ReelSociety Forums

Shryke's Estimates:

1. The Karate Kid - $33 million
2. The A-Team - $28 million
3. Shrek Forever After - $15 million
4. Get Him to the Greek - $10 million
5. Killers - $9 million


Lee's Movie Info Estimates:

1. The A-Team - $40.2 million
2. The Karate Kid - $31.6 million
3. Shrek Forever After - $15.1 million
4. Get Him to the Greek - $10.9 million
5. Killers - $9 million


Box Office Guru Estimates:

1. The A-Team - $32 million
2. The Karate Kid - $27 million
3. Shrek Forever After - $14 million
4. Get Him to the Greek - $10.5 million
5. Killers - $8 million

Early tracking on Tuesday had Karate Kid pegged at 34M and A-Team at 33M. Both have a similar rating on RT.

Who will win??? Should be an interesting weekend.

On a side note, according to Deadline tracking for Jonah Hex and Knight and Day are completely awful at this point. Not really too much of a surprise there, although I would have figured Knight and Day would have at least respectful numbers.

The A-Team is 25 minutes shorter than The Karate Kid and it's been long said that a kids movie shouldn't approach 90 minutes (The Karate Kid is 140 minutes long) so it looks The A-Team on account of more showings.

And the final nail in the coffin for Jonah Hex: it's PG-13 (found out today while eating lunch from a TV spot shown on the restaurant's TV).

And it looks like The Karate Kid will win the weekend with $40 million while The A-Team will take in $30 million for Number 2. This surprises me since I don't know of anyone who wanted to see The Karate Kid. But also, I hardly ever saw the trailer attached to anything in the theatre.

New estimate: The Karate Kid is estimated at $50 million. But expect some very quick drops once Toy Story opens.

Friday opener numbers:

The Karate Kid $18 million (I didn't even expect $18 million FOR THE WEEK)
The A-Team $10 million