SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 10/14/11

[Chienfantome]

I haven't grabbed The Skin I live in and feel great about it actually

[Buscemi]

Who wouldn't want to live in Banderas's skin?

[numbersix]

I haven't grabbed The Skin I live in and feel great about it actually

Hmmm... what's your strategy.... Marcy May? The Artist?

[Buscemi]

That's my strategy. Also throw in Like Crazy and The Descendants.

[Geezer]

Ok, if you don't want a minimum of 12 PTA from 6 bucks, be my guest. But you're foolish.

[Chienfantome]

I'm fairly certain that for lower prices, Martha Marcy May Marlene or The Artist can get about the same number of PTA points. That, and The Descendants, which will get PTA points + have good box-office. I'm not worried. And as I already had Take Shelter in every slate for the september leagues... I should be fine.

[Shrykespeare]

Sunday Estimates:

Top 10:
5 points - Real Steel, $16.3M
4 points - Footloose, $16.1M
3 points - The Thing, $8.7M
2 points - The Ides of March, $7.5M
1 point - Dolphin Tale, $6.3M
Moneyball, $5.5M
50/50, $4.3M
Courageous, $3.4M
The Big Year, $3.3M
The Lion King, $2.7M

PTA (Oct):
5 points - The Skin I Live In
4 points - Real Steel
3 points - Footloose
2 points - The Ides of March
1 point - Texas Killing Fields

PTA (Aug/Sep):
5 points - The Skin I Live In
4 points - Take Shelter
3 points - Real Steel
2 points - Footloose
1 point - The Ides of March

[numbersix]

I'm fairly certain that for lower prices, Martha Marcy May Marlene or The Artist can get about the same number of PTA points. That, and The Descendants, which will get PTA points + have good box-office. I'm not worried. And as I already had Take Shelter in every slate for the september leagues... I should be fine.

The Skin I Live In's PTa was 38,000 this weekend. Unless it expands significantly that figure won't drop much (like Broken Embraces and Volver). The chances of Martha Marcy... beating that are very slim (it'll probably get somehting similar to the well-reviewed Take Shelter, a PTA of 17K on its opening weekend). So that means Skin will get another 5 PTA points and Martha only 4. At this rate Skin should make up to 15 PTA points.

Sure you're not regretting it now Chien?

[Chienfantome]

I am 100% sure I have no regrets Six. Take Shelter is my "Skin I live in" in the September leagues, cheaper. And The Artist will be my "Skin I live in" in the October leagues, cheaper. MArtha Marcy May Marlene is just another cheaper added bonus on some leagues.
That's another 4 PTA points from Take Shelter. I'm sure in the end it will be a better grab than The Skin I live in.

[Shrykespeare]

Sunday Actuals:

Top 10:
5 points - Real Steel, $16.3M
4 points - Footloose, $15.6M
3 points - The Thing, $8.5M
2 points - The Ides of March, $7.1M
1 point - Dolphin Tale, $6.2M
Moneyball, $5.5M
50/50, $4.3M
Courageous, $3.31M
The Big Year, $3.25M
The Lion King, $2.8M

PTA (Oct):
5 points - The Skin I Live In, $37,187
4 points - Real Steel, $4,736
3 points - Footloose, $4,383
2 points - The Ides of March, $3,233
1 point - Texas Killing Fields, $2,924

PTA (Aug/Sep):
5 points - The Skin I Live In, $37,187
4 points - Take Shelter, $4,846
3 points - Real Steel, $4,736
2 points - Footloose, $4,383
1 point - The Ides of March, $3,233