April 23-25 Weekend

Discuss weekly box office numbers, PTA numbers, and date changes.

Moderators: Buscemi, BarcaRulz, Geezer, W

User avatar
Brockster
Peter Gibbons
Posts: 1447
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 2:25 pm
Location: Michigan

April 23-25 Weekend

Post by Brockster »

Box Office Guru Estimates:

1. Dragon 15M
2. Losers 14M
3. Back Up Plan 13M
4. Date Night 11M
5. Kick Ass 10M

Lee's Estimates:

1. Dragon 15.5 M
2. Back Up Plan 14.6 M
3. Losers 11.4 M
4. Date Night 11 M
5. Kick Ass 10.9

Shryke's Estimates:

1. The Losers - $20 million
2. How to Train Your Dragon - $14 million
3. The Back-Up Plan - $13 million
4. Kick-Ass - $12 million
5. Date Night - $11 million

Looks like a slow weekend, no matter how you cut it.

User avatar
undeadmonkey
Leon
Posts: 4413
Joined: October 22nd, 2009, 1:39 pm

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by undeadmonkey »

yup, two slow weekend's and then summer begins with a bang

User avatar
NSpan
Frank Booth
Posts: 2791
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 7:52 pm
Location: Austin, TX
Contact:

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by NSpan »

Isn't good word-of-mouth doing anything for Kick-Ass??
On the run from Johnny Law ... ain't no trip to Cleveland.

Buscemi
CONGRATS! You may now chose your own rank!
Posts: 16164
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 11:14 am
Location: Baltimore State Hospital for the Criminally Insane

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by Buscemi »

Kick-Ass will probably drop 55-60%. It kind of reminds me of how Grindhouse had good word-of-mouth but had a disappointing opening followed by a 63% second weekend drop.
Everything on this post is strictly the opinion and only the opinion of Buscemi.

Spotify: http://open.spotify.com/user/1244530511 ... 9GBj16VEmr

User avatar
NSpan
Frank Booth
Posts: 2791
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 7:52 pm
Location: Austin, TX
Contact:

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by NSpan »

Grindhouse was a hit here in Austin. And Kick-Ass is selling out all over town. What's wrong with the rest of the country??
On the run from Johnny Law ... ain't no trip to Cleveland.

Buscemi
CONGRATS! You may now chose your own rank!
Posts: 16164
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 11:14 am
Location: Baltimore State Hospital for the Criminally Insane

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by Buscemi »

Most places in the US don't show the same amount of enthusiasm for B-movies and arthouse titles as they do in Austin.

It probably also helps that Grindhouse was filmed in Austin, so of course that was going to do well there.
Everything on this post is strictly the opinion and only the opinion of Buscemi.

Spotify: http://open.spotify.com/user/1244530511 ... 9GBj16VEmr

User avatar
NSpan
Frank Booth
Posts: 2791
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 7:52 pm
Location: Austin, TX
Contact:

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by NSpan »

True enough. It's just aggravating because it seems like every time there's a movie I really want to get behind, it bombs at the box-office--despite a positive critical reception and good word-of-mouth.
On the run from Johnny Law ... ain't no trip to Cleveland.

Buscemi
CONGRATS! You may now chose your own rank!
Posts: 16164
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 11:14 am
Location: Baltimore State Hospital for the Criminally Insane

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by Buscemi »

The studios don't like to get behind originality or challenge viewers. For every "Grindhouse/Kick-Ass/Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow", there's at least ten "Blades Of Glory/Why Did I Get Married Too/The Back-Up Plan/The Forgotten"'s that the studios would rather promote and market to the average filmgoer.

Same thing with foreign films and why you have never seen US releases of Taxi (Fox bought the remake rights and won't allow a release of the original), Il Mare (Warner Bros. bought the remake rights and did The Lake House while Il Mare remains obscure), Welcome To The Sticks (Will Smith bought the remake rights), My Sassy Girl (an in-name-only remake was done independently and most likely blocked offers for the original) or any of The Magic Roundabout or Asterix movies (Harvey Weinstein won't release them in their original versions).
Everything on this post is strictly the opinion and only the opinion of Buscemi.

Spotify: http://open.spotify.com/user/1244530511 ... 9GBj16VEmr

User avatar
NSpan
Frank Booth
Posts: 2791
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 7:52 pm
Location: Austin, TX
Contact:

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by NSpan »

You're mostly right, but I thought Kick-Ass had adequate advertising. I place the blame squarely on the audience (or lack thereof) for this one.
On the run from Johnny Law ... ain't no trip to Cleveland.

Buscemi
CONGRATS! You may now chose your own rank!
Posts: 16164
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 11:14 am
Location: Baltimore State Hospital for the Criminally Insane

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by Buscemi »

I think the ads focused too much on Hit-Girl. Moral guardians complained way too much about this and it was most likely negative publicity in the end. Maybe had the movie been called Kick-Ass and Hit-Girl....

Also, the first thing that people that people probably think of when they see Ass in the title is Johnny Knoxville and Steve-O doing stunts that shouldn't be imitated by your dumb little friends.
Everything on this post is strictly the opinion and only the opinion of Buscemi.

Spotify: http://open.spotify.com/user/1244530511 ... 9GBj16VEmr

User avatar
W
Norman Bates
Posts: 7242
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 4:37 pm

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by W »

I don't think that's it. What "moral guardian" is going to want their kid to see an R rated film anyways?
Tenet: Criterion Edition. Now with more Backwards Man.

Buscemi
CONGRATS! You may now chose your own rank!
Posts: 16164
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 11:14 am
Location: Baltimore State Hospital for the Criminally Insane

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by Buscemi »

The same ones that contradict themselves and take their kids to see Rambo and Watchmen (yes, people took their kids to watch these movies).
Everything on this post is strictly the opinion and only the opinion of Buscemi.

Spotify: http://open.spotify.com/user/1244530511 ... 9GBj16VEmr

User avatar
undeadmonkey
Leon
Posts: 4413
Joined: October 22nd, 2009, 1:39 pm

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by undeadmonkey »

i'm pretty sure that these people that took their kids to watch those movies took them to see this one.

User avatar
W
Norman Bates
Posts: 7242
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 4:37 pm

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by W »

I was thinking the same thing. If you take your kid to an R rated film, you expect cussing, sex, and violence.
Tenet: Criterion Edition. Now with more Backwards Man.

User avatar
NSpan
Frank Booth
Posts: 2791
Joined: October 21st, 2009, 7:52 pm
Location: Austin, TX
Contact:

Re: April 23-25 Weekend

Post by NSpan »

Somebody mentioned this somewhere already, but I bet a LOT of ticket sales went to other movies while the teens themselves were, in fact, watching Kick-Ass instead.
On the run from Johnny Law ... ain't no trip to Cleveland.

Locked