Box Office Top 20 - Fall 2014

[JohnErle]

I went back and forth on Gone Girl as well, but in the end I didn't see enough breakout potential. A two and a half hour adult-leaning thriller teaming Fincher and Affleck sounds like a safe $100 million to me, but probably not much more.

And I'll never doubt Marvel again either. Ant-Man is every bit as ridiculous a concept as Guardians Of The Galaxy, but it's Marvel so the fanboys will show up. I'm not expecting another GOTG, but another Thor 2 seems like a perfectly reasonable expectation.

[Spectre]

I'm sure I'll love Gone Girl the film but Gone Girl the box office mega hit? Doubt it. It'll do well but Fincher's films tend to have a ceiling around $100-120M. I have several other options that I think can clear that number so it was pretty easy to not include it.

Ant-Man sounds ridiculous but it's written in my Top 20 in stone. If I'm going to lose this thing, it won't be because I didn't include a Marvel title.

[numbersix]

Gone Girl is getting good reviews, and on Fincher's name I could see this doing well, especially around award time. That said, I agree that 100-120m is the best I expect but I figured it was worth a shot. My other options all had many cons to face the pros. They were

Spy - Ultimately I felt McCarthy's stock has dropped, and that Paul Blart 2 was the better comedy option.
Fantastic Four - It ain't Marvel
Pan - Peter Pan movies rarely seem to be huge hits, and I'm not sure if Wright is a mainstream director
Exodus - Might do what Noah did, but it too much of a wildcard
Annie - Another risk in a crowded Christmas weekend
Pixels - Feels more like Turbo than Despicable Me

[Walleye413]

Wouldn't shock me at all if I'm wrong, but I think the Too-many-superhero-movies backlash begins with Ant-man. America is going to get sick of seeing the same genre sooner rather than later I'm feeling.

[Chienfantome]

I'll believe that when it starts happening. And right now, it's everything but happening.

[JohnErle]

At least I know who Ant-Man is, which is a lot more than I could have said about any of the Guardians Of The Galaxy at this time last year.

With Paul Rudd in the lead and a comedy director behind the lens, it should capture the right tone by embracing the absurdity and having fun with it.

[Brockster]

I went back and forth between Ant-Man and Gone Girl several times, so I just put them both on my bench.

[undeadmonkey]

This was way harder than I thought it would be, there are still a handful of movies that could easily make the top 20.



1. Avengers: Age of Ultron
2. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1
3. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
4. Jurassic World
5. Minions
6. Fast and Furious 7
7. Interstellar
8. Inside Out
9. Ted 2
10. Penguins of Madagascar
11. Cinderella
12. Big Hero 6
13. Exodus: Gods and Kings
14. Into the Woods
15. Insurgent
16. B.O.O. Bureau of Otherworldly Operations
17. Ant Man
18. Spy
19. Tomorrowland
20. Unbroken


Bench:
1. Fantastic Four
2. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb

[JohnErle]

Here's my picks:

Avengers: Age Of Ultron
Hunger Games: Mockingjay
The Hobbit: Battle Of The Five Armies
Cinderella
Inside Out
Into The Woods
FF7
Ted 2
Pan
Tomorrowland
Minions
Jurassic World
Ant-Man
Big Hero 6
Night At The Museum
Insurgent
Fantastic Four
Pixels
Interstellar
Home

Bench:
Get Hard
The Penguins Of Madagascar

Remember, the final deadline is less than 24 hours away, so get those slates finished.

[Chienfantome]

Ooooh I almost forgot !! I'll get mine quickly.

[Chienfantome]

Alright, here's mine :

1. Avengers : Age of ultron
2. The Hunger Games Mockingjay Part I
3. The Hobbit : the Battle of the Five Armies
4. Minions
5. Inside Out
6. Fast & Furious 7
7. Interstellar
8. Cinderella
9. Jurassic World
10. Ant-Man
11. Big hero 6
12. Fantastic Four
13. Ted 2
14. Penguins of Madagascar
15. Night at the Museum 3
16. Mad Max : Fury Road
17. Terminator : Genisys
18. Insurgent
19. Fifty Shades of Grey
20. Tomorrowland

21. Exodus
22. B.O.O.

[Spectre]

Guess it's time to get mine in too before I forget

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron
2. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1
3. Minions
4. The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies
5. Interstellar
6. Big Hero 6
7. Inside Out
8. Fast and Furious 7
9. Jurassic World
10. Cinderella
11. Ted 2
12. The Penguins of Madagascar
13. Untitled Pan
14. Tomorrowland
15. Ant-Man
16. Terminator: Genisys
17. The Fantastic Four
18. Insurgent
19. Monster Trucks
20. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb

Bench 1: Home
Bench 2: B.O.O.: Bureau of Otherworldly Operations

[SuperShaan]

Let's do this!

1. The Avengers: Age of Ultron
2. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1
3. Minions
4. Inside Out
5. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
6. Fast & Furious 7
7. Jurassic World
8. Interstellar
9. Ant-Man
10. Cinderella
11. Big Hero 6
12. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb
13. The Fantastic Four
14. Insurgent
15. Ted 2
16. Terminator: Genisys
17. Tomorrowland
18. Peter Pan
19. B.O.O.: Bureau of Otherworldly Operations
20. The Penguins of Madagascar

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Fifty Shades of Grey

[silversurfer19]

1. The Avengers: Age of Ultron
2. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1
3. Minions
4. Cinderella
5. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
6. Fast & Furious 7
7. Inside Out
8. Jurassic World
9. Interstellar
10. Ant-Man
11. Ted 2
12. The Fantastic Four
13. Tomorrowland
14. Big Hero 6
15. Insurgent
16. Terminator: Genisys
17. Spy
18. Peter Pan
19. Fifty Shades of Grey
20. The Penguins of Madagascar

1. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb
2. The Interview

[JohnErle]

Surfer got his picks in just under the wire, and now the deadline has officially passed. I suppose I could let it slide if someone were to submit a slate in the next few hours, but don't let word get around that I'm a nice guy.