SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 12/9/11

[Chienfantome]

Exactly, it's the same concept, but you can't say it's a sequel. The returning actors are not playing the same characters they played in Valentine's Day. It's just a similarly concepted film, not a sequel. They are trying to put in the mind of the audience it may be a sequel

[Buscemi]

New Year's Eve has a 6% on Rotten Tomatoes (1/17). The one positive review has a hacky quote whore comment, the kind that I never expected to see again ever since Joel Siegel died.

[Ron Burgundy]

And isnt Psyduck more like Psiyayiii!

[Buscemi]

And as expected, early reviews for The Sitter have confirmed that David Gordon Green has officially jumped the shark. It is currently a 22% after nine reviews, with some of the negative reviews being extremely vicious. Though strangely enough, the AV Club liked it.

[Shrykespeare]

Theater counts:

New Year's Eve - 3,505
The Sitter - N/A
Young Adult - 8
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy - 4
We Need to Talk About Kevin - N/A
W.E. - N/A
I Melt With You - N/A

The Descendants - expands to 874 locations


(Not that helpful, I know.)



Next week:

Alvin & the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked - 3,700
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 3,600

Young Adult - expands to 1,000
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 400

[BanksIsDaFuture]

And only 42 of those 400 screens are getting The Dark Knight Rises prologue, what the fuck is WB thinking?

[Buscemi]

Christopher Nolan only wanted the prologue released in theatres playing Mission: Impossible on film. To me, this is like releasing The Dark Knight only on laserdisc.

[numbersix]

Kevin will open in about 2-4 theatres this week.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

Christopher Nolan only wanted the prologue released in theatres playing Mission: Impossible on film. To me, this is like releasing The Dark Knight only on laserdisc.

That's retarded. How could he not realize only about 10% of IMAX screens were actual 70MM, and not digital?

And it makes no sense, because TDKR will be shown in all formats when it comes out anyway.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

Estimated weekends from Deadline:

1. New Year's Eve - $16M
2. The Sitter - $9M
3. Twilight: Breaking Dawn - $7M
4. The Muppets - $7M
5. Arthur Christmas - $6.5M
6. Hugo - $6M
7. The Descendants - $4.3M
8. Happy Feet Two - $4M
9. Jack And Jill - $3M
10. Immortals - $2.5M

New Year's Eve and The Sitter both flop massively. NYE won't even get a third of Valentine's Day opening weekend, and that opened against Percy Jackson & The Wolfman who both made over 30M the same weekend.

[Shrykespeare]

Weekend estimates from BoxOffice.com:

New Year's Eve, $14.5M
The Sitter, $10.5M
Twilight: Breaking Dawn, $7.9M
The Muppets, $6.9M
Arthur Christmas, $6.5M
Hugo, $6.1M
The Descendants, $4.5M
Happy Feet Two, $3.6M
Jack and Jill, $3.0M
Immortals, $2.4M

PTA Race:
The Artist, $18K
Shame, $13K
The Descendants, $5K

[numbersix]

According to Box Office Guru (via HSX) both Young Adult and Tinker Tailor are looking at $300K for the weekend, giving Young Adult a PTA of about $40K and Tinker Tailor a PTA of $80K, the latter being the highest of the year.

Nothing on We Need to Talk About Kevin yet.

[Shrykespeare]

BOM Estimates:

New Year's Eve, $5,080,000
The Sitter, $3,725,000
Twilight, $2,500,000
The Muppets, $1,664,000
Hugo, $1,600,000
Arhtur Christmas, $1,430,000
The Descendants, $1,315,000
Jack and Jill, $870,000
Happy Feet Two, $840,000
Immortals, $730,000


The question now is... is the door now WIDE open for Sherlock 2 and Alvin 3, or will they underwhelm as well?

[numbersix]

Nah. They'll probably open better than the previous film in the franchise.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

I don't know, I think Mission Impossible 4 will the film to take advantage of the dearth of interesting movies to see.

Alvin & Sherlock will both get around $200M, like expected. But M:I4 should handily outgross the 3rd one, and probably end up somewhere around $175M.