ReelSociety Forums

ROUND ONE
1. W - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (12/18/15)
2. leestu - Avengers: Age of Ultron (5/1/15)
3. Surfer - Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice (3/25/16)
4. Six - The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 (11/20/15)
5. Ron B - Spectre (11/6/15)
6. UDM - Jurassic World (6/12/15)
7. Shryke - Minions (7/10/15)
8. weissac - Inside Out (6/19/15)
9. Walleye - The Good Dinosaur (11/25/15)
10. Buscemi - Tomorrowland (5/22/15)

ROUND TWO
11. Buscemi - Ant-Man (7/17/15)
12. Walleye - Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (7/31/15)
13. weissac - Mad Max: Fury Road (5/15/15)
14. Shryke - Fantastic Four (8/7/15)
15. UDM - Ted 2 (6/26/15)
16. Ron B - Pixels (7/24/15)
17. Six - Spy (6/5/15)
18. Surfer - The Peanuts Movie (11/6/15)
19. leestu - Terminator: Genisys (7/1/15)
20. W - The Martian (11/25/15)

ROUND THREE
21. W - Kung Fu Panda 3 (1/29/16)
22. leestu - The Hateful Eight (TBA Holiday 2015)
23. Surfer - Zootopia (3/4/16)
24. Six - Pitch Perfect 2 (5/15/15)
25. Ron B - Hotel Transylvania 2 (9/25/15)
26. UDM - Joy (12/25/15)
27. Shryke - The DIvergent Series: Allegiant Part 1 (3/18/16)
28. weissac - Deadpool (2/12/16)
29. Walleye - Bridge of Spies (10/16/15)
30. Buscemi - The Walk (10/2/15)

ROUND FOUR
31. Buscemi - The Jungle Book (4/15/16)
32. Walleye - San Andreas (5/29/15)
33. weissac - Pan (10/9/15)
34. Shryke - Alvin & the Chipmunks: The Road Chip (12/23/15)
35. UDM - Magic Mike XXL (7/1/15)
36. Ron B - The Revenant (12/25/15)
37. Six - Silence (TBA 2015)
38. Surfer - Ride Along 2 (1/15/16)
39. leestu - Straight Outta Compton (8/14/15)
40. W - Trainwreck (7/17/15)

ROUND FIVE
41. W - Zoolander 2 (2/12/16)
42. leestu - Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiars (3/4/16)
43. Surfer - In the Heart of the Sea (12/11/15)
44. Six - Maze Runner 2: The Scorch Trials (9/18/15)
45. Ron B - Vacation (7/29/15)
46. UDM - Sisters (12/18/15)
47. Shryke - Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (2/5/16)
48. weissac - Goosebumps (10/16/15)
49. Walleye - Paper Towns (7/24/15)
50. Buscemi - Hot Pursuit (5/8/15)

ROUND SIX
51. Buscemi - Max (6/26/15)
52. Walleye - Daddy's Home (TBA 2015)
53. weissac - Aloha (5/29/15)
54. Shryke - Monster Trucks (12/25/15)
55. UDM - Black Mass (9/18/15)
56. Ron B - X-Mas (11/25/15)
57. Six - Crimson Peak (10/16/15)
58. Surfer - Steve Jobs (10/9/15)
59. leestu - The Huntsman (4/22/16)
60. W - Poltergeist (5/22/15)

ROUND SEVEN
61. W - Creed (11/25/15)
62. leestu - London Has Fallen (10/2/15)
63. Surfer - Hail, Caesar! (2/5/16)
64. Six - Concussion (12/25/15)
65. Ron B - The Man from U.N.C.L.E. (8/14/15)
66. UDM - How to Be Single (2/12/16)
67. Shryke - Ben-Hur (2/26/16)
68. weissac - Everest (9/18/15)
69. Walleye - The Intern (9/25/15)
70. Buscemi - Ricki and the Flash (8/7/15)

ROUND EIGHT
71. Buscemi - Michelle Darnell (4/8/16)
72. Walleye - The Finest Hours (1/29/16)
73. weissac - Entourage (6/3/15)
74. Shryke - Southpaw (7/24/15)
75. UDM - Gods of Egypt (4/8/16)
76. Ron B - Insidious Chapter 3 (6/5/15)
77. Six - Suffragette (10/23/15)
78. Surfer - The Nut Job 2 (1/15/16)
79. leestu - Free State of Jones (3/11/16)
80. W - Snowden (12/25/15)

ROUND NINE
81. W - Jem and the Holograms (10/23/15)
82. leestu - The Little Prince (TBA 2016)
83. Surfer - The Visit (9/11/15)
84. Six - Dirty Grandpa (2/26/16)
85. Ron B - Sicario (9/18/15)
86. UDM - Money Monster (TBA 2015)
87. Shryke - Victor Frankenstein (10/2/15)
88. weissac - Masterminds (7/31/15)
89. Walleye - Race (4/8/16)
90. Buscemi - Brooklyn (11/6/15)

ROUND TEN
91. Buscemi - 13 Hours (1/15/16)
92. Walleye - Christ the Lord (3/11/16)
93. weissac - Rock the Kasbah (11/13/15)
94. Shryke - Self/Less (7/10/15)
95. UDM - Macbeth (TBA 2015)
96. Ron B - Beverly Hills Cop 4 (3/25/16)
97. Six - The Choice (2/5/16)
98. Surfer - Keeping Up with the Joneses (4/1/16)
99. leestu - Point Break (12/25/15)
100. W - The Last Witch Hunter (10/23/15)

ROUND ELEVEN
101. W - A Scout's Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse (10/30/15)
102. leestu - Dope (6/19/15)
103. Surfer - Sinister 2 (8/21/15)
104. Six - The Best Man Wedding (TBA 2016)
105. Ron B - Grimsby (2/26/16)
106. UDM - Midnight Special (11/25/15)
107. Shryke - Rings (11/13/15)
108. weissac - Hitman Agent 47 (8/28/15)
109. Walleye - The Gallows (7/10/15)
110. Buscemi - The Perfect Guy (9/11/15)

ROUND TWELVE
111. Buscemi - Shaun the Sheep Movie (8/7/15)
112. Walleye - The 5th Wave (1/15/16)
113. weissac - Criminal (1/22/16)
114. Shryke - The 33 (11/13/15)
115. UDM - Our Brand is Crisis (TBA 2015)
116. Ron B - Triple Nine (9/11/15)
117. Six - Adam Jones (10/2/15)
118. Surfer - Families aka Untitled Blumhouse Horror 2 (1/8/16)
119. leestu - Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension (10/23/15)
120. W - The Secret in Their Eyes (10/23/15)

ROUND THIRTEEN
121. W - War Room (8/28/15)
122. leestu - American Ultra (8/21/15)
123. Surfer - Eye in the Sky (TBA 2016)
124. Six - Jane Got a Gun (9/4/15)
125. Ron B - The Gift (7/31/15)
126. UDM - By the Sea (TBA 2015)
127. Shryke - Captive (9/18/15)
128. weissac - Regression (8/28/15)
129. Walleye - Me and Earl and the Dying Girl (6/12/15)
130. Buscemi - The Lady in the Van (12/11/15)

ROUND FOURTEEN
131. Buscemi - God's Not Dead 2 (3/23/16)
132. Walleye - Eddie the Eagle (4/29/16)
133. weissac - Zeroville (TBA 2015)
134. Shryke - Ithaca (TBA 2016)
135. UDM - Risen (1/22/16)
136. Ron B - Krampus (12/4/15)
137. Six - Demolition (TBA 2015)
138. Surfer - Catfight (4/1/16)
139. leestu - Irrational Man (7/24/15)
140. W - Before I Wake (9/25/15)

ROUND FIFTEEN
141. W - Kidnap (10/9/15)
142. leestu - We Are Your Friends (8/28/15)
143. Surfer - The Accountant (TBA 2016)
144. Six - Love the Coopers (11/13/15)
145. Ron B - No Escape (9/2/15)
146. UDM - Autobahn (10/30/15)
147. Shryke - The Disappointments Room (9/25/15)
148. weissac - Mr. Holmes (7/17/15)
149. Walleye - The Outskirts (6/26/15)
150. Buscemi - That's What I'm Talking About (TBA 2015)

ROUND SIXTEEN
151. Buscemi - The Forest (1/8/16)
152. Walleye - Hillsong - Let Hope Rise (9/30/15)
153. weissac - Shut-In (2/19/16)
154. Shryke - The Mechanic: Resurrection (4/15/16)
155. UDM - The Transporter Refueled (9/4/15)
156. Ron B - The Danish Girl (11/27/15)
157. Six - The Light Between Oceans (TBA 2015)
158. Surfer - The Sea of Trees (TBA 2015)
159. leestu - The Bronze (7/10/15)
160. W - Super Troopers 2 (TBA 2016)

W emailed me the first pick from his phone.

He will take Star Wars: The Force Awakens.


And we're off!

At least someone has some balls.

That's good. It didn't feel right for me to have Star Wars being one of those rare people from my generation that doesn't really get into the franchise.

Avengers 2: Age of Ultron for me.

Wow, didn't know we were off!

Okay, had a long hard think and I've come to a conclusion. Mockingjay should bring in a safe $350m, maybe a little more for it's final installment, a good start. However, if I'm to have any chance at winning a escaping this trapdoor, I need to aim high, and with a pretty high basement of at least $300m (MOS made $290 without Batman), and the potential for so much more, I have to go with...

BATMAN Vs SUPERMAN: DAWN OF JUSTICE

EDIT: Ah hell, I'm already backloading my slate again!!!

Ballsy pick, Surf, considering it'll only have 39 days to justify you picking it that high.

In 6 weekends Man of Steel had made $285m of its $291m total. F7 will have made in excess of $320m after just four weekends in a similar slot. Unless it jumps its date, I have no issues with it's amount of time in the game or lack thereof.

That is a bold pick. And, there is a lot of upside. But, I think you are forgetting to subtract $100 million for Ben Affleck in a superhero costume.

It's all a question of maths.

Superman + Batman (- Affleck in costume / Zach Snyder slow-mos + Zach Synder opening credits x Chris Nolan being an executive producer / Jesse Eisenberg's bald Luthor - Affleck in costume again) = More than Mockingjay.

I'm not great at maths, hence much time spent trying to figure out that equation...

Batman v. Superman's going to break the March record, even if it runs three hours as rumored. And a lot of that is going to be people seeing how Affleck (who recently had hits in Argo and Gone Girl) will play Batman (remember, no one thought Michael Keaton could play Batman back when he was first cast).

Yeah, well, Clooney's a fair actor, but most people have chosen to forget his turn as Batman.


P.S. Really, Boosh? General Woundwort from Watership Down? Interesting choice for avatar...

I wanted to use an image from that movie that scared the most people.

And technically, Batman and Robin was really more about Schwarzenegger as Mr. Freeze and Warner Bros.' requirement that the film sell toys (against the wishes of Schumacher, who was really set on doing Batman: Year One and following Burton's approach) than Clooney. Hell, Schwarzenegger got top billing over Clooney, who was simply along for the ride.

So many things to love.

Love that the draft has started.

Love that Star Wars was first, ballsy pick and the right one.

And love Watership Down, one of my favorite books ever.

Only 5 more picks to go

I really can't see Star Wars outdoing Age of Ultron. This isn't 2005 and December has never had a $100 million opener (the first Hobbit holds the record with $85 million). And for it to pass Age of Ultron, it's going to need Avatar-like holds. I can't see that happening.

But at least this time, it's not going to a crazy case where the year's biggest doesn't go until Round 13.

Buscemi wrote:I really can't see Star Wars outdoing Age of Ultron. This isn't 2005 and December has never had a $100 million opener (the first Hobbit holds the record with $85 million). And for it to pass Age of Ultron, it's going to need Avatar-like holds. I can't see that happening.

Episode I made $700M adjusted with mediocre reviews. The worst a Star Wars movie has ever done adjusted is Episode II which made $430M. You have Abrams directing, the original cast returning, buzz is through the roof 8 months ahead of the movie (and it looks friggin amazing) and The Avengers outperformed all expectations and any other individual Marvel movie by $200M... you could easily see Age of Ultron dip a little vs. the first movie and Episode VII exploding.