Future Tracking From Exhibitors

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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by numbersix »

Articles are still coming up, in fact in every interview. And the sister of the victim in question has written a piece on Parker. I think the discernible arthouse crowd will have issues with this, and that will affect box office.

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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by Buscemi »

Well, it looks like Billy Lynn might not be the blockbuster that was hoped as it is rated R (and R-rated 3-D movies are rarely successful). Of course, an R rating didn't stop American Sniper from making millions (on a related note, Hacksaw Ridge is also rated R and apparently a hard R at that, but of course Mel Gibson's directorial efforts are often graphic).
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

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Latest Predictions from BoxOffice.com:

10/28 Inferno 30/85

11/4 Doctor Strange 88/255
11/4 Trolls 23/81
11/4 Hacksaw Ridge 8/28

11/11 Arrival 27/95
11/11 Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk 18/75
11/11 Almost Christmas 16.5/46
11/11 Shut In 5.5/13

11/18 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 78/210
11/18 The Edge of Seventeen 13/58

11/23 Moana 65/285
11/23 Allied 14/68
11/23 Bad Santa 2 10/34

12/2 Kidnap 7/19
12/2 Incarnate 4.5/9

12/9 Office Christmas Party 17/70
12/9 Miss Sloane 8/26

12/16 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, 135/405
12/16 Collateral Beauty 13/75
12/16 The Space Between Us 8/45




Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (Disney)

PROS:

Star Wars. Enough said.

Darth Vader. Enough said.

But just to say more anyway… this film takes place during the roughly 25-year period between the prequel trilogy and the “original” trilogy. Darth Vader is still alive, the Death Star is being constructed, Luke and Han and Leia aren’t in the picture yet, and a small rebel force is attempting to take down the Empire. With the most financially successful franchise in movie history behind it, Rogue One should be a lock for big dollars.

CONS:

Will audiences come out to see a one-time spinoff the way they did for all seven of the “in sequence” films? The characters in this one are basically entirely new. The Force Awakens found box office success mixed new characters with the existing Han and Leia and Luke, while the prequel trilogy did too by showing younger versions of beloved characters like Obi-Wan Kenobi. Except for brief glimpses of Darth Vader seen in the trailer, that familiarity won’t be present for this installment.



Collateral Beauty (Warner Bros.)

PROS:

An all-star cast includes Will Smith, Kate Winslet, Keira Knightley, Edward Norton, and Helen Mirren. All have been nominated for at least one Oscar (if not actually winning one in Winslet’s and Mirren’s cases), and all have a history of at least some box office success. Smith’s most recent film was the smash Suicide Squad with $323.7 million to date.

The story of a depressed advertising executive who discovers meaning in his life could be a perfect fit for the holiday season, a la It’s a Wonderful Life.

CONS:

Smith’s previous December drama release Concussion last year wasn’t a big box office hit, with a $10.5 million opening and $34.5 million total gross, despite being about football — by far the most popular sport in the U.S.

Going up against Rogue One in its debut will be a tough competition, perhaps the single toughest competition of the year.



The Space Between Us (STX Entertainment)

PROS:

This sci-fi drama about the first human born and raised on Mars who moves to Earth as a teenager stars Asa Butterfield, who’s coming off a decently-sized box office hit as the lead of September’s Miss Peregrine’s Home For Peculiar Children.

The release date for Space was moved from August to mid-December, officially to give the studio more time to perfect the special effects, but likely to position it as a dark-horse awards contender
too. Though current projections for awards nominations don’t list it highly, if it unexpectedly breaks out that could help its word of mouth.

CONS:

Last year, two films opened against The Force Awakens: the comedy Sisters and the family largely-animated film Alvin and the Chipmunks: Road Chip. Both of those opened decently given what they were up against, but both were also in differing genres. By contrast, Space is a sci-fi drama viewable by anybody age 5 to 105, just like Rogue One. Combine that with yet another sci-fi drama opening the following week, Passengers, and Space might likely end up third out of three among those films at the box office.
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by Shrykespeare »

Latest Predictions from BoxOffice.com:

11/4 Doctor Strange 88/255
11/4 Trolls 23/81
11/4 Hacksaw Ridge 8/28

11/11 Arrival 27/95
11/11 Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk 18/75
11/11 Almost Christmas 16.5/46
11/11 Shut In 5.5/13

11/18 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 78/210
11/18 The Edge of Seventeen 13/58

11/23 Moana 65/285
11/23 Allied 14/68
11/23 Bad Santa 2 10/34

12/2 Kidnap 7/19
12/2 Incarnate 4.5/9

12/9 Office Christmas Party 17/70
12/9 Miss Sloane 8/26

12/16 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, 135/405
12/16 Collateral Beauty 13/75
12/16 The Space Between Us 8/45

12/21 Passengers 38/177
12/21 Sing 24/115
12/21 Assassin's Creed 13/56
12/23 Why Him? 11/54


Christmas weekend 2014 was the highest grossing three-day weekend of the year at the box office. In 2015, the weekend before Christmas and the weekend of Christmas were the two highest-grossing weekends of the year. Could 2016 repeat that trend? Four new wide releases — three debuting that Wednesday, one opening that Friday — will try.

Sony’s sci-fi romance drama Passengers stars arguably the two biggest stars at the box office of the past three years, Universal’s animated Sing goes for the family audience, Fox’s historical action epic Assassin’s Creed adapts one of the highest-selling video games of all time, and Fox’s comedy Why Him? aims for laughs. But will any of them be able to unseat the previous weekend’s guaranteed-first-place Star Wars spinoff Rogue One from the top spot?

[Note: two films, Fences and Gold, are currently slated for wide release on Sunday, December 25 — Christmas Day. Boxoffice Pro will not yet be offering box office predictions for those two titles, but we’ll be watching to see how/if their release strategies shift closer to release.]



Passengers (Sony)

PROS:

Every November, FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten uses data to quantitatively determine the 100 biggest movie stars. Last year, Jennifer Lawrence and Chris Pratt ranked #1 and #11. If anything, Pratt seems likely to break into the top 10 in next month’s rankings, given the success of his The Magnificent Seven in September alongside the presumed fall of a few stars ranked above him last year who haven’t had box office success in the past 12 months, like Hugh Jackman and Bradley Cooper.

Just to reiterate that point, both lead stars produce box office hits as does nobody else in the business today. Everything Jennifer Lawrence has touched this decade has either made at least $150 million — the four films in the Hunger Games franchise, the three films in the X-Men series — or earned her an Oscar win or nomination: Joy, American Hustle, Silver Linings Playbook.

Chris Pratt starred in the second-highest grossing film of this decade, Jurassic World, and the $333 million-earning Guardians of the Galaxy.

Passengers is about a spaceship carrying the remnants of humanity after Earth is destroyed, with everybody surviving in sleeping chambers until they can settle a new planet, when two — and only two — of the passengers accidentally wake up and start to fall in love. The film sits at the nexus of three genres: drama, sci-fi, and romance, and could appeal to fans of all three accordingly. It brings to mind the record-breaking box office of drama / sci-fi / romance Avatar in 2009.

CONS:

More than any of the other four films released this weekend, Passengers seems likely to be harmed most at the box office by the competition with Rogue One, a fellow sci-fi drama. Also, to a lesser extent but still worth noting, is the competition from that month’s sci-fi drama release The Space Between Us, about a human born and raised on Mars who travels to Earth for the first time as a teenager.

Combining two of the biggest Hollywood stars of the moment for a romance doesn’t always produce box office success. Two examples: Angelina Jolie and Johnny Depp made a fair-but-underwhelming $67.6 million with 2010’s The Tourist, while Brad Pitt and Julia Roberts earned a similar $66.8 million with 2001’s The Mexican.


Sing (Universal)

PROS:

This animated film about a singing competition starring animals combines a variety of musical genres in an A-list voice cast: Matthew McConaughey as a koala who judges the contest, Scarlett Johansson as a punk rock porcupine, Seth MacFarlane as a mouse who sings old jazz standards, and Reese Witherspoon as a pig who’s also a pop star.

With 41.8 million YouTube trailer views in five months as of this writing, this film has by far the most YouTube views for any trailer of a film debuting this weekend. (Passengers has 13.5 million, while Assassin’s Creed has 17.1 million.)

CONS:

Sing will face competition from fellow animated musical Moana, that one with the Disney brand behind it and the biggest music star of the moment Lin-Manuel Miranda writing the songs. Although Moana will have been out for a month by the time Sing is released, Disney’s previous animated musical Frozen had one of the longest theatrical releases of any film this decade and earned $28.5 million in Christmas weekend, its fifth weekend of wide release. If Moana can replicate Frozen‘s success, Sing could fall by the wayside.

Singing competitions on television have had a rough year, with American Idol ending after 15 seasons and The Voice sliding to its lowest ratings yet. Although it’s not an apples-to-apples comparison, since those are live action while Sing is an animated comedy, it may indicate an audience no longer as into the general concept of singing competitions as they might have been a few years back.


Assassin’s Creed (Fox)

PROS:

The video game franchise on which the film is based has sold an astounding 93 million copies since its 2007 original release, making it one of the most successful series in gaming history. If that audience can be tapped into as game adaptation Angry Birds was able to in May en route to $107.5 million dollar box office, that would be a big win.

Michael Fassbender stars a time-traveling man in the present who’s forced to relive the memories of a 15th century Spanish assassin, alongside Marion Cotillard. In the past year, he’s earned $155.4 million in X-Men: Apocalypse and earned a Best Actor Oscar nomination for his title role in Steve Jobs. (Although Fassbender’s September release The Light Between Oceans was a box office dud with $12.5 million, that wasn’t expected to be a huge hit.)

CONS:

Gaming adaptations aren’t always successful. World of Warcraft also had several million active users when June’s Warcraft only earned $47.2 million at the box office. Will audiences beyond the existing fanbase turn out?


Why Him? (Fox)

PROS:

The comedy about a middle-aged man who develops a hatred and rivalry with his daughter’s new boyfriend represents one of two comedies with a wide release this December. And the other, Office Christmas Party, seems unlikely to make much money after December 25, for obvious reasons — leaving audiences looking for a post-Christmas comedy no other choices but the December 23 release of Why Him?

Bryan Cranston and James Franco could make a great comic pairing, with Cranston in his first comedic role since his breakout Emmy-nominated performance on television’s Malcolm in the Middle, following a decade of dramatic roles in television’s Breaking Bad and his Oscar-nominated turn last year in Trumbo.

CONS:

Cranston’s most recent starring role in July’s The Infiltrator was a box office disappointment with only $15.4 million. Franco, meanwhile hasn’t had a live-action film released in more than 1,000 theaters since 2013’s Homefront with $20.1 million.
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by Shrykespeare »

Latest Predictions from BoxOffice.com:

11/18 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 78/210
11/18 The Edge of Seventeen 13/58
11/18 Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk 12/50
11/18 Bleed For This 5.5/15

11/23 Moana 65/285
11/23 Allied 14/68
11/23 Bad Santa 2 10/34

12/2 Incarnate 4.5/9

12/9 Office Christmas Party 17/70
12/9 Miss Sloane 8/26

12/16 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, 135/405
12/16 Collateral Beauty 13/75
12/16 The Space Between Us 8/45

12/21 Passengers 38/177
12/21 Sing 24/115
12/21 Assassin's Creed 13/56
12/23 Why Him? 11/54

1/6 Underworld: Blood Wars 17/42
1/6 Amityville: The Awakening 8/17



Underworld: Blood Wars (Sony / Screen Gems)

PROS:

This is the fifth installment in the Underworld franchise. Installments #2 through #4 have all opened in January and been successful at the box office, especially considering the middling grosses that typically define the month. Evolution made $62.3 million in January 2006, Rise of the Lycans earned $45.8 million in January 2009, and Awakening took $62.3 million in January 2012. Blood Wars hopes to continue that trend.

CONS:

The two most recent Underworld installments were also the two lowest-grossing ones, adjusted for inflation, indicating that the franchise might be losing steam among audiences. (That being said, both of those films still did well enough to greenlight sequels.)

Several other sci-fi or action films from December will still be competing for audience eyeballs by the first weekend of January: Star Wars spinoff Rogue One, the Jennifer Lawrence/Chris Pratt vehicle Passengers, and The Space Between Us.


Amityville: The Awakening (Weinstein / Dimension)

PROS:

This continues the iconic Amityville franchise, which originated in 1979 and takes place in a haunted house in Amityville, New York. The most recent installment was the 2005 remake The Amityville Horror, which started with $23.5 million en route to $65.2 million total. If Awakening can match that sum, that would be impressive, especially for a January release.

CONS:

Awakening was originally scheduled for release all the way back in January 2015, with the title having now been delayed for a full two years. That’s almost never a good sign. In fact, the main trailer has now been on YouTube since August 2014, a stunningly long amount of time. Building buzz early is usually good, but that does not appear to be what’s happening here.
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

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Latest Predictions from BoxOffice.com:

12/21 Sing 34/180
12/21 Passengers 30/120
12/21 Assassin's Creed 20/77
12/23 Why Him? 9/54

1/6 Underworld: Blood Wars 17/42
1/6 Hidden Figures 9/35

1/13 Live By Night 25/69 (4-day weekend)
1/13 Patriots Day 23.5/78 (4-day weekend)
1/13 Sleepless 13/42 (4-day weekend)
1/13 Monster Trucks 12/22 (4-day weekend)
1/13 The Bye Bye Man 8/17 (4-day weekend)

1/20 xXx: The Return of Xander Cage 32/72
1/20 Split 16/45
1/20 The Founder 9.5/39
1/20 The Resurrection of Gavin Stone 1.4/3

1/27 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter 24/52
1/27 A Dog's Purpose 16/65
1/27 Bastards 8/22
1/27 Gold 7/22

2/3 Rings 19/45
2/3 The Space Between Us 7/20
2/3 Same Kind of Different as Me 4.5/12

2/10 The LEGO Batman Movie 56/210
2/10 Fifty Shades Darker 41/83
2/10 John Wick: Chapter Two 20/45



Fifty Shades Darker (Universal)

PROS:

•2015’s sex-heavy Fifty Shades of Grey became one of the highest-grossing romances of all time with an $85.1 million opening and $166.1 million total. At the time, that was the second-highest February opening ever behind only The Passion of the Christ (and now ranking third after February 2016’s Deadpool). Universal is aiming to recreate that magic releasing time with Darker, again coming out the weekend before Valentine’s Day.

•Buzz online has and trailer views have been high, if just a little bit lower than the pre-release buzz for Grey, led by a committed passionate fan base. Unquestionably the biggest romance book/film series before Fifty Shades was Twilight, and don’t forget that it was the second installment New Moon which truly turned it into a box office powerhouse. 2008’s Twilight earned $192.7 million, not a bad sum at all, but 2009’s New Moon took it up a notch with $296.6 million. Installments 3, 4, and 5 all earned $280-$300 million too. Could something similar happen here?

CONS:

•The original film was coming right on the heels of the hugely popular book trilogy by E.L. James, all three of which were some of the highest selling books in years but especially the first installment. Now that two years have passed, the books are still big but perhaps not quite the cultural phenomenon of the moment as they were from 2013-15.

•There are usually very few romance sequels, even to the highest grossing films. With very few exceptions, the genre simply isn’t known for being lucrative past one film.


The LEGO Batman Movie (Warner Bros.)

PROS:

•Similar to the aforementioned Fifty Shades Darker attempting to recapture the huge box office of the previous February-released film in the series, the same thing here. February 2014’s The LEGO Movie started with $69.0 million en route to $257.7 million total. (Although the comparison may be apples to oranges given how different the two films are, that’s a lower opening than Grey but a notably higher cumulative.) The original LEGO Movie featured Batman, albeit in a supporting role near the end.

•The last wide release animated film before this will have been Sing in late December, which will likely be almost out of theaters by mid-February. And the next animated film will be Rock Dog two weeks later, for which box office projections aren’t strong. So when it comes to the animated/family audience, Batman will have the market almost entirely to itself.

CONS:

•Will this perform as well as The LEGO Movie? Maybe not. One could see the “real” Batman the year before in 2016’s Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice, and again later in 2017 with November’s Justice League. Will audiences want to see such a cartoonish Batman when such a bigger-budget live action option is available both so sooner before and after?


John Wick: Chapter Two (Lionsgate/Summit)

PROS:

•October 2014’s action film John Wick was not considered a big financial success at the time, opening in second place with $14.4 million and ending up with $43.0 million. But it’s achieved something of a cult classic status since then, and Lionsgate thought there was enough of an audience to greenlight a sequel.

CONS:

•Sequels to films which did okay but not amazingly at the box office — yet retained a passionate fan base — haven’t always done well at the box office recently. See the $28.8 million of Zoolander 2. Plus Keanu Reeves has arguably only had one real box office hit in the past decade, with 2008’s The Day the Earth Stood Still's $79.3 million — and even that wasn’t as much of a smash as it could have been.
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

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Latest Predictions from BoxOffice.com:

1/6 Underworld: Blood Wars 17/42
1/6 Hidden Figures 9/35

1/13 Live By Night 25/69 (4-day weekend)
1/13 Patriots Day 23.5/78 (4-day weekend)
1/13 Sleepless 13/42 (4-day weekend)
1/13 Monster Trucks 12/22 (4-day weekend)
1/13 The Bye Bye Man 8/17 (4-day weekend)

1/20 xXx: The Return of Xander Cage 32/72
1/20 Split 16/45
1/20 The Founder 9.5/39
1/20 The Resurrection of Gavin Stone 1.4/3

1/27 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter 24/52
1/27 A Dog's Purpose 16/65
1/27 Bastards 8/22
1/27 Gold 7/22

2/3 Rings 19/45
2/3 The Space Between Us 7/20
2/3 Same Kind of Different as Me 4.5/12

2/10 The LEGO Batman Movie 56/210
2/10 Fifty Shades Darker 41/83
2/10 John Wick: Chapter Two 20/45

2/17 The Great Wall 34/68 (4 day weekend)
2/17 Fist Fight 25/63 (4 day weekend)
2/17 A Cure For Wellness 13.5/35 (4 day weekend)
2/17 Patient Zero 8.5/19 (4 day weekend)

2/24 Rock Dog 20/56
2/24 Get Out 3/8
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by transformers2 »

Rock Dog at 56 and Get Out at 8? :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by Buscemi »

Get Out's going to surprise. The teaming of the current king of horror (Jason Blum) with half of the most popular comedic team right now (Jordan Peele) to do a politically-charged thriller will bring in more than just teens that live on these kinds of movies. It will play well in both the big cities and the smaller college towns. I could see it doing $60-70 million.

Rock Dog is basically being dumped (notice that Lionsgate is using the rarely used Summit Premiere label for pickups they have little faith in) and it bombed in China (it's also reportedly a huge step down from the director's last two projects). This was one picked up more for post-theatrical life than anything. $10 million and no more than that.
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by numbersix »

Agreed. The trailer had a great response and should totally surprise.

Think they're too high on Live by Night (disappointing PTA in 4 theatres), The Founder (at best it'll be a breakout arthouse film, earning under 20m) and Sleepless (generic thriller up against two others that weekend).

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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by Buscemi »

Live by Night also got mixed reviews and is going wide against another Boston-themed film that's had a better reception in Patriots Day (though I feel the trailer showed the entire movie already).

The Founder's been pushed back a few times but should bring in the Keaton faithful. It may get a small bump if Keaton gets an Oscar nomination.

Sleepless should do okay. The trailer's not bad and Jamie Foxx has some audience appeal. xXx will steal its audience a week later, though.
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by Chienfantome »

Yeah they are out of their mind, it's gonna be the other way around between Rock Dog and Get Out.
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by Shrykespeare »

Latest Predictions from BoxOffice.com:

1/13 Patriots Day 23.5/78 (4-day weekend)
1/13 Live By Night 15/35 (4-day weekend)
1/13 Sleepless 13/42 (4-day weekend)
1/13 Monster Trucks 12/22 (4-day weekend)
1/13 The Bye Bye Man 8/17 (4-day weekend)

1/20 xXx: The Return of Xander Cage 32/72
1/20 Split 16/45
1/20 The Founder 9.5/39
1/20 The Resurrection of Gavin Stone 1.4/3

1/27 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter 24/52
1/27 A Dog's Purpose 16/65
1/27 Bastards 8/22
1/27 Gold 7/22

2/3 Rings 19/45
2/3 The Space Between Us 7/20
2/3 Same Kind of Different as Me 4.5/12

2/10 The LEGO Batman Movie 56/210
2/10 Fifty Shades Darker 41/83
2/10 John Wick: Chapter Two 20/45

2/17 The Great Wall 34/68 (4 day weekend)
2/17 Fist Fight 25/63 (4 day weekend)
2/17 A Cure For Wellness 13.5/35 (4 day weekend)
2/17 Patient Zero 8.5/19 (4 day weekend)

2/24 Rock Dog 3/8
2/24 Get Out 20/56
They got it right(er) this time!

3/3 Logan 81/205
3/3 The Shack 9.5/35
3/3 Leap! 6.5/20
3/3 Before I Fall 7/18



Logan (Fox)

PROS:
Hugh Jackman stars as Wolverine in the third solo film starring the most famous character from the X-Men franchise. Both previous installments were hits, as 2009’s X-Men Origins: Wolverine started with an $85.0 million opening en route to $179.8 million total, while 2013’s The Wolverine began with $53.1 million on its way to $132.5 million total.
The trailer has been gaining strong buzz for its highly unusual strategy of showing almost entirely emotional shots alongside the tragic song “Hurt” by Johnny Cash, with very few action or special effects shots — a virtually unheard-of strategy for a superhero film.

CONS:
Although the MPAA has not yet rated the film, rumors abound that it will receive an R rating, unlike the PG-13 earned by the previous two Wolverine films and all X-Men installments. Conventional wisdom is that this would hurt the film’s grosses, although that paradigm may have shifted since last year’s R-rated superhero Deadpool earned $363.0 million.
Although both the first two films were indeed hits, the second installment did represent a 26.3 percent downturn in domestic earnings from the first installment. Will the third installment be able to reverse that trend? After all, unlike both previous installments and almost much every other superhero movie, the main character’s name is not in the title here — perhaps some people won’t realize it’s a new Wolverine movie? (Then again, The Dark Knight became one of the most financially successful films of all time in 2008 despite not having the word “Batman” in the title.)


The Shack (Lionsgate)

PROS:
The Christian-themed film is about a father who meets the human manifestations of the Holy Trinity after his young daughter is murdered. It’s based on the novel by William P. Young that has more than 10 million copies in print. If the film can sell 10 million tickets, it would be a big success for a production with its budget.

CONS:
That being said, it almost certainly won’t sell 10 million tickets. Sam Worthington hasn’t really established himself as a bona fide leading man at the box office, despite a promising start several years ago with Avatar and Terminator: Salvation. Christian films have had a rough go at the box office in the past year or two, with the exception of last year’s Miracles From Heaven with $61.7 million — recent wide release titles such as God’s Not Dead 2, The Young Messiah, and Risen ranged from average to poor at the box office.


Leap! (Weinstein Company)

PROS:
The story of an orphaned girl in 1800s France who longs to become a ballerina sounds like Hugo, the story of an orphaned boy in 1800s France who longs to become an inventor, and that film was a sleeper hit in 2011 with $73.8 million. It’s also the only animated movie coming out for four weeks until The Boss Baby on March 31, and the last major animated movie prior will have been The LEGO Batman Movie three weeks before. (The previous week’s Rock Dog currently forecasted by Boxoffice Pro to only earn a paltry $8 million total and shouldn’t be much of a factor.)

CONS:
Two weeks later will see the release of the live action Beauty and the Beast, the story of a girl — well, young woman — without a mother who dreams of a better life in 1700s France. With that story being far more famous due to the classic nature of the animated original, it should take a large chunk of the audience away from Leap! if that audience hasn’t already fallen away of its own accord.


Before I Fall (Open Road Films)

PROS:
The teen-aimed drama about a high school senior who keeps reliving the day of her death by car crash over and over again looks like a more dramatic, angsty, and eerie version of Groundhog Day.

CONS:
The release comes from Open Road Films, a studio whose best performing titles in 2016 were Mother’s Day with $32.4 million and Snowden with $21.5 million. It’s hard to imagine this title reaching even those numbers. And the novel on which it’s based hasn’t sold nearly as much as the aforementioned The Shack.
Happy 60th birthday Jet Li! (4/26/23)

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undeadmonkey
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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by undeadmonkey »

The only way Logan would go so high is if the reviews are fantastic. Plus some people might be turned off by the "last time" marketing if Ryan Reynolds gets Jackman back for a deadpool movie as he has been talking about lately.

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Re: Future Tracking From Exhibitors

Post by Buscemi »

I don't think Jackman's coming back, especially with his health issues and him fighting to get The Greatest Showman on Earth made. Reynolds will try as hard as he can but I can't see him succeeding.
Everything on this post is strictly the opinion and only the opinion of Buscemi.

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