Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

[Buscemi]

THS, I have Knight and Day on mine. Is that original or not?

[silversurfer19]

...And is Inception not an original idea?

[thswrestler160]

Inception was the one i was counting as an original idea. And busc your probly the only person who thinks that knight and day is going to make the top 15. tom cruise as a spy:almost every movie he does. tom cruise as a creepy crazy guy: real life. for all we know mr cruise finally went totally crazy and started to believe he really was a spy and regency was like; put cameron diaz in there and we'll follow him around with cameras for a while and we'll do some editing and make it into a movie.

[Buscemi]

Tom Cruise did have Tropic Thunder and Valkyrie back in 2008 (both did surprisingly well, especially Valkyrie). And I only seem to remember Tom Cruise playing a spy in the Mission: Impossible movies (more action than romantic comedy) and Valkyrie (a historical drama). Otherwise, he's played different roles than "just spies". Knight and Day is also the only romantic comedy opening in July. Despite competition from Eclipse, older audiences have proved time and time again that they watch movies too. Also, the trailer got a surprisingly good reaction when I saw it before Avatar.

Also, The Last Airbender will definitely flop (Remember Speed Racer and Astro Boy's numbers? American adaptations of anime rarely do well at the box office.). I'll be surprised if it hits even $50 million.

[W]

1. Iron Man II
2. Eclipse
3. HP7
4. Toy Story III
5. Shrek 4
6. Alice in Wonderland
7. Inception
8. Meet the Little Fockers
9. Prince of Persia
10. Sex and the City 2
11. Clash of the Titans
12. Tron 2
13. Rapunzel
14. The A Team
15. Grown Ups

Totals: 2.545 B and
3.205 B

[undeadmonkey]

final slate


1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows 1
2. Iron Man 2
3. Toy Story 3
4. Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader
5. Shrek Forever After
6. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time
7. Twilight: Eclipse
8. Clash of the Titans
9. Alice In Wonderland
10. Salt

Total $2.5B

for top 15


11. Sex and the City
12. The Last Airbender
13. Sorcerer's Apprentice
14. Megamind
15. Tron: Legacy

Total 3.3B



I feel like there's going to be a few surprises again, but i sure dont know which ones. No one saw The Hangover or Blind Side coming last year, so i guess ill stick with said obvious ones.

[delfinasu]

OK! We have only 9 moguls with 21 movies for v1.
According to no. of frequencies in our Top 10s, the standings are:
1-5 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 - 9
1-5 Shrek Forever After - 9
1-5 The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - 9
1-5 Iron Man 2 - 9
1-5 Toy Story 3 - 9
6 Inception - 7
7-8 Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time - 6
7-8 Alice in Wonderland - 6
9 Little Fockers - 5
10 The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader - 4
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
11-13 How To Train Your Dragon - 3
11-13 Tron Legacy - 3
11-13 Clash of the Titans - 3
14-21 Dinner for Schmucks - 1
14-21 Rapunzel - 1
14-21 Green Hornet - 1
14-21 Sex and the City 2 - 1
14-21 Salt - 1
14-21 Megamind (formerly Oobermind) - 1
14-21 Grown Ups - 1
14-21 Yogi Bear - 1

============================================================================================================================
So, everybody has chosen Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1, Shrek Forever After, The Twilight Saga: Eclipse, Iron Man 2 AND Toy Story 3.

If we consider 1st position in our Top 10s with 10 points, 2nd - 9 pts.... 10th - 1 point, we can have this:
1 Iron Man 2 88
2 Toy Story 3 75
3 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 74
4 Shrek Forever After 60
5 The Twilight Saga: Eclipse 59
6 Inception 32
7 The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader 19
8 Alice in Wonderland 18
9 Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time 15
10 Little Fockers 15
11 Tron Legacy 11
12 How To Train Your Dragon 7
13 Clash of the Titans 6
14 Green Hornet 4
15 Megamind (formerly Oobermind) 3
16 Yogi Bear 3
17 Dinner for Schmucks 2
18 Grown Ups 1
19 Salt 1
20 Rapunzel 1
21 Sex and the City 2 1

==============================================================================================
Iron Man 2 is higher in our Top 10s than Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1, Shrek Forever After, The Twilight Saga: Eclipse AND Toy Story .

For 1st place, we have chosen:
Iron Man 2 - 7
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 - 2

Alice in Wonderland has chances to surpass today the 200 mark! And can have a final 285-315 depending of the next 2 weekends...
Alice hasn't been chosen by:
Buscemi
Shrykespeare
thswrestler160

I'll compile later to see which ones of us have the same 10 movies... AND also we'll see the numbers for v2.

Any other thoughts?

[Buscemi]

I did choose Alice in Wonderland. See Number 12.

[delfinasu]

The stats above where just for v1, with 10 movies...

back... with stats for v2... 28 movies!
According to no. of frequencies in our Top 15s, the standings are:
1-6 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 9
1-6 Alice in Wonderland 9
1-6 The Twilight Saga: Eclipse 9
1-6 Iron Man 2 9
1-6 Toy Story 3 9
1-6 Shrek Forever After 9
7-8 Inception 8
7-8 Little Fockers 8
9-10 Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time 7
9-10 Clash of the Titans 7
-------------------------------------
11-12 Sex and the City 2 6
11-12 Tron Legacy 6
13-14 The A-Team 5
13-14 The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader 5
15-18 Salt 4
15-18 Grown Ups 4
15-18 Rapunzel 4
15-18 How To Train Your Dragon 4
-------------------------------------------------
19-21 Yogi Bear 3D 2
19-21 Megamind 2
19-21 The Last Airbender 2
22-28 Karate Kid 1
22-28 Dinner for Schmucks 1
22-28 Oobermind 1
22-28 Knight and Day 1
22-28 Expendables 1
22-28 Green Hornet 1
22-28 Sorcerer's Apprentice 1

============================================================================================================================
So, everybody has chosen Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1, Shrek Forever After, The Twilight Saga: Eclipse, Iron Man 2, Toy Story 3 AND Alice in Wonderland.

If we consider 1st position in our Top 15s with 15 points, 2nd - 14 pts.... 15th - 1 point, we can have this:
1 Iron Man 2 - 133
2 Toy Story 3 - 120
3 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 119
4 Shrek Forever After 105
5 The Twilight Saga: Eclipse 104
6 Inception 68
7 Alice in Wonderland 58
8 Little Fockers 53
9 Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time 49
10 The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader 43
11 Clash of the Titans 35
12 Tron Legacy 33
13 How To Train Your Dragon 25
14 Sex and the City 2 24
15 The A-Team 17
16-17 Salt 13
16-17 Grown Ups 13
18 Rapunzel 12
19-20 Yogi Bear 3D 10
19-20 Megamind 10
21 Green Hornet 9
22-23 Dinner for Schmucks 7
22-23 The Last Airbender 7
24-26 Oobermind 3
24-26 Expendables 3
24-26 Sorcerer's Apprentice 3
27-28 Karate Kid 2
27-28 Knight and Day 2

==============================================================================================
I think that Alice can't miss final top 10. We have 3 players who didn't chose it in their top 10 for v2.

SO, v1 is LOCKED, BUT you can replace for v2 ANY movie that isn't already released.

I'm still waiting for players for v2. JackO, where are youuu?!! A_Roode, Mannix2121, J.I., Donte77, SuperShaan, BarcaRulz, jas_8382, becs,
aquamann2001, transformers2, geezer9687, Lili, Keyser Soze, IPKI$$, BanksIsDaFuture, leestu, Alyson, johnErle... anyone? everybody's invited!

Even if you missed Alice, you can still WIN! So, choose 15 movies carefully in order of potential cumes AND keep your eyes WIDE OPEN - you can still replace them after that, unless they are already released...

I hope that we'll have a "double" Super-contest more entertaining (because of v2) than the last one.

...and MAY the BEST W-I-N!

[becs]

EH don't wait on me, I've had to cut back on my playtime for everything these days. As much as I would like to participate, work is dominating me too mcuh to spend the time looking into what is coming out for the rest of the year.

[delfinasu]

for v1, 10 irreplaceable movies, How To Train Your Dragon has been chosen by 3 players: Buscemi, Shrykespeare and englishozzy.
for v2, with 15 replaceable movies, How To Train Your Dragon has been chosen by 4 players: Buscemi, Shrykespeare, englishozzy and silversurfer19.

After an OW not very good, WOM will wind it up, and can make $146-153 M, max. $160-170 M.

for v1, 10 irreplaceable movies, Clash of the Titans has been chosen by 3 players: delfinasu, undeadmonkey and thswrestler160.
for v2, with 15 replaceable movies, Clash of the Titans has been chosen by 7 players: delfinasu,
Buscemi, Shrykespeare, undeadmonkey, thswrestler160, silversurfer19 and W.

Nikki Finke said $65 M for OW. We'll see. The reviews are not very good.
It also doesn't have the Anticipation Level of "300" - 70/210. I will not be surprised at all if it only gain $ 155-175 M... but I hope for more - 195-215...

v2 was created to be more dynamic. Nobody had made any replacements until now...
You can put it there. And I'll update your slate. Just remember, as long as a movie wasn't already released, you can replace it. You'll be able also to move it (from rank 4 to rank 10 for example)...
If a movie is already released, its rank will be locked...

[numbersix]

Can you replace a movie that has a date changed out of the game's period? The Green Hornet has been moved to 2011.

If so I'd like to drop The Green hornet from both of my lists, and replace it with Tron Legacy

1: Iron Man 2
2: Toy Story 3
3: Harry Potter 7
4: Twilight 3
5: Shrek Forever After
6: Alice in Wonderland
7: Green Hornet REPLACE WITH TRON LEGACY
8: Yogi Bear
9: Dinner for Schmucks
10: Rapunzel
11: Sex and the City 2
12: Little Fockers
13: Expendables
14: Karate Kid
15: Inception

[delfinasu]

Done for v2. You can do replacements only for v2 (15 movies).
Unfortunately v1 is LOCKED for all of us... 2 years ago Harry Potter was our mistake...
Sadly, you were the only player who made a bet on Green Hornet. BUT who knows, anything can happen next...

[Buscemi]

Looks like How To Train Your Dragon will pass your maximum, Delfy.

[delfinasu]

YES. WOM for HTTYD was very good. It has an incredible IM. It can surpass the $200 M mark!
Is 225 now reachable? What do you think?
Other possible finish lines:
Alice in Wonderland (2010): 331-333
Clash of the Titans (2010): 165-170
Date Night: 85-90