 points - White Ribbon
1 point - A Single Man

PTA under the new system (Jan. leagues only)

5 points - Daybreakers
4 points - Youth in Revolt
3 points - Leap Year
2 points - Waiting for Armageddon
1 point - Wonderful World
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