Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

All league discussion for the currently in-play box office seasons.

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silversurfer19
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by silversurfer19 »

By the way, HAPPY BIRTHDAY Delpy!, our romanian stat king!

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delfinasu
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by delfinasu »

Thank you VERY MUCH, SS!

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delfinasu
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by delfinasu »

Possible finish lines:

Alice in Wonderland (2010): 333-335
Iron Man 2: 305-315 oops!
Shrek Forever After: 215-230 ouch!
How to Train Your Dragon: 215-217
Clash of the Titans (2010): 165
Shutter Island: 128
Robin Hood: 105
Date Night: 96-98

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delfinasu
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by delfinasu »

Sex and the City 2 AND Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time WON'T be in the final top 15 of the blockbusters of the year 2010 in USA !
SATC 2 could achieve only $97M AND PoP maybe 88-90.

SATC 2 has been chosen only by W for v1.
PoP has been chosen for v1 by 6 players Shrykespeare, undeadmonkey, englishozzy, thswrestler160, silversurfer19 and W for v1.

A-Team and The Karate Kid have not been chosen by anyone for v1. After a $52M+ OW estimated by Nikki Finke, Karate Kid could be a potential top 15 entry.
A-Team won't even surpass the 100 mark, after a $27-28M 3 days-debut estimated by Nikki.

For v2:
SATC 2 has been chosen by: delfinasu, englishozzy, numbersix, silversurfer19, undeadmonkey, W
PoP - delfinasu, englishozzy, Shrykespeare, silversurfer19, thswrestler160, undeadmonkey, W
A-Team - Buscemi, delfinasu, englishozzy, thswrestler160, W
The Karate Kid has been chosen only by numbersix.

Just REMEMBER, for v2 you can do replacements, as long as that movie wasn't already released! v2 was created to be more dynamic. Nobody had made any replacements until now... except numbersix - who REPLACED Green Hornet WITH TRON LEGACY, BUT only because Green Hornet was delayed for 2011. Let me see some true changes! :D
You can put it there. And I'll update your slate. Just remember, as long as a movie wasn't already released, you can replace it. You'll be able also to move it (from rank 4 to rank 10 for example)...
If a movie is already released, its rank will be locked..
With several projects in development, I totally forgot to eliminate PoP from my v2, to put SATC2 at the bottom and to replace The A-Team with Karate Kid. This is it! :( BUT you can avoid my errors from now on... Just "visit" your slates weekly from now on, and you can decide whenever you want to replace a movie...

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numbersix
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by numbersix »

I'd like to drop Dinner for Schmucks, move everything up one, and replace with Despicable Me

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delfinasu
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by delfinasu »

numbersix, your slate for v2 will be this:

1. Iron Man 2
2. Toy Story 3
3. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
4. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse
5. Shrek Forever After
6. Alice in Wonderland
7. Tron Legacy
8. Yogi Bear 3D
9. Rapunzel
10. Sex and the City 2
11. Little Fockers
12. Expendables
13. Karate Kid
14. Inception
15. Despicable Me

Is it correct?

Toy Story 3 has a chance for 120/360+ OW/total... none of us put it on No. 1...

I'll try to make an update after the last weekend of June, to see how we've done it after a half of year... ;)

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numbersix
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by numbersix »

That's correct, thanks buddy!

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delfinasu
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by delfinasu »

numbersix, unfortunatelly I made an error :(
for v2 you can't move the (already) released movies. So, Sex and the City 2 is locked in for 11th place and Karate Kid is locked in for 14th place.
So, your slate is now:

1. Iron Man 2
2. Toy Story 3
3. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
4. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse
5. Shrek Forever After
6. Alice in Wonderland
7. Tron Legacy
8. Yogi Bear 3D
9. Rapunzel
10. Little Fockers
11. Sex and the City 2
12. Expendables
13. Inception
14. Karate Kid
15. Despicable Me

Released movies are bold. I moved up the unreleased movies, and I replaced for you Dinner for Schmucks with Despicable Me...

Now it's OK? You want do make some other changes?

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delfinasu
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by delfinasu »

Update: 07/25/2010

v1 - STANDINGS
===============

On BO Total:
1 englishozzy 1,989.11
2 W 1,866.59
3 delfinasu 1,845.22
4 undeadmonkey 1,827.87
5 silversurfer19 1,771.53
6 Buscemi 1,707.64
7 Shrykespeare 1,654.92
8 thswrestler160 1,600.55
9 numbersix 1,539.12


On BO Average:
1 delfinasu 263.60
2 numbersix 256.52
3 silversurfer19 253.08
4 englishozzy 248.64
5 Buscemi 243.95
6 Shrykespeare 236.42
7 W 233.32
8 thswrestler160 228.65
9 undeadmonkey 228.48


\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

v2 - STANDINGS
===============

On BO Total:
1 englishozzy 1,701.37
2 W 1,694.56
3 Buscemi 1,690.38
4 Shrykespeare 1,645.32
5 silversurfer18 1,636.61
6 delfinasu 1,614.54
7 thswrestler159 1,575.83
8 numbersix 1,561.05
9 undeadmonkey 1,537.10

On BO Average:
1 numbersix 173.45
2 silversurfer18 163.66
3 delfinasu 161.45
4 W 154.05
5 Buscemi 153.67
6 Shrykespeare 149.57
7 thswrestler159 143.26
8 englishozzy 141.78
9 undeadmonkey 139.74

What do you think about Inception? 250-290 or it will even surpass the 300 mark?
Will Toy Story 3 achieve $400M?
Despicable Me can do $205-207M and Grown Ups - 160...

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delfinasu
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by delfinasu »

Update: 10/03/2010

v1 - STANDINGS
===============

On BO Total:
1 englishozzy 2.193,29
2 W 2.071,05
3 delfinasu 2.048,16
4 undeadmonkey 1.968,08
5 silversurfer19 1.975,71
6 Buscemi 1.929,98
7 Shrykespeare 1.859,10
8 thswrestler160 1.804,73
9 numbersix 1.669,35

On BO Average:
1 delfinasu 292,59
2 silversurfer19 282,24
3 Buscemi 275,71
4 englishozzy 274,16
5 Shrykespeare 265,59
6 W 258,88
7 thswrestler160 257,82
8 undeadmonkey 246,01
9 numbersix 238,48

Everyone of us has been chosen Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1. So the difference will be determined by the other movie/s chosen by us.
englishozzy, W and undeadmonkey have only 1 other movie to be released (besides Harry Potter 7), everyone else has 2 other movies.

There are only 7 movies to be released, that matter for our show...
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
Little Fockers
Megamind (formerly Oobermind)
Rapunzel
The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader
Tron Legacy
Yogi Bear

I'm very confident in my chances because I have Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1, Tron Legacy and Little Fockers.
Maybe this time I'll win...
Buscemi, englishozzy, silversurfer19 and thswrestler160 have chances to win also...


\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

v2 - STANDINGS
===============

On BO Total:
1 englishozzy 1.900,53
2 W 1.854,03
3 Buscemi 1.840,56
4 Shrykespeare 1.849,23
5 silversurfer18 1.797,75
6 delfinasu 1.775,73
7 thswrestler159 1.766,57
8 numbersix 1.744,48
9 undeadmonkey 1.630,30


On BO Average:
1 silversurfer18 179,77
2 delfinasu 177,57
3 numbersix 174,45
4 W 168,55
5 Shrykespeare 168,11
6 Buscemi 167,32
7 thswrestler159 160,60
8 englishozzy 158,38
9 undeadmonkey 148,21

Here, we have also 7 more movies that matter for our contest:
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
Little Fockers
Megamind
Rapunzel
The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader
Tron Legacy
Yogi Bear 3D
...BUT a BIG detail will be the (movie) rank placed by everyone, so we don't know yet who has more chances to win.

silversurfer18, delfinasu, numbersix and Shrykespeare have chances to win, at first sight, BUT everybody can replace un-released movies in this version ;)

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delfinasu
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by delfinasu »

Update: 10/31/2010 - after 10 full months of this year, we have the following standings:

v1 - STANDINGS
===============

On BO Total:
1 englishozzy 2.198,45
2 W 2.076,22
3 delfinasu 2.053,32
5 silversurfer19 1.980,87
4 undeadmonkey 1.971,45
6 Buscemi 1.935,50
7 Shrykespeare 1.864,26
8 thswrestler160 1.809,89
9 numbersix 1.672,19


On BO Average:
1 delfinasu 293,33
2 silversurfer19 282,98
3 Buscemi 276,50
4 englishozzy 274,81
5 Shrykespeare 266,32
6 W 259,53
7 thswrestler160 258,56
8 undeadmonkey 246,43
9 numbersix 238,88

\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

v2 - STANDINGS
===============

On BO Total:
1 englishozzy 1.905,75
2 W 1.858,62
4 Shrykespeare 1.853,96
3 Buscemi 1.845,42
5 silversurfer18 1.802,12
6 delfinasu 1.780,50
7 thswrestler159 1.774,33
8 numbersix 1.748,76
9 undeadmonkey 1.642,03

On BO Average:
1 silversurfer18 180,21
2 delfinasu 178,05
3 numbersix 174,88
4 W 168,97
5 Shrykespeare 168,54
6 Buscemi 167,77
7 thswrestler159 161,30
8 englishozzy 158,81
9 undeadmonkey 149,28

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numbersix
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by numbersix »

Any update on this? I made some good choices in Version 2 and am curious to see how I did.

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delfinasu
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by delfinasu »

unfortunately lately I was very busy with a little project, BUT I'm back right in time for posting the results:

v1: FINAL STANDINGS
rk mogul total
1 delfinasu 2,669.35
2 englishozzy 2,599.27
3 silversurfer19 2,552.69
4 Buscemi 2,528.94
5 W 2,521.24
6 thswrestler160 2,425.92
7 Shrykespeare 2,413.06
8 undeadmonkey 2,370.64
9 numbersix 2,260.34

v2: FINAL STANDINGS
1 numbersix 2,398.06
2 Buscemi 2,378.24
3 W 2,376.67
4 delfinasu 2,376.40 (so little difference)
5 Shrykespeare 2,364.37
6 silversurfer18 2,353.91
7 englishozzy 2,334.23
8 thswrestler159 2,274.64
9 undeadmonkey 2,128.80

Congrats to the winners!

If anyone wants to organize something like this for 2011, I'd be happy to pass the torch...

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undeadmonkey
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by undeadmonkey »

i did fantastic *sarcastically*


interesting how six got first in one version and last in the other. congrats though

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numbersix
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Re: Super-contest of 2010// Blockbusters of 2010

Post by numbersix »

Well I took a few risks in the second game that involved very early positive buzz (like Karate Kid and Despicable Me) and I was also able to make one or two changes that paid off. I'd like to say it was strategy but it was pure luck ;)

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