SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 8/29, 8/31

[Geezer]

Holy shit. Is that a record for an opening day?

[Buscemi]

With the reported $55 million budget, the current box office to budget ratio for The Oogieloves stands at 0.00109%.

[silversurfer19]

Hardly saying it's going to break out, but come on guys, did anyone seriously believe a Wednesday opening for a pre-school movie was going to be the first choice for viewing? It will absolutely be the weekend when the parents are off work to take their kids to see it.

[Geezer]

But $40 Surfer??? That is like 5 tickets per theater!!!!!

[silversurfer19]

Quite likely. Babysitters (remembering most parents who work put their kids in daycare so probably not that many there) or parents without jobs will be the only ones capable of taking the kids; they can hardly take themselves at that age. I have no doubt the movie will probably bomb, but at the same time it will certainly improve on those figures considerably at the weekend when parents can take their kids.

[numbersix]

Yeah, it could easily rise to a PTA of $80 per day

[silversurfer19]

Yeah, it could easily rise to a PTA of $80 per day

And I'll be counting every penny if it helps me succeed in the quarterly draft league!

[Buscemi]

At this point, my PTA prediction of slight below $600 looks like a positive one.

[Shrykespeare]

Actually, the PTA was $47, not $40, according to BOM. Don't sell it short, Boosh.

[Buscemi]

Is $7 really that big of a deal? A flop's a flop, especially one that the financier claimed a $55 million budget and a $40 million marketing budget (with a sequel in the works) on.

[numbersix]

Is $7 really that big of a deal? A flop's a flop, especially one that the financier claimed a $55 million budget and a $40 million marketing budget (with a sequel in the works) on.

Someone get that man 40 milligrams of a sense of humour. Stat!

[Shrykespeare]

Official Theater Counts:

Lawless - 2,888
The Possession - 2,816
Oogieloves - 2,160
For a Good Time, Call... - 23
The Good Doctor - 1


Estimates for next week:

The Words - 2,700
The Cold Light of Day - 1,500 (now going wide)
Keep the Lights On - 5
Hello, I Must Be Going - 2
(Bachelorette - 40)

[Chienfantome]

Summit is playing the yoyo with The Cold Light of Day. I'll still be staying away from it.

[Shrykespeare]

Stock Report:


Ultimate FY (R6, R7, R8 - 30 players)

Lawless - 10, 3, 3
Oogieloves - 0, 0, 0
Possession - 4, 3, 2
Good Time - 0, 2, 2
Good Doctor - 1, 2, 1
(Rebirth) - 0, 1, 1


Ultimate HY (R1, R2, R3 - 43 players)

Lawless - 10, 8, 6
Oogieloves - 0, 0, 0
Possession - 2, 4, 2
Good Time - 1, 5, 3
Good Doctor - 0, 4, 1
(Rebirth) - 0, 1, 1


Bankrupts, 3rd Quarter (Ult - 18 players, BO - 22 players)

Lawless - 7, 9
Oogieloves - 1, 1
Possession - 1, 3
Good Time - 0, 1


Box Office FY (R6, R7, R8 - 35 players)

Lawless - 1, 0, 1
Oogieloves - 1, 0, 1
Possession - 4, 6, 5
Good Time - 1, 4, 2
Good Doctor - 0, 0, 0


Box Office HY (R1, R2, R3 - 44 players)

Lawless - 4, 2, 3
Oogieloves - 2, 0, 0
Possession - 2, 5, 6
Good Time - 1, 2, 3
Good Doctor - 0, 0, 0

[Shrykespeare]

Friday Estimates:

The Possession, $6M
Lawless, $2.7M
Expendables 2, $2.2M
Bourne Legacy, $1.8M

ParaNorman, $1.4M
TDKR, $1.4M
Timothy Green, $1.4M
The Campaign, $1.4M

Hope Springs, $1.2M
Premium Rush, $1.0M

BTW, a #4 finish for Bourne Legacy would give it 15 Top 5 points. How 'bout dem apples?



Weekend Estimates:

The Possession, $16.5M
Lawless, $9.8M ($11.9M 5-day)
Expendables 2, $8.7M
Bourne Legacy, $7.2M
ParaNorman, $6.6M
TDKR, $5.8M
Timothy Green, $5.7M
The Campaign, $5.4M
Hope Springs, $4.6M
Premium Rush, $3.9M

Oogieloves, $450K ($208 PTA)