SPEARE'S TIPS - The Films of 5/26/11, 5/27/11

[Brockster]

The world sucks, people just want to laugh!

[Shrykespeare]

I asked Manuela that question, UDM, and no, the March's leagues stats end with Sunday's numbers, not Monday's.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

And Bridesmaids actually went up on Thursday. Good counter-programming?

Great word of mouth on Bridesmaids.

[undeadmonkey]

And Bridesmaids actually went up on Thursday. Good counter-programming?

Great word of mouth on Bridesmaids.

i'm actually more interested in seeing Bridesmaids than Hangover 2

[W]

I asked Manuela that question, UDM, and no, the March's leagues stats end with Sunday's numbers, not Monday's.

That was me. i wonder if that'll help or hurt me.

[Buscemi]

Early Friday numbers:

The Hangover Part II $28 million
Kung Fu Panda 2 $13 million (I'm really not getting how this is doing so poorly, the marketing is everywhere and the reviews are on par with the first one)

[Shrykespeare]

I can only imagine it's because the kids are waiting for Sat-Mon to see it. Many kids are now finishing up school, right?

[W]

Partially, I'm sure Shryke, but that number is really low. Shrek 4 last year, about the same weekend, $20.8 M Friday. The year before, Up was 21.1 the same Friday. Prince Caspian = $19.4 M. First Panda $20.3 M, the week after Memorial Day.

Nevermind. I now think it has very little to do with it after seeing all those numbers myself. It'll be lucky to get a bump up to $18 M Sat, $15 M Sun for a $46 M 3 Day. Probably more like 41-43 M.

[undeadmonkey]

i think it'll do better than 41-43M, the sunday holds will be much higher than usual, but it won't get to the $100M 5-day that was predicted. I also don't see why it's underperforming, bodes well for Cars 2 though and my full year slate .

[Shrykespeare]

Friday Estimates:

Hangover 2, $30M ($8,302 PTA)
Kung Fu Panda 2, $13.2M
POTC 4, $10.8M
Bridesmaids, $4.6M
Thor, $2.4M
Fast Five, $1.8M
Something Borrowed, $545K
Priest, $500K
Midnight in Paris, $476K (neck-and-neck with Hangover 2 in PTA so far, $8,207)
Jumping the Broom, $475K

Tree of Life, $115K in 4 locations ($28,750 PTA in one day)

[W]

1. The Hangover Part 2 (Legendary/Warner Bros) NEW [3,615 Theaters]
Thursday $31.6M, Friday $30M, Est 3-day Weekend $87M
Est 4-day Memorial Holiday $107, Est 5-Day Cume $139M

2. Kung Fu Panda 2 3D (DWA Animation/Paramount) NEW [3,925 Theaters]
Thursday $5.8M, Friday $13.1M, Est 3-Day Weekend $45.5M
Est 4-Day Memorial Holiday $56M, 5-Day Cume $65M

3. Pirates Of The Caribbean 4 3D (Disney) Week 2 [4,164 Theaters]
Friday $10.8M (-68%), Est 3-Day Weekend $42M
Est 4-Day Memorial Holiday $50M, Est Cume $166M

4. Bridesmaids (Universal) Week 3 [2,958 Theaters]
Friday $4.6M, Est 3-Day Weekend $16.2M
Est 4-Day Memorial Holiday $20.6M, Est Cume $89.3M

5. Thor 3D (Marvel/Disney/Paramount Week 4 [3,296 Theaters]
Friday $2.4M, Est 3-Day Weekend $8.5M
Est 4-Day Memorial Holiday $12M, Est Cume $162.7M

For Mar-May BO Leagues especially, you have to add H:PII and KFPII's Thursday and 3-day which makes $118.7 and $51.3 respectively THU-SUN.

[Shrykespeare]

Wow. I just can't explain how KFP 2 opened so softly. The first film has held up really well, the reviews have been very good and advertising is everywhere. I'm stupefied.

[undeadmonkey]

maybe people were waiting for today, tomorrow and monday to go as a family... if todays numbers are underwhelming then i have no idea what went wrong.

[Geezer]

I bet it pulls in 50+ over Saturday-Sunday. But it was never beating Hangover 2.

[Buscemi]

I went to an early afternoon showing of The Hangover Part II (which was on four screens) and there were only about 25 people there in a 250 seat auditorium. It looks like it's now suffering the fanboy effect.