Re: Box Office Top 20 - Fall 2014
Posted: July 9th, 2015, 2:36 pm
We're heading into the stretch drive, so it's time for another update.
Based on my estimates for films still in release, Six currently has a precarious hold on first place, but with only Minions and Ant-Man remaining, two films that were picked by nearly all of us, he's still got a lot of people gunning for him. Shaan and Chien only need about 153 million from Fantastic Four to overtake him for a share of the lead, and I only need 260 million from the combo of F4 and Pixels, so there's still a lot left to play for, and this won't be decided until mid to late August at the earliest. I currently have the highest average per film released, so my fate is in my own hands.
Among recent films, UDM and I were the only ones who didn't pick The Best Expendable Marigold Terminator, which gives us both an edge down the stretch. I've plugged in a generous estimate of 100 million for Arnie and Co. for now, but the actual final numbers might shake things up a bit.
Everyone picked Jurassic World, Inside Out, and Ted 2, so they had no impact on the standings, only the average box office per slate.
Banks was the only player to see Pitch Perfect 2 coming a year in advance, but it wasn't enough to save his slate since he was also the only person to pick Horrible Bosses 2, and he had too many under-performing titles like The Penguins Of Madagascar. And Brockster was the only one wise enough to avoid Tomorrowland, but throw in the fact that he was the only player to pick Exodus and he'll still fall short as well.
Based on my estimates for films still in release, Six currently has a precarious hold on first place, but with only Minions and Ant-Man remaining, two films that were picked by nearly all of us, he's still got a lot of people gunning for him. Shaan and Chien only need about 153 million from Fantastic Four to overtake him for a share of the lead, and I only need 260 million from the combo of F4 and Pixels, so there's still a lot left to play for, and this won't be decided until mid to late August at the earliest. I currently have the highest average per film released, so my fate is in my own hands.
Among recent films, UDM and I were the only ones who didn't pick The Best Expendable Marigold Terminator, which gives us both an edge down the stretch. I've plugged in a generous estimate of 100 million for Arnie and Co. for now, but the actual final numbers might shake things up a bit.
Everyone picked Jurassic World, Inside Out, and Ted 2, so they had no impact on the standings, only the average box office per slate.
Banks was the only player to see Pitch Perfect 2 coming a year in advance, but it wasn't enough to save his slate since he was also the only person to pick Horrible Bosses 2, and he had too many under-performing titles like The Penguins Of Madagascar. And Brockster was the only one wise enough to avoid Tomorrowland, but throw in the fact that he was the only player to pick Exodus and he'll still fall short as well.