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Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 19th, 2015, 1:49 pm
by Shrykespeare
What a great finish.

However, based on this weekend's numbers, it looks like Spectre is going to prevail. Blart/Unfriended/Ride have proven more than a match for Furious 7 all by itself.

As anticipated, Boosh and Walleye will finish 4-5, and 6-10 are also set in stone, it would seem.

The final battle will be for second and third place between Brockster and JohnErle, even though both will be promoted to Division A.

I have JohnErle with a lead of $17M with basically only Home left, as well as Age of Adaline's OW. Ex-Machina and True Story may also bring in another $1M. Brockster only has Furious 7. It is going to be CLOSE, but I'll give the edge to John.

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 19th, 2015, 2:20 pm
by Shrykespeare
My latest predictions for draft order for Division B starting a week from tomorrow (4/27):

1. W
2. leestu
3-4. silversurfer/numbersix (whoever finishes with less money will pick third)
5-6. Ron Burgundy/undeadmonkey (ditto)
7. Shryke
8. weissac
9. Walleye
10. Buscemi

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 20th, 2015, 6:44 pm
by Walleye413
Hmm, Ninth pick, eh? I wonder what the odds of getting Star Wars with that one are?

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 20th, 2015, 8:04 pm
by Shrykespeare
Who could have ever predicted a finish THIS close?!? Sweet mother of monkey milk...


STANDINGS (Week 51/52)

1. Spectre - $1,095,592,037 (4 movies - Big Hero 6, The Longest Ride, Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2, Unfriended; 12 finished)
2. Buscemi, $1,078,214,953 (3 movies - Night at the Museum: The Secret of the Tomb, American Sniper, Black or White; 13 finished)
3. JohnErle, $1,077,249,602 (5 movies - Wild, SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water, Home, Ex-Machina, True Story; 10 finished)
4. Brockster, $1,060,159,433 (5 movies - The Imitation Game, Paddington, The Lazarus Effect, Serena, Furious 7; 11 finished)
5. Walleye, $1,048,015,181 (5 movies - Still Alice, The DUFF, Focus, The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, Cinderella; 11 finished)
6. weissac, $973,934,784 (1 movie - Fifty Shades of Grey; 14 finished)
7. Shrykespeare, $899,314,546 (5 movies - Jupiter Ascending, Run All Night, Do You Believe?, Get Hard, Monkey Kingdom; 10 finished)
8. Ron Burgundy, $863,510,718 (3 movies - Chappie, The Gunman; 13 finished)
9. numbersix, $825,031,849 (6 movies - Penguins of Madagascar, Kingsman: The Secret Service, McFarland USA, While We're Young, Woman in Gold; 8 finished)
10. leestu, $803,883,302 (2 movies - The Divergent Series: Insurgent, Child 44; 13 finished)



The following films would now appear to be done:

Into the Woods (JohnErle)
Selma (Walleye)
Birdman (Ron Burgundy)
Theory of Everything (Buscemi)
Strange Magic (Shrykespeare)
Unfinished Business (Spectre)




4/24:
Age of Adaline (JohnErle)
Little Boy (Shrykespeare)

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 21st, 2015, 3:52 am
by Chienfantome
The suspense will be on til the very last day then !

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 27th, 2015, 9:43 pm
by Shrykespeare
FINAL RESULTS

1. Spectre, $1,130,922,467
2. JohnErle, $1,108,968,861
3. Brockster, $1,086,010,471
4. Buscemi, $1,078,819,639
5. Walleye , 1,052,825,003
6. weissac, $974,049,259
7. Shrykespeare, $913,737,440
8. Ron Burgundy, $863,731,414
9. numbersix, $833,371,359
10. leestu, $808,572,971



Well done, Spectre!

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 27th, 2015, 9:50 pm
by Spectre
Woohoo, I actually won something!

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 28th, 2015, 3:56 am
by numbersix
Congrats, Spectre!

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 29th, 2015, 1:20 pm
by JohnErle
Now that there's a break in the action in Division A, I have time to say congratulations to Spectre for winning it all. Wasn't that your first time in the draft? If so, that's even more impressive.

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 29th, 2015, 1:29 pm
by Spectre
Thanks guys. Yeah it was my first draft so I have definite takeaways I'm going to use for the mid rounds in this year's draft (which is where I screwed up miserably last year).

I won't pretend the win wasn't luck though John... if either Aloha or In the Heart of the Sea had stuck to their spots, you would've won easily. Finishing 2nd without your 6th and 8th round picks is a crazy accomplisment. I bet you're glad I didn't pull off the SpongeBob trade though ;)

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 29th, 2015, 2:03 pm
by JohnErle
Thanks, Spectre. It's always nice to see a gracious winner.

There's always a little luck involved in a game like this, but you had a great draft across the board, which is why you wound up on top. I did get screwed royally by date changes, especially In The Heart Of The Sea which happened late in the season when there was nothing of value left to choose from, but if I'd had enough sense to grab John Wick off the waiver wire when I had the chance I also would have won, so that was bad management of the waiver wire on my behalf for the second year in a row.

I'm still very happy with second place though, and happy to be among the big boys in Division A.

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: April 29th, 2015, 5:05 pm
by Chienfantome
Congratulations, and welcome in Division A, gentlemen ;)

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: May 4th, 2015, 9:09 pm
by Shrykespeare
Round-by-round draft Analysis

ROUND ONE

1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 ($337.1M), #1 (Shryke)
2. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies ($255.1M), #5 (JohnErle)
3. Transformers: Age of Extinction ($245.4M), #2 (leestu)

8. Godzilla ($200.7M), #6 (Walleye)
9. Interstellar ($188.0M), #4 (Six)
10. How to Train Your Dragon 2 ($177.0M), #3 (Buscemi)

Average: $229.0M


ROUND TWO

1. Guardians of the Galaxy ($333.2M), #12 (Ron B)
2. Furious 7 ($320.1M), #11 (Brockster)
3. Big Hero 6 ($222.4M), #14 (Spectre)

8. The Divergent Series: Insurgent ($124.8M), #19 (leestu)
9. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb ($113.6M), #18 (Buscemi)
10. Get Hard ($83.9M), #20 (Shryke)

Average: $192.5M


ROUND THREE

1. Gone Girl ($167.8M), #27 (Spectre)
2. Neighbors ($150.1M), #21 (Shryke)
3. Into the Woods ($128.0M), #25 (John Erle)

8. Hercules ($72.6M), #30 (Brockster)
9. Exodus: Gods and Kings ($65.0M), #22 (leestu)
10. A Million Ways to Die in the West ($42.7M), #28 (weissac)

Average: $100.5M


ROUND FOUR

1. Fifty Shades of Grey ($166.1M), #33 (weissac)
2. Edge of Tomorrow ($100.2), #36 (JohnErle)
3. Taken 3 ($89.2M), #37 (Six)

8. Book of Life ($50.2M), #31 (Brockster)
9. Sin City: A Dame to Kill For ($13.8M), #39 (leestu)
10. Inherent Vice ($8.1M), #32 (Ron B)

Average: $69.3M



ROUND FIVE

1. Unbroken ($115.6M), #42 (leestu)
2. The Equalizer ($100.9M), #45 (JohnErle)
3. Annie ($85.9M), #47 (Spectre)

8. Million Dollar Arm ($36.5M), #43 (Buscemi)
9. Deliver Us From Evil ($30.6M), #50 (Brockster)
10. Hot Tub Time Machine 2 ($12.3M), #49 (Ron B)



ROUNDS SIX THROUGH TEN

1. SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water ($162.1M), #65 (JohnErle)
2. Kingsman: The Secret Service ($126.5M), #57 (Six)
3. The Maze Runner ($102.4M), #51 (Brockster)
4. Annabelle ($84.3M), #58 (Buscemi)
5. Let's Be Cops ($82.4M), #75 (Walleye)



ROUNDS ELEVEN THROUGH SIXTEEN

1. American Sniper ($348.3M), #123 (Buscemi)
2. The Imitation Game ($91.1M), #130 (Brockster)
3. No Good Deed ($52.5M), #105 (JohnErle)
4. Ouija ($50.9M), #107 (Spectre)
5. If I Stay ($50.5M), #128 (weissac)



BEST WAIVER WIRE/DROPPED PICKS

Selma ($52.1M) (Walleye)
John Wick ($43.0M (Spectre)
Nightcrawler ($32.4M) (Buscemi)
The DUFF ($33.9M) (Walleye)

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: May 4th, 2015, 9:29 pm
by Walleye413
Fascinating, thanks for doing this Shryke

Re: 2014-15 Full Year Slates (Division B)

Posted: May 5th, 2015, 3:35 pm
by JohnErle
Thanks for the analysis, Shryke! I didn't realize I had quite so many top 3 picks. It sure was smart of me to pick Into The Woods, right Chien? ;-)