2015-16 Full Year Draft Thread (Division B)

[Shrykespeare]

So many things to love.

Love that the draft has started.

Love that Star Wars was first, ballsy pick and the right one.

And love Watership Down, one of my favorite books ever.

Only 5 more picks to go

Agreed, agreed, and agreed.

Sneak peak: Watership Down (the book) is mentioned heavily in my second novel, which is nearing completion.

[empire13]

Speaking of which, check the email I sent you. Hope it helps.

And, I hope you're right, Boosh. However, I'm inclined to lean the other direction now that I've picked Avengers.

[Buscemi]

Abrams couldn't get Star Trek Into Darkness to pass the previous installment (and that one had 3-D surcharges).

Also, every previous official Star Wars opened in May and had its target audience with three free months to see them multiple times. This one has less than one month due to the December opening.

Meanwhile, Marvel fans are some of the most forgiving fans out there. They will see Age of Ultron 5-10 times (and another 20 through the European bootlegs that are probably already circulating) no matter what.

[numbersix]

Okay, my choice is a little easier.

There are a few films with the potential to cross 300m. But the only one I think that has a pretty good chance of nearing 350m is

The Hunger Games Mockingjay Pt 2

While the last one dipped a bit, being the final part I can see this one getting a little boost.

[numbersix]

For what it's worth I would have picked Star Wars if I were first.

Dec is looking weak in terms of competition. It's a huge event. Response to the trailers has been insane. Of course, we don't know a whole amount at this stage, but it could potentially be another Avatar.

Avengers 2 is still going to be massive, and in a way is a safer bet, but I think Star Wars will be worth the risk.

[Ron Burgundy]

Not an easy choice, but I've decided to go with:

Spectre

[empire13]

I think you've got about $325m there, Ron. Just my guess.

[W]

Star Wars - I took this party because it ISN'T 2005. Grosses are blown up nowadays. I think this has Avatar-type potential Ultron really doesn't. And it's guaranteed $400 M, so if I "miss" chances are there's only one person ahead of me. If I don't miss, I'm golden.

Batman v. Superman - The only thing I'd worry about is; what if they decide it's a summer film after all and move it to May? Slim chance, but a chance nonetheless, right?

[Chienfantome]

Batman v. Superman - The only thing I'd worry about is; what if they decide it's a summer film after all and move it to May? Slim chance, but a chance nonetheless, right?

Yep. I'm glad I didn't have to make a choice about this one, because this is precisely what I would have worried about.

[Buscemi]

They won't move it. Zack Snyder is Mr. March and filming finished a while back (it was moved from July as Affleck got hurt on set).

[W]

They won't move it. Zach Snyder is Mr. March and filming finished a while back (it was moved from July as Affleck got hurt on set).

I did say "slim chance," but it'd be in the back of my mind until about Oct/Nov.

[silversurfer19]

Not an easy choice, but I've decided to go with: Spectre

I think you've got about $325m there, Ron. Just my guess.

I'm not so convinced. The last movie's performance was a complete surprise in terms of box office return, most Bond movies previous to this were falling into the $160m range. Skyfall succeeded because it was a very, very highly regarded film, and more so because it's competition was so inferior. For it's first month of release it's only competition really came from Twilight, and even that wasn't the same demographic, while everything else either bombed or was not even competition. It had miniscule drops week after week, even retaking top spot 5 weeks in such was the poor competition.

Spectre will require all of the goodwill from Skyfall as well as to receive hugely glowing reviews just to even come close to $300m, and that's totally disregarding the fact it will face much, much stronger competion from the likes of Hunger Games, The Martian, Creed, In The Heart of the Sea and of course Star Wars. Not saying it will not do well, just think there are movies out there with much safer track records that will probably hit $300m no problem, while Spectre will have to match Skyfall every step of the way to achieve that.

[undeadmonkey]

I'm having such a hard time deciding!! I've been sitting here for so long! I got so burned with my animated pick last year and while these seem like safer bets, so did How to train your dragon at the time.

[Shrykespeare]

Well, in my mind, there's really only two choices for your first pick, Monkey, so pick one so I can nab the other one.

[silversurfer19]

Ha, ha, very true, I think whichever of the next four or five could quite easily do you very well. I'd doubt any would underperform to the levels of HTTYD2 though.