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Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 3rd, 2019, 4:23 am
by Chienfantome
Top 5, yes !!!
Thank you Elsa, thank you Olaf.

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 3rd, 2019, 8:54 pm
by Aquamann2001
I think six should be the front runner. Bond kept its date and he still has birds of prey and a few other rock solid picks. Sky walker doesn’t feel a eventy as the last two films have. Backlash will hurt it. I think it’s gonna be lower then expected. Six also has a sizable lead on me still.

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 4th, 2019, 5:43 am
by Chienfantome
Naaaaaa, I still think you're the man to beat, Aqua.

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 4th, 2019, 5:55 am
by numbersix
Aquamann2001 wrote:I think six should be the front runner. Bond kept its date and he still has birds of prey and a few other rock solid picks. Sky walker doesn’t feel a eventy as the last two films have. Backlash will hurt it. I think it’s gonna be lower then expected. Six also has a sizable lead on me still.
Why thank you, my friend, but I'm not so sure. I'm at 660m now, and most of my films won't make much mroe than $20m each. It's entirely up to Bond and Harley. Currently I predict together they'll earn me $300m (160m for Birds and 140 for Bond). Perhaps one will exceed expectations (probably Bond), but even still I won't be breaking 1.1b. Aqua, you're guaranteed to cross $1.25b with ease. There's no way Star Wars is earning less than $600m in my opinion.

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 9th, 2019, 5:52 pm
by Shrykespeare
STANDINGS (WEEK 32/52)

1. Buscemi - $1,040,635,044 (5 films - Joker, Zombieland 2: Double Tap, Western Stars, Doctor Sleep, Queen & Slim; 5 finished)
2. Spectre - $856,580,879 (1 film - Countdown; 7 finished)
3. UDM - $759,775,888 (6 films - Judy, The Current War, Harriet, Arctic Dogs, Last Christmas, Knives Out; 5 finished)
4. Chien - $732,944,006 (3 films - Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, Frozen II, Dark Waters; 5 finished)
5. JAS - $715,465,802 (3 films - Ford v Ferrari, The Good Liar, 21 Bridges; 7 finished)
6. Six - $664,140,595 (2 films - Downton Abbey, Jojo Rabbit; 6 finished)
7. Surfer - $582,658,352 (2 films - Ad Astra, Motherless Brooklyn; 3 finished)
8. aquamann - $532,063,140 (5 films - Hustlers, The Addams Family, The Lighthouse, Charlie's Angels, Waves; 4 finished)
9. Walleye - $353,510,400 (4 films - Abominable, Black and Blue, Playing With Fire, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood; 3 finished)
10. Nicodemus - $334,390,712 (2 films - Terminator: Dark Fate, Midway; 9 finished)


The following films would appear to be done:

The Lion King (Spectre, 1st round) = $543,638,043
Toy Story 4 (Buscemi, 1st round) = $434,038,008
It: Chapter Two (JAS, 2nd round) = $211,593,228
Gemini Man (Spectre, 4th round) = $48,546,770





12/13:
Jumanji: The Next Level (Walleye, 1st round)
Bombshell (Surfer, 7th round)
Richard Jewell (Walleye, 11th round)
Black Christmas (Spectre, WW)
Uncut Gems (UDM, WW)
A Hidden Life (Buscemi, WW)



12/20:
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (aquamann, 1st round)
Cats (Spectre, 3rd round)



12/25-12/27:
Little Women (Spectre, 5th round)
Spies in Disguise (UDM, 6th round)
1917 (Chien, 6th round)
Clemency (Chien, WW)



1/3:
The Grudge (Spectre, 10th round)

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 10th, 2019, 8:07 am
by Chienfantome
Top 4 !!!
Here's hoping I can get to Top 3 next week before Star Wars gets in the way...

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 10th, 2019, 8:00 pm
by Shrykespeare
That may be tough. Frozen II's still going strong, but UDM has Knives Out and Uncut Gems going for him.

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 11th, 2019, 1:20 am
by Walleye413
Dear Santa, please let Jumanji overperform. Sincerely, Walleye

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 11th, 2019, 5:00 am
by Chienfantome
Shrykespeare wrote:That may be tough. Frozen II's still going strong, but UDM has Knives Out and Uncut Gems going for him.
But the combination of Frozen + Dark Waters is getting more money than the combo of Knives Out and Uncut Gems. The difference between us isn't that big, less than $30M, I think it can work.

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 19th, 2019, 8:42 pm
by Shrykespeare
Sorry this took so long. It's been a crazy week.

STANDINGS (WEEK 33/52)

1. Buscemi - $1,048,154,772 (5 films - Joker, Zombieland 2: Double Tap, Doctor Sleep, Queen & Slim, A Hidden Life; 6 finished)
2. Spectre - $860,893,930 (2 films - Countdown, Black Christmas; 7 finished)
3. UDM - $777,523,362 (7 films - Judy, The Current War, Harriet, Arctic Dogs, Last Christmas, Knives Out, Uncut Gems; 5 finished)
4. Chien - $765,239,887 (3 films - Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, Frozen II, Dark Waters; 5 finished)
5. JAS - $725,362,718 (3 films - Ford v Ferrari, The Good Liar, 21 Bridges; 7 finished)
6. Six - $664,881,379 (2 films - Downton Abbey, Jojo Rabbit; 6 finished)
7. Surfer - $583,019,873 (2 films - Motherless Brooklyn, Bombshell; 4 finished)
8. aquamann - $532,824,019 (4 films - Hustlers, The Lighthouse, Charlie's Angels, Waves; 5 finished)
9. Walleye - $424,988,124 (6 films - Abominable, Black and Blue, Playing With Fire, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Jumanji: The Next Level, Richard Jewell; 3 finished)
10. Nicodemus - $336,484,114 (2 films - Terminator: Dark Fate, Midway; 9 finished)


The following films would appear to be done:

The Addams Family (aquamann, 6th round) = $97,185,807
Ad Astra (Surfer, 6th round) = $50,188,370
Western Stars (Buscemi, WW) = $1,581,681





12/20:
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (aquamann, 1st round)
Cats (Spectre, 3rd round)



12/25-12/27:
Little Women (Spectre, 5th round)
Spies in Disguise (UDM, 6th round)
1917 (Chien, 6th round)
Just Mercy (Walleye, 8th round)
Clemency (Chien, WW)



1/3:
The Grudge (Spectre, 10th round)



1/10:
Like a Boss (Six, 8th round)
Underwater (Walleye, WW)

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: December 25th, 2019, 12:17 pm
by Shrykespeare
STANDINGS (WEEK 34/52)

1. Buscemi - $1,052,441,979 (5 films - Joker, Zombieland 2: Double Tap, Doctor Sleep, Queen & Slim, A Hidden Life; 6 finished)
2. Spectre - $870,607,095 (3 films - Countdown, Black Christmas, Cats; 7 finished)
3. UDM - $790,165,008 (7 films - Judy, The Current War, Harriet, Arctic Dogs, Last Christmas, Knives Out, Uncut Gems; 5 finished)
4. Chien - $787,503,560 (3 films - Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, Frozen II, Dark Waters; 5 finished)
5. JAS - $730,232,122 (3 films - Ford v Ferrari, The Good Liar, 21 Bridges; 7 finished)
6. aquamann - $710,523,981 (4 films - The Lighthouse, Charlie's Angels, Waves, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker; 6 finished)
7. Six - $665,314,368 (1 film - Jojo Rabbit; 7 finished)
8. Surfer - $588,235,902 (1 film - Bombshell; 4 finished)
9. Walleye - $476,823,434 (6 films - Abominable, Black and Blue, Playing With Fire, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Jumanji: The Next Level, Richard Jewell; 3 finished)
10. Nicodemus - $337,281,591 (2 films - Terminator: Dark Fate, Midway; 9 finished)


The following films would appear to be done:

Hustlers (aquamann, 8th round) = $104,954,881
Downton Abbey (Six, 6th round) = $96,854,135
Motherless Brooklyn (Surfer, 12th round) = $9,277,736






12/25-12/27:
Little Women (Spectre, 5th round)
Spies in Disguise (UDM, 6th round)
1917 (Chien, 6th round)
Just Mercy (Walleye, 8th round)
Clemency (Chien, WW)



1/3:
The Grudge (Spectre, 10th round)



1/10:
Like a Boss (Six, 8th round)
Underwater (Walleye, WW)



1/17:
Bad Boys For Life (Chien, 4th round)
Dolittle (aquamann, 5th round)

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: January 1st, 2020, 12:57 pm
by Shrykespeare
STANDINGS (WEEK 35/52)

1. Buscemi - $1,056,450,091 (2 films - Queen & Slim, A Hidden Life; 9 finished)
2. Spectre - $913,285,185 (3 films - Black Christmas, Cats, Little Women; 8 finished)
3. aquamann - $895,345,416 (1 film - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker; 10 finished)
4. UDM - $853,298,746 (6 films - Judy, Harriet, Last Christmas, Knives Out, Uncut Gems, Spies in Disguise; 6 finished)
5. Chien - $823,794,675 (5 films - Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, Frozen II, Dark Waters, 1917, Clemency; 5 finished)
6. JAS - $734,831,525 (2 films - Ford v Ferrari, 21 Bridges; 8 finished)
7. Six - $665,837,121 (1 film - Jojo Rabbit; 7 finished)
8. Surfer - $598,474,619 (1 film - Bombshell; 4 finished)
9. Walleye - $500,593,147 (6 films - Abominable, Playing With Fire, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Jumanji: The Next Level, Richard Jewell, Just Mercy; 4 finished)
10. Nicodemus - $337,641,914 (1 film - Midway; 10 finished)


The following films would appear to be done:

Joker (Buscemi, 2nd round) = $333,494,002
Zombieland: Double Tap (Buscemi, 5th round) = $72,785,288
Terminator: Dark Fate (Nicodemus, 2nd round) = $62,253,077
Doctor Sleep (Buscemi, 3rd round) = $31,494,813
Countdown (Spectre, 16th round) = $25,539,747
Black and Blue (Walleye, 13th round) = $22,012,729
Charlie's Angels (aquamann, 4th round) = $17,700,607
The Good Liar (JAS, 8th round) = $16,829,032
The Lighthouse (aquamann, 14th round)
The Current War: Director's Cut (UDM, WW) = $5,978,673
Arctic Dogs (UDM, WW) = $5,801,249
Waves (aquamann, WW) = $1,543,635






1/3:
The Grudge (Spectre, 10th round)



1/10:
Like a Boss (Six, 8th round)
Underwater (Walleye, WW)



1/17:
Bad Boys For Life (Chien, 4th round)
Dolittle (aquamann, 5th round)



1/24:
The Turning (Buscemi, 12th round)
The Gentlemen (Spectre, 13th round)

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: January 1st, 2020, 3:08 pm
by Chienfantome
I thought I might grab the podium again this year, but I think I'm gonna be short and end up 4th.
The way I see it, Aqua will end up 1st, Six will be 2nd, and Boosch 3rd, myself 4th and Spectre 5th.
Surfer, Walleye and Nico will be the last three in that order, the only ones not reaching 1 billion.

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: January 1st, 2020, 6:09 pm
by Walleye413
Sadly that's how I see it as well.

With that in mind - I think more about next draft - since this season is over for me.
I think with more movies going to streaming it's time to consider creative options.

I like 2 fewer rounds - gives us something to have on the Waiver wire.
And I really like some type of Oscar "bonus"
I'd propose $25 million for a Best Pic nomination. 5 million for any additional nomination in any category.

So this plays out like - Round 9 and I'm debating between The Irishman (which won't report) and Playing with Fire - which I think will get $40 million. Do I bet on the Irishman getting 7-8 awards. In which case it's the better pick? Or go with John Cena.
Does someone take a risk on Parasite and end up with a pleasant surprise instead of a total dud like Playmobil.
Marriage Story becomes an option.
But maybe you take a gamble on The Aeronauts and it turns out to be a non-nominee. There's risk and reward.

I don't think it should be for too much money - I'm thinking enough to make rounds 10-14 more interesting and more challenging.

Thought I'd throw this out there now before the actual Oscar noms come around. Then maybe we could adjust depending on how we see those play out.

Not sure of other options to add more movies to the mix - but I'd be open.

Re: 2019-20 Full Year Slates (Division A)

Posted: January 2nd, 2020, 2:17 am
by NicodemustheSage
Agreed. I might not hit $700M. Epic fail.

--Nico.