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2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby Chienfantome » January 29th, 2015, 5:24 am

A Fall 2015 release was aimed when the filming was supposed to begin last fall, but now that it's been postponed (principal photography only begins tomorrow), Paramount has said they aim for a 2016 release. Now I agree with you that this is a film that could/should be released in the fall, but as of now, it's more likely to be a fall 2016 rather than a fall 2015 release. But who knows...
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby numbersix » January 29th, 2015, 6:12 am

Welll..... if Scorsese moves fast (and he can) they could rush a release for late 2015 to make it for the awards season. It's an interesting pick, Surf.
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby Chienfantome » January 29th, 2015, 6:36 am

I don't know. Sure Scorsese can work fast, but when he's making historical epics, he never releases a film in the next 11 months after he began filming. He shot Hugo Cabret in the summer of 2010 before releasing it in november 2011. He shot Aviator in the summer of 2003 and released it at Christmas 2004. And let's not even talk about the production of Gangs of New York.
Silence is a heavy production in Taiwan, for a film set in 17th century with big sets with which anything can happen (like the death yesterday of a set worker showed). Filming will probably last til early summer with a heavy post-prod.
I'd say this is as much a gamble as Empire grabbing Bad Words last year. Well, maybe not.
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby silversurfer19 » January 29th, 2015, 3:41 pm

As I mentioned, I think the rest of my picks are fairly set in stone regards to release dates, so if Silence doesn't make it in time, having Peanuts is a pretty damn good back up. But the possibility of a Scorcese movie, with all the potential it has, was too good to pass up. And as we've seen this year, those dramas in the lead up to the Oscars always throw up a blockbuster or two, so I'm hoping this is one of them.
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby numbersix » January 29th, 2015, 4:39 pm

1. Avengers 2
2. Star Wars 7
3. Hunger Games 4
4. Minions
5. Spectre
6. Inside Out
7. Fast and Furious 7
8. The Good Dinosaur
9. Ant-Man
10. Jurassic World
11. Cinderella
12. Tomorrowland
13. Mission Impossible 5
14. Ted 2
15. St James St (AKA Untitled Steven Spielberg Cold War Thriller)
16. Fifty Shades of Grey
17. The Hateful Eight
18. Divergent 2
19. Fantastic Four
20. Hotel Transylvania 2

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B2. Terminator Genesis
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby BanksIsDaFuture » January 29th, 2015, 4:58 pm

1. Star Wars: Episode VII
2. The Avengers: Age of Ultron
3. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2
4. Inside Out
5. Jurassic World
6. Fast & Furious 7
7. Minions
8. The Good Dinosaur
9. Spectre
10. Mission Impossible 5
11. Ant-Man
12. Pan
13. Tomorrowland
14. Fantastic 4
15. Ted 2
16. Cinderella
17. The Divergent Series: Insurgent
18. Concussion
19. The Martian
20. Pitch Perfect 2

Bench:
1. Hotel Transylvania 2
2. Entourage: The Movie
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby empire13 » January 30th, 2015, 1:09 am

As it turns out, I think my list is pretty vanilla.

1. Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens
2. Avengers: Age of Ultron
3. Hunger Games: Mockingjay Pt. 2
4. Spectre
5. Minions
6. The Good Dinosaur
7. Ant-Man
8. Inside Out
9. Furious 7
10. Cinderella
11. Ted 2
12. Mission Impossible 5
13. Pan
14. Jurassic World
15. The Peanuts Movie
16. Fifty Shades of Grey
17. The Fantastic Four
18. Monster Trucks
19. Tomorrowland
20. Insurgent

B-- Mad Max: Fury Road
B-- Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby silversurfer19 » January 30th, 2015, 3:53 am

Wow, now Silence seems like a pretty safe pick. Entourage, Pitch Perfect 2, Concussion and St. James St all seem much more perilous. Entourage was never that successful a series, I thought, and certainly no more likely to succeed than say if an Arrested Development movie was made. And that was only really that relevant a good five years or so ago. Sure it's target audience have moved on by now. Didn't the first Pitch Perfect only make like $60m? Don't see a sequel doubling those numbers. Concussion, going by it's synopsis will need all of Will Smith's star power to help it do well, while St. James St was one I considered, but I think it may be more of a War Horse, mid level Spielberg success. The Cold War rarely breeds blockbusters.

Still fun to have a bit of variety in our lists, will certainly ensure that our totals will not be too similar.
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby numbersix » January 30th, 2015, 6:33 am

I would say Spielberg's Cold War film has a lot going for it. Tom Hanks being in the lead will help (War Horse and arguably Munich had no one with that sort of profile). Its release date will also benefit - the Autumn normally has one breakout adult thriller every year and this is a prime candidate. Plus, political tensions with Russia are on the rise so this might resonate. And as for the Cold War setting? Sure, it's been a while since a BO hit film, but you could have said the same about films set int he Middle East and look how Argo performed. And that's the kind of level this film could reach. Silence could do better, but it's only filming at the moment and may not be ready. That's the big risk.
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby BanksIsDaFuture » January 30th, 2015, 6:33 pm

I fully expect Pitch Perfect 2 to double the original's gross. It was a huge hit in its after-theater life, plus it got to $60M in the dumps of September. And Anna Kendrick is bigger than she was in 2012.

Concussion is my left-field pick, I fully hoping it's a 4 quadrant drama that gets Oscar attention. Plus football is the biggest sport in America so I'm guessing fans will check it out - the concussion debate has been raging for years. I'm sure they'll be advertising throughout the entire football season.

Entourage will perform like the first SATC movie.

I think the Tom Hanks spy movie will do well too, just not as well at Captain Phillips or Argo. High 80s I'm guessing.
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby numbersix » February 1st, 2015, 2:18 pm

Don't forget, guys, that Wednesday's the deadline for this
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby jas8382 » February 1st, 2015, 3:28 pm

Okay guys, I believe I am ready to submit my list for this year's contest. Here goes nothing.
1. Avengers: Age of Ultron
2. Star Wars Episode VII: The Force Awakens
3. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2
4. Inside Out
5. 007: Spectre
6. The Good Dinosaur
7. Tommorowland
8. Furious 7
9. Jurassic World
10. Minions
11. Cinderella
12. Ant Man
13. Ted 2
14. Mission Impossible 5
15. Fifty Shades of Grey
16. Spy
17. The Divergent Series: Insurgent
18. The Peanuts Movie
19. Terminator: Genisys
20. Joy

Bench
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Sisters
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby Chienfantome » February 2nd, 2015, 9:36 am

Alright, I've given it enough thought.

1. Avengers : Age of Ultron
2. Star Wars : The Force Awakens
3. The Hunger Games : Mockingjay Part 2
4. Inside Out
5. Minions
6. Spectre
7. The Good Dinosaur
8. Furious 7
9. MI5
10. Ant-Man
11. Ted 2
12. Jurassic World
13. Fantastic Four
14. Insurgent
15. Cinderella
16. 50 Shades of Grey
17. Hotel Transylvania 2
18. Tomorrowland
19. The Martian
20. The Peanuts Movie

21. Mad Max : Fury Road
22. The Hateful Eight
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby W » February 2nd, 2015, 2:34 pm

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron
2. Star Wars Episode 7: The Force Awakens
3. Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part II
4. Minions
5. Spectre
6. The Good Dinosaur
7. Ant-Man
8. Jurassic World
9. Furious 7
10. Inside Out
11. Mission Impossible 5
12. Fantastic 4
13. Ted 2
14. Pixels
15. Martain
16. 50 Shades of Grey
17. Cinderella
18. Pan
19. Tomorrowland
20. Allegiant

21. The Peanuts Movie
22. Terminator Genysis
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Re: 2015 Box Office Contest - Pick the Top 20

Postby Chienfantome » February 2nd, 2015, 3:25 pm

(I suppose Martain is The Martian... ?)

Allegiant ? Surfer at least picked a 2016 film that has a thin chance of getting released in 2015, but that is bold, a film already scheduled in 2016... ?
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